Saturday, February 4, 2012

SUPER BOWL

4 years after the Gmen ruined the Pats perfect season and won the Lombardy Trophy they meet again and even though both teams are very different they are both still led by the same Head coaches and starting QB's. The line opened Pats -3.5 with the Total set at 55.5. And neither of those lines stayed there for long. The money has poured in on the Gmen as the public and NY money look to back the hot team right now. Most sportsbook have the line set at Pats -2.5 and 54 Total.

Although the Gmen are coming in HOT sometimes a 2 week break can be disruptive. And The Hedgie sure likes the idea of Bill Belechik getting 2 weeks to prepare for this one. The biggest querstion mark coming into this game is the high ankle sprain of star TE Gronkowski. Hedgie believes the 2 weeks will serve him well enough to be effective. The Pats defense gets a bit of a bad rap being the 31st rank statistically but many of those starts are padded due to protecting leads. Alot of people don;t think REVENGE plays a roll here but the HEdgie does. This game is very important to Tom Brady and he will play like it. All these things point to PATS -2.5 2 star play

PROPS :
FIRST TD A. Hernandez 8-1

Team to receive the ball first: GIANTS -180 . This prop has steep juice but there's a reason. FEB 7, 2008 when the Pats won the coin toss vs the Chiefs they elected to receive. Tom Brady's ACL was hurt on that opening drive. Ever since, the Pats have been involved in 65 coin tosses and won 28 of them. ALL 28 they have deferred the coin toss. Can't see why that would change today.