Saturday, February 6, 2016

SB 50


Hedgie sees Luke Kueckly and the panthers lighting up Stogies after this one is over……BUT the Broncos are getting slighted due to tight games they won vs the panthers who steamrolled their way into the super bowl. 
When this line opened it was Panthers -3.5 and over/under 46.  ALL the money has flowed in on the Panthers and the Under  now making the line in most spots Panthers -5.5 and 44.5 .
It's clear that if the Broncos are going to win,  it will not be on Peyton's arm yet on their #1 defense and a strong running game.  Gameplans and matchups is what this boils down to and Denver does NOT want to get in a shootout against the fast starting Panthers.  
So in this game which is always overanalyzed the Hedgie will make a value play on a teaser.
It's been a great year so far and this is not the game the hedgie swings hard. 

TEASER:  Broncos +11.5 ans UNDER 50.5  2 stars

Panthers 24  Broncos  17



PROPS:

First Player to score a TD :  GREG OLSEN  7.5/1  

MVP:  how about LUKE KUECKLY at 18/1 !
if this plays out to be a defensive game as most think the Kueckly has a legitimate shot. He's will be on the field all 4 quarters, has 4 INTS for TDs this season and will most likely amass over 10 tackles.  Just two superbowls ago guess who won the MVP?   Malcom Smith LB for the Seahawks when they player Peyton Manning.  He had 1 INT for a TD a fumble recovery and 9 tackles.  THis sounds like a typical game for LUKE.   At 18/1  it's worth a shot !


Good Luck  !  possibly more props before kickoff….

one final Prop:   CJ ANDERSON OVER 60.5 rushing yards
 3 stars