NFL HEDGIE SATURDAY TEASER - WEEK 18

 The Panthers beat the Bucs just 2 weeks ago 23-20 . The Buds Oline is a mess as they have lost 7 of their last 8 gam,es.  It's amazing they can even win the NFC South.  Baker Mayfield is a gamer but he's banged up and this week his RIGHT SHOULDER appeared on the injury report . 

 The 49ers are starting to get their groove on with Brock Purdy again.  TE Kittle will play tonight as well as it's all hands on deck for a top seed in the playoffs.   Hedgie loves getting more than a TD in what shold be a tight game. 

Also,  nice  value getting +3 with the Panthers  for 1 star but Hedgie loves the TEASER Today:

Panthers +9 and 49ers +8.5  - 4 STARS 

NFL HEDGIE SUNDAY

 

San Fransisco -3 (-120)   3 STARS 

  The 49ers are hot and appear to be starting to peak.  The Bears have been a great cinderella story and just clinched the NFC North when the Packers lost to the Ravens last night.  Both teams could win outright and secure the #1 seed for the playoffs . This game is meaningful . But the Bears have had alot of good fortune while the 49ers have played a tougher schedule and are starting to get healthy again.  Hedgie trusts Kyle Shanahan and his stars much more in this spot.

JETS +14 - 1 STAR    The Pats are dealing with a ton of injuries and are laying too many points on the road . They only need the win .

HEDGIE NFL SATURDAY PLAY

The Hedgie is going back to the TEASER WELL Today.

The Ravens and Packers are both dealing with injuries and will be starting their backups QB's in Malik Willis and Tyler Huntley.  The weather in Green Bay is 35 degrees and with Huntley at the helm , The Hedgie suspects Derek Henry will get a heavy workload .  Vegas' expectation for this  game is a low scoring affair with the total set at 38.5.   So this game feels like it sets up for a one score game whoever may win.  Right now the Ravens are getting +3.5 at most books so Hedgie will be shopping lines and looking for the 2 team teaser that offers 6.5 points at -120 . A good prop play here would be Derek Henry OVER 16.5 carries . However , it is a popular pick and that line has been steamed up to 17 and even 18.  Stay disciplined and don't chase the prop plays .

  The other leg of the teaser should have a playoff feel to it. With the Chargers and Texans both playing well and chasing the Jags and Broncos for better playoff seeds , this game will be intense.  The total here is also set low at 39.5 and rightfully so.  The Texans defense is elite and has a big advantage over the Chargers banged up Oline.  While the Chargers have quietly been playing great defense as well the second half of the season.  The Value here is teasing the home dog to over a touchdown.  Right now the Chargers are favored by -2 so teasing the Texans to +8.5 feels like a no brainer.  

TEASER 6.5 points (-120) : RAVENS +10 and TEXANS +8.5  2 STARS

Merry Christmas from the Hedgie

 

Both home teams are out of the playoffs and playing out the string with backup QBs.  The Lions need help but still can make the playoffs if they win their next 2 games and the Packers lose their next 2.  They will be facing QB Max Brosmer since JJ Mccarthy has been ruled out.  Max is not a quality NFL quarterback. HC Dan Campbell will have his Lions ready for this one.   

The Commanders are also starting a 3rd string QB. Marcus Mariota has been ruled out which leaves them with Josh Johnson who was not inspiring last week with his 5-9 for 43 yard stat line.  The Cowboys' playoff hopes were dashed last week with a loss to the Chargers but they should be motivated to win this game vs their rival Washington.  

The betting lines on both road favorites are inflated quite a bit and continue to rise.  That's why the Hedgie likes teasing both teams down below key numbers like 7, 4and 3.   Get your wager down sooner than later ..

Washington / Dallas 1PM Kickoff on NETFLIX

Detroit / Minnesota 4:30pm Kickoff on NETFLIX

TEASER :  2 Teams 6.5 points  ( -120) 

COWBOYS -3  AND LIONS -1    2 STARS

HEDGIE NFL WEEK 16. - coming off a 2-0 Saturday !

 Browns +10.5  2 STARS

Giants +3  1 STAR

Jags +3.5 2 STARS

Raiders  +14.5 1 STAR

PROP:  Derek Henry OVER 77 RUSHING YARDS - 2 STARS

TEASER :   3 TEAMS  6.5 points  pays +135 

Chargers +7.5 /  Lions -0.5 / Jags +10   

Saturday Football 12/20

 Noon : Miami Hurricanes +3.5 2 STARS 

NFL  TEASER : Packers +8 & Eagles -1 2 STARS