The Hedgie is officially back.
We said we’d start slowly this season, and we mean it.
Tonight we’ll take the points with New England.
PATRIOTS +3.5 ⭐⭐
New England has had all offseason to think about that Super Bowl loss. The Pats have upgraded the weapons around Drake Maye, and getting more than a field goal feels like enough in a game that should be much tighter this time around.
No need to get crazy on Night One.
Patriots +3.5 — 2 Stars
New hip. Same instincts.
The Hedgie — Est. 1997
THE HEDGIE IS BACK
New Hip. Same Instincts.
ARKANSAS +11.5 — ⭐⭐
LIBERTY +6 — ⭐
Small start. No need to force the start of the season.
Every ⭐ is a bet. The number of stars tells you how much Hedgie likes it. And yes — his own hard-earned money is on every one.
"Picking Winners Since 1997”
Michigan ST -4.5 2 STARS
VCU +11.5 2 STARS
Nebraska +2. 1 STAR
Texas +6.5 3 STARS
Liberty / Nevada OVER 146.5 2 STARS
High Pt/ Arkansas OVER 169 1 STAR
"We lost , but at least we covered ! " - So Fla
3:15pm Hofstra / Alabama OVER 158 3 STARS - bama lives and dies by the 3
3:15pm Hofstra +12 1 STAR - bama without star Aiden Holloway is a distraction
6:50pm Iowa -2 2 STARS - betting on Iowa star Bennett Stirtz
10:10pm Missouri +2 - playing close to home. miami not a good free throw shooting team
more picks coming.....
Most of the money and pundits have been betting the Seahawks at -4.5 and Under 46 total points. The line has shifted towards Seattle -5. and even some -5.5. The Total has dropped to 45 so far today. The Hedgie sees a coaching advantage for the Patriots. Vrable is a great in game play caller and always is extremely prepared for all scenarios. Vrable has played in THREESuper Bowls as a player. Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels had coached in TEN Super Bowls. Both teams have very good defenses and QB's that can be turnover prone. So the Hedgie sees a conservative gameplan by both teams waiting patiently for opportunities to exploit. The Pats were underdogs six times this season and went 4-2 ATS. There are some lines moving around out there . Hedgie saw a +5.5 and bet extra juice to get +6 for (-120). But even at +4.5 that's a play for the Hedgie.
PATS +6 (-120) 3 STARS
PATS +4.5 1 STAR
TEASER : PATS +11 and UNDER 52 1 STAR
Props:
K Walker (Seattle RB) UNDER 72.5 rushing yards
T. Henderson ( Pats RB) OVER 0.5 receptions (-200)
Hunter Henry ( Pats TE) FIRST TD 11/1
Hunter Henry ANYTIME TD. +230
Good luck !
Hedgie believes in Sean Payton and his record with backup QB's. He brought Stidham in to replace Russ Wilson before Bo Nix won the job. But the Hedgie thinks the advantage lies in a very good Denver OLINE and being at home getting 4.5 points feels like a winner
DENVER +4.5 2 STARS
TEASER : DENVER +10.5 and RAMS +8.5 2 STARS
Late game lean Rams but like the teaserr angle. More analysis coming late most likely...
The weather is mild in Jacksonville and the very trending and popular pick is on the Jags here. They have won 8 straight games and are hot. The line has moved all the way from Bills as a -1.5 favorite to now the Jaguars -1.5. With the mild weather Hedgie sees some heroics and scoring (Mostly from Josh Allen) The total is high at 51 so The Hedgie prefers to take the VALUE and TEASE the Bills and over.
2 team 6.5 point TEASER : BILLS +8 and OVER 44.5 2 STARS
To Recap:
Teaser : Panthers +17 + Bears +8 - 3 STARS
Panthers/Rams OVER 45 3 STARS
The Panthers beat the Bucs just 2 weeks ago 23-20 . The Buds Oline is a mess as they have lost 7 of their last 8 gam,es. It's amazing they can even win the NFC South. Baker Mayfield is a gamer but he's banged up and this week his RIGHT SHOULDER appeared on the injury report .
The 49ers are starting to get their groove on with Brock Purdy again. TE Kittle will play tonight as well as it's all hands on deck for a top seed in the playoffs. Hedgie loves getting more than a TD in what shold be a tight game.
Also, nice value getting +3 with the Panthers for 1 star but Hedgie loves the TEASER Today:
Panthers +9 and 49ers +8.5 - 4 STARS
