NFL WEEK 3 - Hedgie celebates a 7-3 Star Weighted Saturday

 

Some extra notes:  

- Be Careful of the Ravens /Cowboys game in Brazil.  The turf is a real problem .

- 49ers Bosa is not playing 

Hedgie NCAA Week 4

Is Texas truly #1 in the Country ?  Last year they were 0-5ATS on the road. 

USC/Oregon's offenses are humming.

Lousiville has a dominant advantage in the trenches on rushing 

Michigan Oline is banged up. Iowa's D is staunch 

Georgia St also dominant rushing advantage vs N Illinois who is 0-3ATS this season

Hedgie coming off a 5-1 STAR WEIGHTED SUNDAY - will play tonight's game

 

HEDGIE NFL WEEK 2

 

Try and shop for lines !   yesterday Hedgie got a push on Colorado st +18 as an example but suspect not everyone did.  These add up .  Vikings +5 is kind of a dead number but still always worth shopping.  Steelers Pierce is out so some money is leaning more Pats   +6  will be out there .   Saints is +8.5 and thats fine but Hedgie always happy to keep shopping for the extra half.  

Don't love this week.   Stay tuned for a teaser play and some player props after noon !

Hedgie NCAA. Week 3. - late play addition

 

Texas A&M heavily favored may be caught looking ahead to LSU next week...

Colorado St  dual threat QB will make this game interesting 

Louisville @ home tilts the scales

UNC the better team (Clemson's QB struggling mightily)

Terps D playing great . Don't trust 'Big Game James' taking his Hokies on the road

Feature Game of the week , Lane Kiffin knows how to create controversy.  Love him or hate him , he's entertaining.  Lane listed his QB on the injury report earlier in the week ( shenanigans)   He's hired extra security ( rightfully so ).   The team stayed in Memphis to avoid he rowdy  crowds and heckling.  And even earlier in the year , he tried to bring on some former NFL players onto his roster and rather than utilizing some of his $91 million contract to hire smart attorneys. He relied on CHATGBT to guide him !   Many consider him a savant when it comes to in-game play calling and he's very good at what he does.  But Hedgie here is going to side with the Better QB and the Home DOG .

OLE MISS +3  only 1 STAR 

THURSDAY NIGHT NFL

 

Hedgie NCA Week 3 Thursday Night Special

 

HEDGIE MNF - WEEK 1

 

The Hedgie is gonna sit back and watch the 2nd leg of his teaser ( Texans +7.5 & Broncos +9) teaser play out.  For fun a Player Prop.

WR Cortland SUTTON OVER 41.5 receiving yards   :  all the attention  is on the shiny new star WR Waddle while Hedgie likes the comfortable connection between QB Nix and his big reliable WR on the road with a relatively low total.  

NFL WEEK 1

 

  

Lets also try a couple PROP Plays :

  J. Taylor OVER 75.5. rushing yards 

 A Rodgers UNDER 212.5 Passing Yards 

Reasoning :

  Colts - DT Nnamdi Madubuike — out with a neck injury. This should give QB Jones a cleaner pocket and allow for RB Taylor to have more success.  If can only get +3. drop play to 2 stars . Still homedog angle a good one.

 Vikings - Minnesota’s disguised pressure and home crowd should test Green Bay’s banged-up offensive line

Saints - Shough’s accurate short passing can keep New Orleans competitive—and the full touchdown leaves room for a late cover.

NCAA WEEK 2

 

late post ( apologies).  hurry if you can get Michigan still..

The Michigan play was based on pure "overreaction' from Week 1.

3:30pm - Pitt has a legit QB and offense and should roll at home ....

The Hedgie escaped with the hook last night with +3.5.....Tonight another play down under

The 49ers made the trip early and have been acclimating for a week while the Rams flew Tuesday . The 49ers brought the star TE Kittle who will play while the Rams will be without DT Aaron Donald.  Arguments to be made for both teams but The Hedgie has watched this line go from Rams -2.5 to -4 and thinks there's some good value on the underdog 49ers. 

Hedgie NFL Week 1 Opening night !

 

The Hedgie is officially back.

We said we’d start slowly this season, and we mean it.

Tonight we’ll take the points with New England.

PATRIOTS +3.5 ⭐⭐

New England has had all offseason to think about that Super Bowl loss. The Pats have upgraded the weapons around Drake Maye, and getting more than a field goal feels like enough in a game that should be much tighter this time around.

No need to get crazy on Night One.

Patriots +3.5 — 2 Stars

New hip. Same instincts.

The Hedgie — Est. 1997

The Hedgie is Back !

 

THE HEDGIE IS BACK
New Hip. Same Instincts.

ARKANSAS +11.5 — ⭐⭐ 
LIBERTY +6 — ⭐ 

Small start. No need to force the start of the season.

Every ⭐ is a bet. The number of stars tells you how much Hedgie likes it. And yes — his own hard-earned money is on every one.

"Picking Winners Since 1997”

HEDGIE SUNDAY Madness

 UCONN +5.5   1 STAR

Michigan/Tennessee UNDER 146.5 2 STARS

Hedgie Sunday Madness

 Kentucky +5 3 STARS

Florida -10  1 STAR

St. John’s -3.5 3 STARS

Hedgie's March Madness Saturday

Michigan ST -4.5 2 STARS

VCU +11.5   2 STARS

Nebraska +2. 1 STAR

Texas +6.5 3 STARS 

Liberty / Nevada OVER 146.5 2 STARS

High Pt/ Arkansas OVER 169 1 STAR

The Hedgie went 6-2 on picks Thursday... the Madness continues Friday

"We lost , but at least we covered ! "     - So Fla

 3:15pm Hofstra / Alabama OVER 158  3 STARS - bama lives and dies by the 3 

3:15pm Hofstra +12 1 STAR - bama without star Aiden Holloway is a distraction

6:50pm Iowa -2   2 STARS -  betting on Iowa star Bennett Stirtz 

10:10pm  Missouri +2 - playing close to home. miami not a good free throw shooting team

more picks coming.....

HEDGIE IS BACK - MADNESS IS HERE

12:15 pm : TCU +3 1 STAR  - playing well recently. trust coach dixon

12:40 pm Troy/ Nebraska UNDER 139.5 - Neb Top 10 defense ; Troy Slow Tempo

1:30 pm :South Florida +5 1 STAR - Louisville Star Freshman , Brown , still OUT

4:25 pm : Hawaii +15.5  2 STARS - Arkansas hangover after SEC win?  Travel to Portland

7:35 pm :Texas A&M +3 1 STAR - Aggies better athletes. contrarian play .most like st marys

9:25pm : Penn/ Illinois UNDER 152 3 STARS

9:45pm : St Louis +2 - 1 STAR  better defense & more balanced

10:10 pm Kennesaw St / Gonzaga UNDER 164.5 1 STAR - Zags lead nation  PTs allowed per possession

Hedgie Super Bowl LV

 Most of the money and pundits have been betting the Seahawks at -4.5 and Under 46 total points.  The line has shifted towards Seattle -5. and even some -5.5.  The Total has dropped to 45 so far today.   The Hedgie sees a coaching advantage for the Patriots.  Vrable is a great in game play caller and always is extremely prepared for all scenarios. Vrable has played in THREESuper Bowls as a player.  Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels had coached in TEN Super Bowls.   Both teams have very good defenses and QB's that can be turnover prone.  So the Hedgie sees a conservative gameplan by both teams waiting patiently for opportunities to exploit.  The Pats were underdogs six times this season and went 4-2 ATS.   There are some lines moving around out there . Hedgie saw a +5.5 and bet  extra juice to get +6 for (-120). But even at +4.5 that's a play for the Hedgie.

PATS +6 (-120) 3 STARS

PATS +4.5 1 STAR

TEASER : PATS +11 and UNDER 52 1 STAR 

Props:

K Walker (Seattle RB) UNDER 72.5 rushing yards

T. Henderson ( Pats RB) OVER 0.5 receptions (-200)

Hunter Henry ( Pats TE)  FIRST TD  11/1

Hunter Henry ANYTIME TD. +230

Good luck !

HEDGIE NFL Championship Sunday

 

Hedgie believes in Sean Payton and his record with backup QB's.  He brought Stidham in to replace Russ Wilson before Bo Nix won the job.    But the Hedgie thinks the advantage lies in a very good Denver OLINE and being at home getting 4.5 points feels like a winner

DENVER +4.5 2 STARS

TEASER : DENVER +10.5 and RAMS +8.5   2 STARS

Late game lean Rams   but like the teaserr angle. More analysis coming late most likely...

NCAA Champtionship

 

There's alot of money on Miami getting +8.5 +8 +7.5 and Hedgie thinks it might even hit +7 at kickoff. You can get Indiana -7 (-120) now in alot of spots and that's what the Hedgie did.  

Indiana has been DOMINATING all season. And in these playoffs beat Alabama and Oregon both by a combined 94-25 .

Hedgie sees more of the same tonight.

INDIANA -7 (-120) 2 STARS 

For a fun teaser Hedgie also played The Hoosiers -1  and RAMS +9  for 1 STAR

The HEDGIE is on a 15-2 STAR WEIGHTED RUN in the NFL Playoffs !

WILDCARD MONDAY - Hedgie is hot 🔥

HEDGIE HAS MORE PLAYS SUNDAY AFTER GOING 2-0 YESTERDAY !

The Hedgie believes Trent Williams is the most important player for the 49ers to have active.  He missed week 18 due to a hamstring and had some light practice this Thursday and Friday. Trent said he was optimistic he'd play but what was even more telling was the 49ers roster moves Saturday. The 49ers elevated LB Turner Graham and WR Malik Turner. By NOT activating a backup Olineman this signals the 49ers feel good about Trent Williams as a go .  

The public has bet the Eags up all week from -3.5 to -6 in many spots.    Don't misinterpret the Hedgie here. The 49ers have struggled on defense and have not been very good since they lost their stuf LB Fred Turner in week 7.  So the Eagles backers probably feel strongly about Saquan Barkley and AJ Brown having good games.  That probably signals a lean twoards the OVER 44.5 total.   But with Trent Williams a go this opens up the 49ers offense and witnh a Coach like Kyle Shanahan the 49ers are a very live underdog.

49ers +6  4 STARS

The weather is mild in Jacksonville and the very trending and popular pick is on the Jags here.  They have won 8 straight games and are hot. The line has moved all the way from Bills as a -1.5 favorite to now the Jaguars -1.5.    With the mild weather Hedgie sees some heroics and scoring (Mostly from Josh Allen) The total is high at 51 so The Hedgie prefers to take the VALUE and TEASE the Bills and over.

      2 team 6.5 point TEASER :  BILLS +8 and OVER 44.5  2 STARS

NFL WILDCARD SATURDAY

To Recap:  

 Teaser : Panthers +17 + Bears +8  - 3 STARS

Panthers/Rams OVER 45 3 STARS

NFL HEDGIE SATURDAY TEASER - WEEK 18

 The Panthers beat the Bucs just 2 weeks ago 23-20 . The Buds Oline is a mess as they have lost 7 of their last 8 gam,es.  It's amazing they can even win the NFC South.  Baker Mayfield is a gamer but he's banged up and this week his RIGHT SHOULDER appeared on the injury report . 

 The 49ers are starting to get their groove on with Brock Purdy again.  TE Kittle will play tonight as well as it's all hands on deck for a top seed in the playoffs.   Hedgie loves getting more than a TD in what shold be a tight game. 

Also,  nice  value getting +3 with the Panthers  for 1 star but Hedgie loves the TEASER Today:

Panthers +9 and 49ers +8.5  - 4 STARS