Hedgie Super Bowl LV

 Most of the money and pundits have been betting the Seahawks at -4.5 and Under 46 total points.  The line has shifted towards Seattle -5. and even some -5.5.  The Total has dropped to 45 so far today.   The Hedgie sees a coaching advantage for the Patriots.  Vrable is a great in game play caller and always is extremely prepared for all scenarios. Vrable has played in THREESuper Bowls as a player.  Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels had coached in TEN Super Bowls.   Both teams have very good defenses and QB's that can be turnover prone.  So the Hedgie sees a conservative gameplan by both teams waiting patiently for opportunities to exploit.  The Pats were underdogs six times this season and went 4-2 ATS.   There are some lines moving around out there . Hedgie saw a +5.5 and bet  extra juice to get +6 for (-120). But even at +4.5 that's a play for the Hedgie.

PATS +6 (-120) 3 STARS

PATS +4.5 1 STAR

TEASER : PATS +11 and UNDER 52 1 STAR 

Props:

K Walker (Seattle RB) UNDER 72.5 rushing yards

T. Henderson ( Pats RB) OVER 0.5 receptions (-200)

Hunter Henry ( Pats TE)  FIRST TD  11/1

Hunter Henry ANYTIME TD. +230

Good luck !

HEDGIE NFL Championship Sunday

 

Hedgie believes in Sean Payton and his record with backup QB's.  He brought Stidham in to replace Russ Wilson before Bo Nix won the job.    But the Hedgie thinks the advantage lies in a very good Denver OLINE and being at home getting 4.5 points feels like a winner

DENVER +4.5 2 STARS

TEASER : DENVER +10.5 and RAMS +8.5   2 STARS

Late game lean Rams   but like the teaserr angle. More analysis coming late most likely...

NCAA Champtionship

 

There's alot of money on Miami getting +8.5 +8 +7.5 and Hedgie thinks it might even hit +7 at kickoff. You can get Indiana -7 (-120) now in alot of spots and that's what the Hedgie did.  

Indiana has been DOMINATING all season. And in these playoffs beat Alabama and Oregon both by a combined 94-25 .

Hedgie sees more of the same tonight.

INDIANA -7 (-120) 2 STARS 

For a fun teaser Hedgie also played The Hoosiers -1  and RAMS +9  for 1 STAR

The HEDGIE is on a 15-2 STAR WEIGHTED RUN in the NFL Playoffs !

WILDCARD MONDAY - Hedgie is hot 🔥

HEDGIE HAS MORE PLAYS SUNDAY AFTER GOING 2-0 YESTERDAY !

The Hedgie believes Trent Williams is the most important player for the 49ers to have active.  He missed week 18 due to a hamstring and had some light practice this Thursday and Friday. Trent said he was optimistic he'd play but what was even more telling was the 49ers roster moves Saturday. The 49ers elevated LB Turner Graham and WR Malik Turner. By NOT activating a backup Olineman this signals the 49ers feel good about Trent Williams as a go .  

The public has bet the Eags up all week from -3.5 to -6 in many spots.    Don't misinterpret the Hedgie here. The 49ers have struggled on defense and have not been very good since they lost their stuf LB Fred Turner in week 7.  So the Eagles backers probably feel strongly about Saquan Barkley and AJ Brown having good games.  That probably signals a lean twoards the OVER 44.5 total.   But with Trent Williams a go this opens up the 49ers offense and witnh a Coach like Kyle Shanahan the 49ers are a very live underdog.

49ers +6  4 STARS

The weather is mild in Jacksonville and the very trending and popular pick is on the Jags here.  They have won 8 straight games and are hot. The line has moved all the way from Bills as a -1.5 favorite to now the Jaguars -1.5.    With the mild weather Hedgie sees some heroics and scoring (Mostly from Josh Allen) The total is high at 51 so The Hedgie prefers to take the VALUE and TEASE the Bills and over.

      2 team 6.5 point TEASER :  BILLS +8 and OVER 44.5  2 STARS