Sunday, February 9, 2025

SUPER BOWL LIX. plus a special add ono play in a WNCAA game

 


🎤 "i've got a blank space baby , and i'll write your name.....  SAQUON "


The Hedgie sees this game playing out in a couple ways . Firstly, there's no doubt the Eagles the better interior lines. Both their Oline and Dline are better and the have the best RB in the NFL in Saquon Barkley.  Also , the Chiefs at times have struggled vs the run.  There is also no doubt about the Magic of Patrick Mahomes and the genius of Andy Reid.  The Eagles defense has been dominant all season but Mahomes . Vic Fangio was a great addition.  But Mahomes is 8-0 (6-2 ATS) vs Fangio defenses ( Dolphins & Broncos).   So the Hedgie sees this game either being dominated by the Eagles Oline and Saquon Barkley having a field day  OR Mahomes using his magic to steal a tight win.  


6.5 point Two Team TEASER :  EAGLES +7.5 and OVER 42 

  3 STARS



 PROP PLAYS :


 Dallas Goedert -  OVER 50.5 Receiving yards  - It's been well documented that the Chiefs have not been good vs TE this year. If you recall on Christmas Day The Hedgie strongly recommended the STeelers Pat Freiermuth  on two prop plays (OVER 25 yards and OVER 40 yards ) which bothhit paydirt.  The Eagles have many weapons and the Chiefs can't stop them all. They will be focused on stopping Barkley and teh two dangerous wideouts ( AJ Brown and D Smith) . This will leave plenty of opportunities for Goedert who racked up 85 yards just last game vs the commanders.  This is a popular play and my favorite on the board .


RB Gainwell OVER 6.5 yards rushing (-110) 

Mahomes WILL throw an interception ( +114)   -  if this game script plays out as perceived then Mahomes will be scrambling alot and playing from behind.  He'll no doubt have some magic but he also will be trying to create plays on his own under pressure from a very good defense.  Hedgie sees a tipped ball or two and an INT at some point.  

Kicker BUTKER over 1.5 Field Goals Made - The Eagles play alot of zone and give up yards between the 30s. But they tighten up in the redzone and force Fiels Goals.  Butker has played in 4 Super Bowls and is 9 out of 10 .  You have to lay a steep price but it's worth it.   -190 


FIRST TD of game :  Chiefs have been slow starters this season so the Hedgie thinks the Eagles will put up the first touchdown of the game.  Hedgie likes the long shot odds . Since Hedgie see Goedert having a big game why not also the First TD ....also Johan Dotson has been getting on the field a lot more.  With the Chiefs so focused on the other stars Dotson is worth a shot at 70-1 !

     Goedert 16-1

     Dotson  70 - 1 


Fun cross sport prop :  Goedert MORE RECEIVING YARDS  than the NHL Game Washington / Utah :  SHOTS ON GOAL.    100 wins you +125  -   Each team averages approx 30 shots on goal per game according to NHL data.  Once again playing into the Geodert having a good game.  This woudl mean he'd need approx 60 yards or more. But you are getting plus money .


No 4 Texas hosts No 2 South Carolina 2pm 

Hedgie's got a longtime pal who lives in Nevada and has been crushing the books with his WNCAA plays.  Kenny W likes Texas and the Under today . Let's all ride with Kenny and roll it into the Super Bowl 

These two teams met earlier in season and South Carolina won handily 67-50.  Today's rematch is in Austin Texas and Hedgie leans Texas as a 2.5 point underdog. But the official play is a tough fought defensive game ...UNDER 137.5  2 STARS