THAT TREND REVERSED and the HEDGIE WILL ADJUST :
It was evident yesterday that the home teams who were rested had an advantage. That should continue today. The Chargers have been outstanding going 9-0 away from LA. But they are now n their 3rd straight road game and flying west to east for a 1pm game is not ideal. What the Hedgie looks at even more is the physical toll it takes on teams when playing the #1 physical defenses in the NFL. The Ravens are just that . Historically teams have not fared well the following week against the spread after playing the Ravens. Last week was a physical game as expected and the Chargers must be tired. Melvin Gordon sustained a sprain to his left knee . His right knee was just healing from injury. A healthy Melvin Gordon would be a huge asset today. Now the Chargers may have to lean more on Phillip Rivers who has been amazing. HOWEVER , his last 5 games he has been just ok. His last 5 games Rivers has thrown 4 TDs 6 INTS and his passer rating is 76.3. The Chargers face an uphill battle going against a rested Patriots team. The Pats have won a remarkable 8 straight playoff games at home and five of those by double digits. Brady/ Belechik combo with two weeks of rest and preparation will be too much .
Patriots -4 3 stars
Teaser : Pats +2 & UNDER 53 1 star
The Saints are the most heavily favored team in this round and for a reason. They are incredible at home in the superdome. The past two weeks has perhaps helped this team more than any other. Their Offensive line has been banged up but is now as healthy as it's been all season. The Eagles on the other hand are banged up still . They ALSO come off a physical game vs the Chicago Bears. They have been dealing with multiple backups in the secondary. Saints get back Ted Ginn Wr this game and Hedgie expects the Saints to be too much at home. The Eagles also have Darren Sproles who could provide a spark on offense. The Hedgie prefers a TEASER leaning Saints and Over
SAINTS -2 and OVER 46 4 stars
Saints -8 1 star