Saturday, December 28, 2019

Hedgie SATURDAY BOWLING



Hedgie Bowl Record Thus Far:  4-2 ATS

  BYU -2.5  LOSS
  La Tech +6.5  WIN
 E. Michigan +11.5 WIN
 Wake F +10 & Under 56.5 WIN
 Air Force -2.5 WIN
  Air Force / Wash St OVER 68 LOSS

Saturday :

Noon : Iowa State / Notre Dame -  This is a tough game to handicap. Notre Dame is more balanced and probably slightly better on paper but not by much.  BUT are they MOTIVATED ??  They had their sights set on the national championship and now play in Orlando at NOON.  Iowa State is 7-5 BUT lost some heartbreaking close games and could have been a 9 or 10 Win team.  This is a big game for them.  There is rain in the forecast and the total has dipped from 61 to 59.5.   Hedgie leans towards grabbing the points ... Iowa State +3.5  1 star 

Noon: Penn State / Memphis -  Another game where MOTIVATION will be a big factor.  This is definitely the Biggest Game in Memphis History.  They come in as a 7 point underdog and have something to prove. However, their Head Coach Norvel left for Florida State and he also took his D coordinator with him.  In an attempt to keep continuity Memphis elevated their Oline coach to Head .  BUT  Norvel also called the offensive plays and that's a loss.  Penn State also has a new O coordinator but HC Franklin being there will give the Nittany Lions the edge.  So in the game of chess DURNG the game there is no doubt an advantage to Penn State.   So will Penn State be Motivated ?   HC Franklin should have his team ready this time.  Last year they lost the Citrus Bowl to Kentucky and this is not good for recruiting when its all said and done.  Franklin this week said " Mentality in Bowl Games is critical.  We know this is a big game for Memphis . I think our guys have prepared well. We better be ready for a dog fight" . There are also some injuries. Memphis starting TE Magnifico is out as well as Memphis' best DB Taylor.  Penn State QB Clifford was banged up this past month but is not getting healthier. Money is flowing in on the Memphis Tigers....  All these factors put the Hedgie on Penn State.  Try and grab the -6 ...

   PENN STATE -6  1 star


4pm:  Oklahoma/ LSU -  Some injuries on Oklahoma defense and the star RB for LSU.    These games  tend to get over analyzed .  Sifting through all the info can make one's head spin. Hedgie sees this boiling down to a game plan and game script . Oklahoma knows they can not go toe to toe with LSU and Joe Burrow.  If LSU has been susceptible at all this years it's vs running QBs.  Jalen Hurts has been here before and is a big strong runner.   Hedgie thinks the sooners will try and keep LSU offense off the field and run with Hurts all day.    The Total is 76 which is the highest of the bowl season.  Much like Air Force / Wash st last night most signs point to a high scoring game.  Hedgie sees . Oklahoma and Hurts utilizing the clock to their advantage and keeping this game closer than most think.
   Oklahoma +14 1   star

8pm: Clemson / Ohio State - wow this game is  the feature. Hedgie cant wait to watch all the talent .  Much of the money is split here with strong opinions.  Hedgie is looking to the trenches here and will back the team with the stronger run game.  Ohio State and RB Dobbins should have an edge in the trenches . Dobbins has not been talked about much . He has 1829 yards rushing  20 TDS and 17 receptions for 200 yards and 2 scores.  Hedgie thinks the edge and value lies with the Buckeyes.  see if you can get +3
    Ohio State +3  2 stars


*  Great Day of games  but notice not many stars for hedgie.  There are MANY GAMES LEFT to play the next few weeks....