Thursday, September 7, 2023

NFL WEEK 1 Hedgie's NFL Debut

 


This summer the line opened at Chiefs -7 and 55 Total.  As the summer progressed the line dropped to Chiefs -6.5 & 54.5 and settled in there .  Then this week Travis Kelce hyperextended his knee . He's not expected to play but if he does he will be limited.  The line dropped to Chiefs -4.5 and 54.  

  The Lions are a much improved team and they focused on adding talent to their secondary. But they got a tough scheduling spot heading to Arrowhead Stadium to face the defending SB Champs on grass.  Arrowhead will be rocking and Andy Reid is well known for his gameplans with time to prepare. Mahomes will have plenty of targets and Hedgie suspects  Pacheco may break a long run vs a Lions team that did not tackle well last yr.  Another factor that may favor the OVER is Chiefs DT Chris Jones is holding out and will miss tonight's game. 

  Andy Reid has won 8 straight season openers and 5 of the last 6 by 10 points or more.  Hedgie is going to fade the line move and open up with a 1 star  teaser.


TEASER : CHIEFS +1.5 and OVER  48   1 STAR