Two weeks ago the Pats were embarrassed on National TV by Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. They've had a BYE week to stew on it and Hedgie imagines the scowl on Belechik's face is now permanent. The record for Belechik and Brady off a bye is a well known trend so Hedgie was surprised to see Vegas only post Pats -3.5.
This line is more about the perception of the Eagles. They are also coming off as bye and the last time these two teams met the Eagles were holding up the Lombardi Trophy. The 2019 Eagles are NOT THE SAME TEAM. Carson Wentz is having a mediocre year. The Eagles skilled players are banged up on . The Eags only true deep threat in Desean Jackson is done for the year with an abdominal injury. Sproles was just put on IR . Jordan Howard is dealing with a stringer. SO the Eags signed Jay Ajai and Jordan Matthew to fill plug the holes. The Eagles secondary on defense has also struggled all year long.
Ok fine, The Eagles also had a bye .week. Maybe they rested and healed a bit but noone came off the IR. They now must face teh #1 Defense in the NFL stewing off a loss with mastermind Belechik scheming up ways to slow down an average offense with very little speed.
Sprinkle in Tom Brady with an extra week with new WR weapon Sanu and perhaps a lil revenge on the mind and you have a formula for a potential blowout ....
PATS -3.5 5 stars ...this line is creeping up now that the betting public is tuning in . At -4 its still a 5 star. Shop and grab the best line you can sooner than later !
Jets +2 - 3 stars - The Redskins are going with Haskins at QB the rest of the season. Everyone knows He's not ready for the speed of the NFL as a QB but this s how the Redskins will learn what they have in another lost season for Redskins fans. The Skins are coming off a bye week so Vegas installed them as home favorites. Hedgie doesn't think one extra week to prepare is going to help Haskins here. The Redskins under interim coach Callahan is a run based team. Thats a smart move and makes sense. That protects Haskin's deficiencies and they've had some success. HOWEVER the JETS strength is their run defense . They are the NUMBER ONE run stopping unit in the NFL. The Jets are still trying. Sam Darnold has had an up and down year coming off Mono but is the better QB here. Jets should be favored
Dallas/ Detroit UNDER 47 - 2 stars - Stafford is a scratch again with broken bones in his back. The Lions have lost 5 of their last 6 and start their backup QB. The cowboys typically lay well on the road (except vs the Jets) . A good Oline and strong running game is a good recipe for road success and that just what the Cowboys have. Hedgie sees a big day from Zeke. This line jumped form Dal -3.5 . to Dal -7 but the total stayed still. The value here is on the UNDER
Saints/Bucs OVER 49.5 . - 4 stars - The Saints will ounce back after a poor home erformance last week. They have Kamara and TE Cook back in the lineup. Bucs have gone OVER .their last 7 straight. Enough said...
Texans/Ravens OVER 51.5 - 2 stars - two elite QBs vs two average defenses. Texans no longer have Clowney (traded to Seahawks) and JJ WATTS is on IR. Texans have been good on the road and have had a bye to prepare. Lamar Jackson gets all the hype but Watson has been playing at a pro bowl level too. This game should be an entertaining shootout....