Friday, November 1, 2019

NCAA SATURDAY - 7 plays...adding 4 more ...a BIG 11 PLAY SATURDAY




Troy -1  1 star  Troy has a solid defense .   They are 8-2 past 10 games coming off a loss and Coastal Carolina is 0-6 ATS vs FBS teams at home

Pitt -7  1 star - Pitt lost a tough game to Miami last week . Thats bad news for GA TECH who is still transitioning to a new offense and is 1-9 ATS their past 10 games. Pitt defense is very good

Syracuse -3  1 star - varying opinions on these teams.  But hedgie will take Cuse at home who's hungry for their first ACC win

Akron/Bowling Green OVER 49.5 1 star - Akron gets . QB Kato Nelson back from a 2 game suspension and this line should go higher tomorrow when that becomes more clear to bettors

Oregon/USC  UNDER 62.5 2 stars -  Oregon is coming off 2 high scoring games vs pass happy teams .  ThereforeVegas adjusted this line higher than it should be . 

UAB +14  vs Tennessee - 3 stars  This line opened Tennesee -12.5 .  Hedgie believes most bettors are making a blind play on the SEC . vs lesser opponents.  BUT looking deeper . UAB has a hot QB n Tyler Johnson lately and they have a statistically  good defense.  Tennessee could be in a letdown spot after a big upset of South Carolina last week  and have only covered the vegas spread in 6 of their past 21 home games.  grab this line anywhere above +13 . Hedgie got +14 (-115)
    UAB +14 3 stars

Florida +7  4 stars - this line has been all over the map this week.  It opened at -6.5 the dipped to -4 and is climbing back up again.  Florida is healthy and  getting star WR Kadarius Toney back.  Georgia is having a down year for them and the public has not adjusted for that so vegas  keeps the line inflated.

...

Saturday am ADDS:

Memphis -5.5  2 stars - GAMEDAY at MEMPHIS  a lot of pressure n SMU  who seem to be hanging on to their unblemished record.  

ND State/ WF - UNDER 60.5 2 stars -  lean . NC st with the points (+7.5)...but prefer UNDER better  as  Wolfpack has been under 9 of their last 11 as a dog.


Kansas State -4.5 2 stars - both teams off huge wins and the play here is that K state will have a letdown. Line opened at -6 so we're getting good value.  Kansas Will NOT SNEAK UP on the wildcats.  K state simply better...

Hawaii -2 1 star