sunday late addition

giants/skins  UNDER 40 1/2      1 star

apparently fed ex field is in bad shape and both jacobs and ports will be starting....

expect alot of running on bad surface

Nfl Week 13

Jets/Broncos  OVER 47.5     1 star

Colts/Browns  OVER 43.5     2 stars  

 (line has been dropping from 45 1/2 due 

     to weather  still like over)

Vikings -3                               3 stars

Saturday College Football

NC State   + 1 1/2 vs   Miami            2 stars

UNC - 7 1/2  vs Duke                       1 star

Happy Thanksgiving

the hedgie is traveling so commentary will be at a minimum...

Cardinals +3 at Philly            2 stars

something is broken about the eagles and we saw it last week in baltimore. the eags will put forth maximum effort tonight and it's noted that west coast teams are 0-15 traveling east this year. but most of those games are 1pm (10am for the west coasters).  tonight is an 8pm start on nfl network. the cards will be fine in this spot.  the eags are also banged up. westbrook still ailing and even more important assante samuels has a neck problem. he will no doubt try to go but the cards with fitzgerald and boldin will exploit this with short passes and runs after catch. this should be the difference.   stay tuned for more picks thru the weekend.....

Hedgie Monday

Beep.......Beep......Beep.....Beep......

The Hedgie loaded up on the

Ravens this Sunday and laid

the wood to the book.....

Current NFL Star Weighted Record : 65-17

Tonights game should be a good one but hedgie will stay away. Lean is towards over 50 1/2 as monday nighters have gone that way this season. And the hedgie sure is tempted to do a teaser: packers +9 & Over 44 1/2

but after reviewing the previous post about teasers the hedgie collected himself and decided to just sit back and count his 5 star winnings until the next play becomes clear.

so tonight no play but stay tuned the rest of the week.....

nfl sunday

star weighted nfl record to date:     59-16

pats +1                     1 star

ravens -1 1/2          5 stars

late addition:   jets/titans    under  40 1/2                  1 star

saturday College Football

Vandy -3      2 stars

BYU  +7       1 star

thursday night football

was looking for a good picture to attach , but the markets getting slaughtered was too distracting.....

Miami/Georgia Tech OVER 41 1/2 2 stars

Miami offense starting to roll and Ga tech has given up 80 pts last 3 games.....

MONDAY NIGHT SPECIAL

If you support The Hedgie then take 1 minute of your time and donate to the Seed Academy . It's a non-profit that supports sports and education for kids in senegal, africa....



http://www.seedproject.org/donation/donate.html



now, onto tonight's game. the hedgie will try and continue it's white hot streak with a 1 star play on the desparate Buffalo Bills - 5 at home.

Sorry Brady, tonight is not your night.
First road start in the rain and wind .
37 degrees in Buffalo....not tonight















Bills -5 1 star

Hedgie Monday Update

Hedgie takes broom home after

14-0 Star Weighted

SWEEP this weekend.......

Fact: Last tie in the NFL was Nov 10th, 2002

Steelers 34-Falcons 34

After the tie yesterday Donovan Mcnabb (Eags QB) said

"I didn't know we could tie"

C'mon Man !!!

nfl sunday

Titans - 2 1/2      2 stars       buy the 1/2 point if you need to. most of the money here is on a jags upset. hedgie thinks the jags win at detroit was a farce and that their true identity will look like the team that lost to cleveland where sean rogers dominated the jags oline all day. haynesworth should have his was here as well

Cards  - 3       1 star       might catch 2 1/2 here as well as people will be on seahawks with hasselbeck and branch returning. but they should be rusty and warner and his wr's will be the diff here

Bucs - 4     3 stars     bucs and monte kifin should have a great gameplan for vikes and frerotte. yes, peterson has been running well but frerotte has 8 ints  vs 7 tds his last few games. bucs win by and average of 9 pts in their home games this yr

NCAA Saturday

hedgie hasn't busted out on a saturday yet but this saturday feels like the day:

Maryland +3          2 stars          terps have played great at home all season

Notre Dame -4     3 stars            big revenge after last year's 43 yr win streak broken

UCLA - 6 1/2       3 stars           we will cash again against a terrible washington team

thursday night special

JETS + 3 1/2 1 star

Pats are banged up and will be without Adalius Thomas. This bitter rivalry shgoudl be hard fought in the trenches and the hedgie will take a FG + in this matchuop. The weather could be factor too. So with the jets Defense playing well, look for Kris Jenkins to wreak havoc on Matt Cassell with what could well be the difference......final score 20-17 doesn't matter who wins to the hedgie. if you only get +3 buy the extra 1/2 pt for -120 juice but no more

<------- Matt Cassell tonight

NFL Sunday

Tennessee Titans - 2 1/2     2 stars       titans 7-0 ats this season and travel well on raod. jeff fischer the ex-bear will have his team ready. and the bears without kyle orton start....rex grossman!   

Saints  +1         2 stars      saints coming off a bye shoudl be well rested and ready to go even without reggie bush. falcons looked good last week but the raiders are a mess and the 24-0 shutout was not an indication of how good the falcons are

Ravens +1     4 stars     with matt schaub out sage rosefelds gets the start. the texans also have their left tackle banged up . the wrong team is favored here. the ravens defense might be the best in the NFL and the offense is getting better each week with Joe Flacco.

NCAA FRIDAY NIGHT & SATURDAY

Friday:

9pm Fresno State +2 1 star
----------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday:

3:30pm Wake Forest - 3 1/2 2 stars

3:30pm Clemson +4 2 stars

3:00 pm Army + 9 1/2 3 stars




Stay Tuned for NFL Plays. The Hedgie's Year To Date Star Weighted Record is:

44 - 13

Thursday Night

UPON FURTHER REVIEW......

Hedgie is looking very closely at the games on deck and is going to use extreme discipline to not play tonight's college. Va Tech is good at home and the line has jumped to -3 but their QB's are very banged up.......PASS

TCU/Utah will be a great game with BCS implications. Many won't be able to watch this one as it will be broadcast on CBS College Sports Network. Both teams are a combined 18-1. Hedgie will Tivo this one and focus on the NFL tonight...PASS

Broncos at Brown NFL Network

Hedgie was surprised to see the Broncos lose last week coming off a bye vs Miami. The Denver defense really is that bad. Shanahan will find a way to get Cutler going so rather than fade the Broncos Hedgie will play OVER 46. Brady Quinn gets the start and anyone can move the ball vs this defense.......1 star

ncaa mac play

ALERT:

DO NOT PLAY TEASERS

Northern Illinois + 9 1/2 2 stars

Best Defense in the MAC take the points


Hedgie gettin back to basics after a recent teaser addiction. He can be found at teasers-anonymous later this week. if you think you have these symptoms they are:

- staring at the ceiling for hours after missing the OVER portion of a tease

- punching your buddy's arm when your teaser doesn't hit

- chugging whatever liquid is in your hands at the 2 minute warning while your teaser has still
not hit

if you can't make the meeting at least yu can benefit from the 12 step program. here are the steps:

1) do not tease
2) do not tease
3) do not tease
4) do not tease
5) do not tease
6) do not tease
7) do not tease
8) do not tease
9) do not tease
10) do not tease
11) do not tease
12) do not tease

HEDGIE MONDAY NIGHT SPECIAL

if you played the hedgie's star weighted picks you were once again a winner this past weekend. although the hedgie is very disappointed with jay cutler and trent edwards BOTH whom gave up gamechanging INT's for touchdowns! unacceptable. these teams both rely heavily on sound QB play and the QB's are not getting it done. stay tuned for a possible big PLAY AGAINST these 2 teams in the coming weeks.....
on to tonight where the hedgie feels the need to add to his winnings this week. most followers know the hedgie has a personal bias and friends who like the redskins but rest assured , THE HEDGIE HAS NO HEART when it comes to gambling and simply tries to make mooolah.....last year people remember the first ever 6 star play in the redskins vs the bills after sean taylors death. that was mistimed by a game. after that loss the skins went on a 6-0 tear against the spread. this year the hedgie is 1-0 on redskins games. week one teaser with saints AGAINST the skins...... important to note as we get ready for the play tonight. this should be a great game between two tough teams. a few notes:

- first of all, two of the best WR's in the NFL will play tonight . Sanatana Moss and Hines Ward leave it all on the field and do whatever it takes to help their teams win whether it be making a big catch, blaocking relentlessly , or even returning punts.....
























- on the other hand, the hedgie spotted TO crying again after a the NY Giants put a complete whooping on the Cowboys.....hedgie loves it when the Cowboys lose and especially when TO is a part of the process.....












( Couldn't Resist - I LOVE THIS PHOTO)





















- vegas anticipates a hard fought low scoring game with the skins installed a 1.5 favorites and the total at 37

- steelers are 5-2 and both losses have come to NFC east teams (eags week 3, giants last week)

- skins are 6-2 and 5-3 vs spread while going 3-1 at home

- both teams are very banged up ;
Pittsburgh running back Willie Parker (knee), offensive guard Chris Kemoeatu (ankle), linebacker LaMarr Woodley (calf) and wide receiver Santonio Holmes (disciplinary) are ‘probable’ versus the Redskins, while punter Mitch Berger (hamstring), defensive tackle Casey Hampton (toe) and linebacker Keyaron Fox (hamstring) are ‘questionable.’ Offensive tackle Marvel Smith (back), free safety Ryan Clark (shoulder) and cornerback Bryant McFadden (forearm) are ‘out.’
Washington running back Clinton Portis (ankle), quarterback Jason Campbell (calf), offensive tackle Chris Samuels (knee) and defensive tackle Cornelius Griffin (shoulder) are ‘probable’ against the Steelers, while wide receiver Santana Moss (hamstring) is ‘questionable.’ Cornerback Shawn Springs (calf) and defensive end Jason Taylor (calf) are ‘doubtful,’ while running back Ladell Betts (knee) and wide receiver Malcolm Kelly (knee) are ‘out.’

- most experts are pointing to a hard hitting low scoring affair. the steelers boast the #1 defense in the NFl and their 3-4 scheme is wreaking havoc on opposing offenses. steller LBs Lamar Woodley and James Farrior have a combines 15 sacks so far and Dick Lebeau's schemes will cause much confusion to a banged up skins O-line. Most think for the Redskins or the Steelers to win they will have to establish the run. Portis leads the NFL in rushing while the Steelers have not established the run much yet and it has cost them.

- the hedgie sees things differently and anticipates the steelers to come out throwing. they get back willie parker and santonio holes so hedgie thinks the steelers will come out with an uptempo passing attack vs a skins secondary that has been a little banged up. perhaps even a no huddle look which big ben has thrived in. on the other side of the ball, jim zorn's play calling has been uncanny. he seems to know exactly how to put jason campbell in successful positions to make big plays. he's aggressive and has a knack for keeping defenses off balance. the hedgie thinks this will be a hard fought battle and close game so will do a teaser to capitalize on the slight lines moves. the general public like the monday night home team so has moved the line to redskins - 2 1/2. it's a beautiful night in DC with no wind and temperatures in the mid 50's. with most predicting a low scoring affair the hedgie will take the value and go with :

TEASER:
STEELERS + 8 1/2 and OVER 31
2 stars

NFL SUNDAY

Eagles -6 1/2  at seattle 3 stars       eagles are finally getting healthy. westbrook is back as well as kevin curtis & reggie brown . mcnabb should have a field day vs a banged up and struggling seattle defense. seattle has lost it's home field advantage lately and will struggle in this one as well with hasslebeck still out and seneca wallace under center. with the eagles n 4th place in the nfc east they will be focused and give maximum effort.    eags 27   seahawks 17

Broncos - 3 or 3.5  vs Dolphins    2 stars     this line opened at 3 and early money has bet the broncos to -3.5.   if you can still catch 3 jump on it but even at 3.5 this line offers good value. with the dolphins getting an impressive win at home vs the bills last week who had 4 turnovers, and the broncos who look horrendous last time out on national tv vs the pats  this line is still relatively low.  shanahan is 9-1 against the spread after a bye week.  although no champ bailey is a blow the bronocs have had 2 weeks to get ready for this one.  broncos 30   dolphins 20

teasers:

Bills +1  & OVER 36      1 star       bills are 3-0 at home  and the jets struggled vs lowly chiefs

Cardinals +3.5 & UNDER 55   1 star      warner is playing the qb position as well as anyone right now so the lean towards the away favored cards. but catching +3.5 with a teaser and vegas shading the total to a high scoring affair the hedgie would prefer to lock in great value with both leans.  do a 6 1/2 point 2 team teaser which  has -120 juice to get best value here

NCAA Saturday

Just 2 plays today:

Central Michigan +1 1/2         2 stars

Minnesota -7 2 stars

will have nfl picks up tonight.....