HEDGIE WEATHER UPDATE and......GOLF.....what??

First of all Hurricane IAN is currently CRUSHING he west coast of Florida right now ( Wednesday night).   All of te sharp bettor got their UNDERS in on the Totals on Monday and Tuesday.  a few games that will be affected to keep an eye on are :

NC State/Clemson. Total opened 46.5  now 40.5

Virginia /Duke . Total opened 56.5 now 48.5

Texas State / James Madison Total opened 56.5 now 50.5

UTEP/Charlotte Total opened 57.5 now 50.5

These early line moves are not a guarantee. The weather can still change and if winds get lighter or shift a game may become a nice over play as well.   

Hedgie does not have any particular weather plays at the moment but an early NCAA release for Saturday is :

WASHINGTON -3 over. UCLA. 2 stars  - line moving up so grab now

Also,  The Hedgie has had some success in GOLF the past year and may be adding a Golf segment in Hedgie's 25th Anniversary Year 

This week is The Sanderson Farms in Mississippi

Picking outright winner is very difficult and it's important to manage your bankroll.  The Hedgie likes to also play some DFS tournaments as well. So for this week in GOLF  Hedgie is sprinkling a couple small plays on some Mississippi natives who know the course well and putt well on the native Bermuda Greens

Davis Riley 35-1

Hayden Buckley. 110-1

TOP 10 Finish :

Hayden Buckley. 10-1

Denny Mccarthy 3.2-1

 Favorite DFS Lineup

$88 entry  656 entrees ; 10k to 1st place

JT Poston. 10,200

Stallings $9,500

Mullinax $8,300

Smalley $7,500

Jaeger $7,300

Hodges $7,000

Total. $49,700. out of the $50,000 fictional salary cap

Will post results on Golf Sunday or Mondays.  If you like what the Hedgie is doing this year email thoughts or suggestions :thehedgieblog@gmail.com

Best of luck this week !

 

HEDGIE COMING OFF A 9-2 Star Weighted Weekend has a 1 Star play on MNF

 

Giants  new Head Coach Brian Daboll is an offensive Guru  and has not been easy on his QB Daniel Jones.   The Giants are off to a 2-0 start and star RB  Barkley looks healthy .   

   However , the Cowboys come to town feeling confident with backup QB  Cooper Rush after defeating the  the Bengals at home 20-17  last week .

   The Vegas line opened Giants -4.5  and has since been taking on Cowboys money and is all the way to a pickem in some spots.  The Total has also dropped from  40 to 38.5

   This is a spot where the hedgie likes  to ZIG while others are zagging.     

  TEASER : GIANTS +6  and OVER  32.5    1 STAR 

prediction  Giants 23 Cowboys  17 

NFL WEEK 3

 The Hedgie does not love the card this week.  Hopefully you got Arkansas +2.5 yesterday which would give you a 5-1 star weighted day !

1pm Teaser : Panthers +8.5 and Titans +8 2 stars

1pm Teaser : Chiefs +1.5 and UNDER 57 1 star

1pm Miami was getting +6 early in week. The money flowing in on the Fish with the Bills banged up on defense (4 starters out) and traveling short week to the South Florida heat.   Lean Dolphins but get best line

1pm : money in on the Commanders as home dog but Hedgie doesn’t see it. If can get Eagles -5.5 or 5 at kickoff it’s a 1 star play

4:15pm game.  Chargers ‘ QB Herbert likely not playing.   Line dropped from -7.5 to -3.  Pass

Stay tuned for late additions…

Good Luck today ! 

NCAA SATURDAY

 Arkansas +2.5   2 Stars

UNC -2 1 Star

James Madison +7 3 Stars

MONDAY NIGT FOOTBALL DOUNLE HEADER - The Hedgie is coming off a 6-2 STAR WEIGHTED SUNDAY

 

In 2017  new Vikings HC  Kevin O'Connell was Kirk Cousins QB Coach in Washington.  Now they Reunite and The Hedgie already sees big improvements with teh Vikings Offense.  This could be a big year for Cousins with all the weapons he has .  WR Jefferson may be the best WR in the game right now and O'Connell has already devised multiple formations and way to get Jefferson the ball. 

 The Eagles exploded for 38 points in a win in week 1 and this game has high scoring written all over it.

 In the  betting world there is money coming in on the Eagles. This line has gone up from -2  to -3 in many spots .   Many gamblers and fan are well aware the Cousins has struggled in the bright lights on Monday Night Football. But the Hedgie sees this differently 

VIKINGS +3  2 STARS

TEASER :  Vikings  +9  and OVER  43.5  1 STAR 

BILLS / TITANS  :  Bills looks great   in week 1  and Titans did not.  This line in the premarket lookahead this summer was bills -7.5       The inflated line makes sense.  Who would bet on the Titans in this spot ?       If  the line hits -10.5  the Hedgie will nibble small on the Titans as a pure 'overreaction play'     Double digit  prime time dogs  in the NFL  tend to usually bite 

If you have comments or question  please email The Hedgie :  thehedgieblog@gmail.com 

Good Luck tonight !

The HEDGIE NFL WEEK 2

The Saints have owned the Bucs in the Tom Brady era. The Bucs head to New Orleans as 2.5 point favorites. A sexy popular play this week has been the SAINTS as a home underdog. Today it was announced that Saints RB Kamara will be OUT and this make Hedgie really likes TB12 to get his first win vs Saints as a Buc.

 BUCS -2 2 stars Teaser: Bucs +4 and UNDER 50 1 star 

 JAGS +3.5 1 STAR - The Colts travel to Jacksonville and were 4 point favorites all week BUT WR Pittman has been ruled out as well as WR Alec Pierce ( concussion) . get down on the Jags sooner than later. +3.5 ideal but +3 ok too

 AFC NORTH TEASER : Steelers +9 & Bengals -1 : 1 STAR - money in on the Pats and pushed this line from -1.5 to -3. Total is low at 40.5 Great value on Steelers at home. Bengals ( Burrow) turned the ball over 5 times last week . Cowboys Dak is injured. Bengals will get the road win .

 3 TEAM TEASER (10 points) : PACKERS pickem ; RAMS pickem ; BRONCOS pickem : 3 good teams all started 0-1. all now at Home. All Veteran QBs and will find a way to win - 1 STAR

 Teaser: Panthers +7 & OVER 37 1 STAR : Money in on the Panthers and driving line from +2.5 to +1. Giants starting DB ruled out. Fine taking Panthers outright as well Dolphins +3.5 1 STAR ( only if can get the 'hook' at 3.5 otherwise pass) 

 Notes: 

-  Lions first time opening as a favorite in 25 games....no longer as the money is in on the Commanders and it's a pickem. Lean Commanders

- INACTIVES get announced  11:30am

DFS LINEUPS:

 ENTRY 1                         ENTRY 2 

 QB BURROW                  BURROW 

 RB GIBSON                      FOURNETTE 

 RB STEVENSON              S. BARKLEY 

 WR CUPP                             CLAYPOOL

 WR R. ANDERSON             A. ROBINSON 

 WR P Campbell                      C. SAMUEL 

 TE OKWUEGBUNAM         OKWUEGBUNAM

 DST BENGALS                     BENGALS

The HEDGIE is offering MEMBERSHIP

 

After 25 years THE HEDGIE is offering weekly, monthly , annual MEMBERSHIP .    The Picks have always been free advice and will continue to be free.  On weekends  The Hedgie Picks will be released Saturday and Sunday mornings.    However,  Membership will include  mid week ALERTS , Injury updates, Weather updates and / or anything that can give a Member an EDGE vs the book before the lines change too much .   With the Explosion of DFS , The Hedgie has also had some success playing DFS games and Members will get access to the Hedgie's DFS cards.

This is all new  so please feel dree to ask questions and add comments to :

Thehedgieblog@gmail.com

Todays Plays :

Nebraska +11  1 STAR

TROY +13.5   1 STAR

South Carolina +25  2 STARS 

Notre Dame -11  1 STAR ( mid week play  Membership would help here ) 

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                                                 MEMBERSHIP BELOW

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Commentary on each game

DFS lineup plays :  This week 

DRAFTKINGS Single Entry  

QB   Burrow      $6600

RB  S Barkley   $7300

RB Fournette    $6700

WR Claypool     $4700

WR  A. Robinson $5500

WR  C Samuel  $4600

TE   A Okwuegbunam $3700

FLEX  D Adams $8600

DST  Bengals $2200

 GOOD LUCK  THIS WEEK  !  The Hedgie Welcomes feedback 

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL - Palmer should shine tonight

 

Tonight The Chiefs host the Chargers at 8:15pm. The line opened Chiefs -3 and 52 .  News of Chargers WR Keenan Allen not playing due to a hamstring has bettors on the Chiefs . the line is now Chiefs -4 and the Total has risen to 54.  

    The Hedgier agrees with the Total moving higher.  Although  Keenan Allen will miss the game The Chargers have plenty of weapons. QB Herbert started where he left off and found 7 different receivers in last weeks win over the Raiders.    Josh PALMER gets the start at WR tonight and Hedgie expects a big night out of Palmer.
    There are some props out there ( Draftkings)  for Palmer 2.5 /1 to score a TD tonight and Hedcie likes that .

    The Chiefs and Mahomes looked unstoppable last week as well.  Hedgie expects a shootout tonight :

OVER 54 2  STARS

NFL SUNDAY WEEK 1

 Jags +3    1 STAR 

Steelers +7  2 STARS

the hedgie easing his way into the season.....

Hedgie Saturday

 Central Michigan -5  1 star   ( line moving higher so grab now) 

Virginia +4    2 stars 

The Hedgie is back for Season 25 ! Yep, 25th ANNIVERSARY and going to try and add a few wrinkles...

 

The Super Bowl Champs are opening the season as HOME DOGS to the Buffalo Bills . This is mostly due to the fact that Matthew Stafford had elbow surgery this offseason and is possibly not healthy.  The Hedgie sees this as a potential problem as the season goes but for TONIGHT his elbow is just fine.  Bills star DB , White , is OUT and HC McVay has a stellar 5-0 record on his past 5 opening days.   He's a great game planner and will have a good scheme tonight .   The Bills are for real  but tonight is  :

 RAMS +2.5   (might even get +3 by kickoff)   1 star

Teaser : RAMS +8.5 and OVER 46   1 star 

As for the rest of the season :

   Hedgie is going to offer "MEMBERSHIP' and give access to writeups and content all week long.  Membership will be very reasonable and look something like :

Weekly - content and info $9

Monthly - content and info $19

Annual - content and info thru the Super Bowl $99

 The usual Hedgie content will be free releases Saturday and Sundays.   The added content may include 'Alerts' , injury news, Weather news,  Props , Draft Kings and or Fanduel Lineups , etc etc . The Hedgie spends anywhere from 20-40 hours weekly on his craft and had made an average of 200 plays each season.  So a $99 seasonal  value gets you content and basically less than 50 cents per play.  

    Please feel free to add your input and ask questions by email : 

 thehedgieblog@gmail.com

Best of luck this season !