Madness Elite 8 - Saturday

 

6:09 PM :  Illinois +9 1 Star 

8:49 PM : Clemson +4 1 Star 

8:49 PM : Bama / Clemson UNDER 165 3 Stars

SWEET SIXTEEN - Thursday

 

Illinois +1.5 2 Stars

UNC -4 ( -115) 2 Stars

Clemson +7.5 3 Stars

SUNDAY MADNESS

 

5:15 pm  James Madison +7.5 4 Stars 

James Madison MONEYLINE +245 1 Star

6:10pm Baylor -3.5 2 Stars

7:10pm Grand Canyon +6.5 3 Stars

7:45pm Northwestern +14 1 Star

9:40pm Yale +6 1 Star

SATURDAY MADNESS

3:15pm Gonzaga -4 2 Stars

5:30pm. UNC -3.5 2 Stars

7:10pm Oakland +6.5 4 Stars

8pm Texas +7 1 Star

9:40pm Oregon +5.5 4 Stars

8:40pm Duquesne +10.5 2 Stars

 

FRIDAY MADNESS

 

FAU -3.5 2 Stars 

UAB +7 4 Stars

West Kty +14.5. 2 Stars

New Mexico -2 2 Stars

JMU +5  3 Stars

The HEDGIE is back from celebrating the Super Bowl Victory and ready for some MADNESS ....

 

12:15pm  Michigan st -1 1 Star - Tom Izzo coaching in March tilts the scale here 

12:40 pm Duquesne +10  3 Stars -  BYU not good on the road and relies on 3 point shooting

1:30pm. Akron Zips +12 1 Star - too many points for experienced Zips

2Pm Long Beach State +20.5 2 Stars 

2:45Pm Wagner +25 1 Star

3:10Pm Morehead St +12  4 Stars - Illinois should be drained after winning Big Ten. Morehead slows it down Points at a premium 

4Pm South Carolina +1.5. 1 Star - technical play. Gamecocks were underrated all season and went 23020 against the ssread. Oregon 16-18 ats

4:30pm Nevada -1 4 Stars - Stave Alford's senior laden team is hot winning 10 of past 11 . Ride that !

6:50pm Colorado St +2.5 1 Star

7:10pm Oakland +14 1 Star

7:25pm McNeese St +7. 2 Stars 

7:35pm South Dakota St +16 1 Star

9:20pm St peter's +22 1 Star

9:40pm NC State +5 2 Stars - NC St hot ! Tired?  Tex Tech has some injuries. Ride the Wolfpack

9:55pm Samford +8 4 Stars - Kansas injuries & short bench. 

10:05pm Drake -1 4 Stars - Drake #1 rebounding team in Nation. Wash St terrible foul shooting team

Super Bowl 58

 

The Hedgie is a bit surprised that the 49ers are favored and the line has held steady at -2 and 47.5 Total. Both teams have strong defenses and this will be the best secondary that QB Purdy will face this year.  If either team has a weakness it's vs the run.   

    On the big stage both Head Coaches will lean heavily on their best players and in this instance the 49ers will rely heavily on McCaffery , Deebo and Kittles While the Chiefs will obviosly continue their short passing game with Mahomes and Kelce.  The 49ers Dline looks good in photos but DE Chase Young is a weakness.  The Chiefs should exploit the edges with RB Pacheco

TEASER 6.5 points (-120)  : CHIEFS +8.5 and UNDER 54    3 STARS

CHIEFS +3 (-130)    if you can buy a point or half point here and keep the juice under -135 that's a 2 STAR play 

AS famous Sports Gambler Billy Walters recently pointed out , The chiefs have advantages at two huge positions :  QB. & Kicker.  This is Mahomes 3rd Super Bowl appearance and he's won 2 of those.  Kicker Butker has a very strong leg and was 33-35 on FG attempts this year .  

PROPS:

Brandon Aiyuk - OVER 62.5 receiving yards. All keys will be on Mccaffery Deebo and Kittles. Aiyiuk has made some big plays this season and will have many 1 on 1 opportunities 

 Pacheco - OVER 68.5 yards rushing - Chiefs game plan should be heavy run oriented. 

McCaffrey OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards 

Good Luck ! 

Hedgie Sunday

 Lets keep it simple todaty.    8 of the last 10 home favorites have won in this spot.  

MONEYLINE PARLAY. :  RAVENS & 49ers to WIN   3 STARS

100 bananas gets you 825 bananas 

Also,  Ravens defense very good.  Lean under...UNDER 45.  sure 1 STAR

3 team teaser:  Chiefs +14.5 / UNDER 54.55 / Niners OVER 42   2 STARS

Good luck !

NFL SUNDAY PLAYOFFS ...Hedgie's Streak extends to 18-3-1.....

 3PM    BUCS +6.5   1 STAR

     Bucs should be able to exploit the Lions soft secondary with Evans , Godwin and Pass catching RB White.  Bowles a great defensive coordinator and will have a good gameplan vs a team they faced and lost to earlier this year.

6:30pm -   TEASER : CHEIFS +8.5 and OVER 39  2 STARS

    Initial thoughts are on Bills at home -2.5  BUT the Bills have some injuries on defense and The Chiefs come in with 2 extra days rest . 

NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND. - update

 430 pm Ravens -9.5 and 43.5 ......Hedgie leaning Texans if can catch +10..but TE Mark Andrews practiced all week and with 30 mph wind gusts Hedgie is going to wait to post until 330pm

updating -  NO MARK ANDREWS this game.  Although the Ravens will be prepared and rested and'should ' win at home HEDGIE sees alot of value on TEXANS  FIRST HALF !  CJ Stroud is playing Elite ball right now and the Texans will come in hot and confident.   You can catch Texans +7 in the first half.    3 STARS 

Texans +10.5. 1 star

Prop : Lamar JAckson OVER 52 rush yards...  just like Josh Allen in these big stakes games Lamar will take matters into his own hands and run more than usual.   

   

8:15pm. - Packers +10.5 2 Stars -  more details coming later today 

Potential Teasers , Totals  and Props Plays ...stay tuned

Don't look now but Hedgie is on a15-3-1 HOT STREAK .......

 4:30 PM.     STEELERS +10.5 1 STAR

    There are mostly +10s out there but if you wait you can probably catch +10.5.  When this game was scheduled for Sunday  +10 was a popular pick because of the bad weather and it started trending towards +9. But today the weather is beter and the Bills will be able to play their regular gameplan.  Althogh no Gabe Davis for the Bills hurts a little.  

    Even bigger news is that TJ Watt is out for the Steelers.  Once Mike Tomlin switched to QB Mason Rudolph the Steelers showed some life.  Najee Harris is playing well again.   With this total still low around 38.5 getting +10.5 points is just too much 

8:15pm.     BUCS +3  3 Stars

                  TEASER : BUCS +9 and UNDER 49  2 STARS

The Eagles come in banged up and will be without their best wideout AJ Brown.  Also, Jalen Hurts has sore finger on his throwing hand and the Eagles secondary is dinged up as well.  Baker Mayfield has some sore ribs but will gut it out.   Big advantage to the Bucs wideouts  Evans and Godwin in this matchup . The Bucs are 6-2 under at home the Eags are 7-2 Under on the road.   This game feels like a  21-20 kinda game .

SUNDAY WILDCARD WEEKEND - Hedgie goes 2-1 and extends NFL streak to 11-3-1...

 

4:30pm   

Packers +7.5  (-120)  3 STARS

The Cowboys have been outstandinbg at home averagngf 35 points per game. However,  they are laying more than a full TD and the syrging Packers are coming to town. The Packers have won 3 sraight . Jordon Love has played very well lately posting a 9 TD - 0 int ratio the past 4 games. This is no coincidence as Aaron Jones is now fully healthy.  Hedgie believe Jones is the key to this game. Jones has rushed for 358 yards the last 3 games which leads all RBs.   Jones rushed for 127 yards against Carolina, 120 against Minnesota , and 111 against Chicago.  He's clearly fully recovered from his knee injury and his opens up the play action pass for Love.  

  The Cowboys have great offensive weapons but also give up chunk yards.  Hedgie sees HC Lafleur outcoaching Mccarthy in this one as well.   The Packers can win this game outright so if you believe that you can also grab almost 3/1 on the moneyline.  

Also,  OVER 50.5  1 STAR

  Prediction:  Cowboys 30 Packers 27 

8:15pm 

RAMS +3.5 (-120)  2 STARS

The Rams were able to rest last week while the Lions played their starters and lost a key player in TE LaPorta.   Coach McVay has the the playoff experience and knows QB Goff as well as anyone.  The Rams will have a good gameplan and should win this game.  

UNDER 52 1  STAR

    With Lions LaPorta out and the Rams having a good scheme against Goff The Hedgie sees the Lions leaning on the run more than usual.  The total is creeping higher from 50 to 52 and Hedgie sees this differently than most .

NFL WILDCARD WEEKEND - HEDGIE is currently on a 9-2-1 NFL Heater.....

 SATURDAY 4:30PM   

BROWNS -2   3 STARS - Browns recently beat the Texans 36-22 who were without CJ Stroud. But in that game the Browns defense smothered the Texans Oline . They were up 36-7 at one point.    Hedgie likes the veteran Flacco vs  a rookie QB making his first playoff start 

BROWNS/TEXANS OVER 44 - 1 STAR

SATURDAY 8:10PM 

UNDER 44.5 -  2 STARS 

This game in Kansas City will be COLD.  Not just under 40 degrees cold where the Dolphins are 8-19 Straight up the past 20 years under 40 degrees . This game is at night and supposed to be -1 degrees. with wind gusts of 15 mph.   Tua is from Hawaii and has not fared well on the road or in cold weather in the past.  So it makes sense that this line has gone in Kansas City's favor from -3.5 to -4.5 .  The total has dipped from 45 to 44.5 and will head lower.   These teams met earlier this year in Germany and scored 35 points.  

            

NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP

 Michigan MONEYLINE -200 1 star 

Hedgie NFL WEEK 18. - Tricky Day. Different Style of Handicapping

 

Breaking News - Baker Mayfield is no longer a Carolina Panther.  Owner David Tepper and the Pathers did not think Baker was a capable QB for them and now Baker gets to ride in as a Bucs and capture the NFC South with a win at Carolina today :

"My mentality playing against the Panthers — the guys in the locker room are great. For other reasons, I’ll be extremely motivated to play. Obviously, the division is on the line. There’s many things. Everyone in our locker room should be motivated, not just me personally."

Hedgie has NO IDEA why there is money coming in on the lowly Panthers and will go back to the well with Tampa Bay 

BUCS -3.5 4 STARS

Bengals -1 & UNDER 43 2 STARS

The Bengals are eliminated from the playoffs but will want to end their season at home with a WIN.  The Browns have lo cked up the 5th seed and will be resting many players.  Both teams will want to end this game quickly .

NY GIANTS +5.5 1 STAR

At 425pm The Eagles and Giants will kickoff at the Meadowlands .  There's a high probability the Eagles playoff seed won't change. That's because the Cowboys are 13 points favorites at Washington also at 425pm.  If the Cowboys take care of business which they should then it's likely the Eagles will be scoreboard watching and pulling players.  The Eagles will not want to risk injury to any starters on the Meadowland turf.

3 Team Teaser :   Heavy Winds in New England

10 point UNDER Teaser :

Pats UNDER 39.5 / Bengals UNDER 47 / Rams UNDER 51

Hedgie is on a 14-4-1 Star Weighted tear since Christmas Day ...... NEW YEARS BOWL GAMES

 

12pm   LSU  -8 ( -115)   ( prefer to get the -8 if possible)  1 STAR

 No Jayden Daniels for LSU this one but HC Brian Kelly will have 4 star recruit Garrett Nussmeier ready to roll . Too much offense for LSU 

1 PM  Libery / Oregon - Pass. But no doubt the Liberty Flames will be rtghe motivated team here so if have the itch to bet maybe consider Liberty and OVER 68

1PM   Iowa +6 ( -115). ( try and get +6 here as the total is very low at 36 and that's a key number)  3 Stars 

Tennessee QB Joe Mliton opted out and Hedgie can not see a rookie QB doing much vs a stifling Iowa defense

5PM Alabama +2.5  2 Stars - Saban a full month to prepare is an advantage against Harbaugh who's notoriously bad in big games.

8:45Pm. Texas -3.5  2 Stars -   HC Sarkisian going up againts his former team. Teams trending in diiferent directions as Texas QB Ewers finished hot while Wahington QB Pennick cooled off a bit. Texas fans will travel to the Superdome in New Orleans.  Hone game for the longhorns.

For the degenerate gamblers who just must play teasers ....a new year's special :

3 teams teaser / 6 Points -  LSU -2.5 ; Iowa +11.5 ; Bama +8.5   1 Star

    100 gets ya 150