NFL WEEK 17 ..6-0 SWEEP!!! Today : Stanford -4 & oregon -1 ...2 stars

Captain Andrew Luck posted on Twitter:

"Dearest Mother -
   I have recieved your care package of salted racoon thighs and zesty gophers wrists. We continue our march to the Ten Sea.  It's been decided that we shall battle at night in the hopes of being most tactically sound. The men are anxious , but confident.
   - Andrew "

The hedgie is also confident in the Colts  -4   and much less anxious now that Marcus Mariota has been declared OUT...

COLTS -4  4 stars

Vikings/ Bears   UNDER 40.5    3 stars   - Vikes new model of running the ball with new O coordinator suits this team well.  Dalvin Cook back at full strength.

Browns +7    3 stars   -  HC  Gregg Williams has declared this game a playoff game for the browns.  The feisty Baker Mayfield can lead the Browns to a winning season. a win gets the Browns to 8-7-1 on the season and would knock of rival Ravens.  This line is simply too high ...


Chiefs -14   2 stars  -  Chiefs at home laying 2 Tds a good bet ?  in this instance it is.  The Raiders got their Win on national TV last week and now travel on a short week to Arrowhead.  Can't see how any Raider feels motivated or shows up today. Chiefs have lost 2  recently and need to get back on track heading into the playoffs. The Raiders have lost 4 road games by  14 or more this year....

BEARS +3    FIRST HALF -  if the Bears win and the Rams lose the Bears get the 2nd seed in the NFC.  The NFL wisely put the playoff scenario games at the same game times. So  there is good reason for the Bears to play hard today.  The Bears defense is the real deal and the Vikings Oline is a weakness. This should be a tight low scoring divisional battle.  BUT at halftime if the Rams are cruising and ahead of the 49ers  then there's no reason for the Bears to keep playing hard. They may very well take their foot of the gas and rest players for a hmoe game next week.


TEASER:  Eagles  +1 and Texans  pickem    1 stars

BOWLS

Notre Dame  +12.5   1 star

NCAA

Washington State -2.5   3 stars   - Gardner Minshew and the Washinton State offense should have their way in the Alamodome today

Syracuse  -2.5   2 stars


Purdue  +3.5   1 star

NFL WEEK 16

Cowboys -7   3 stars

Bengals +10   2 stars

Bears -4.5  2 stars

Falcons  -2.5 (-120)   1 star



stay tuned for late games...

TIME FOR SOME BOWLING

ARMY -6.5     3 stars   -  all the money is in on ARMY  as this line has gone from -4  to  -6.5 and even  -7 in some spots.   Houston limps in with some injuries on Defense and it's Best Defensive player sitting out  to avoid potential  injury for the NFL combine.  Houston also will be without it's starting QB.   The angle the Hedgie likes best though is that Army has won 10 games this year and if they win today  they'll make HISTORY for it's program.  This is a good Army team that will be focused today


Hawaii / La Tech   OVER  61  2 stars

The Hedgie is currently on a 6-1 NFL run.....

The Ravens are sticking with Lamar Jackson at QB  over a healthy Flacco.   With Jackson at helm the Ravens are a run first team. The Ravens have the #1  defense in the NFL  giving up  18.5  pts per game. The Ravens are at home. The weather is rainy and windy which should favor a run oriented team as well.  Tamps come limping in after a home loss to the Saints and will not have  homerun threat  Desean Jackson at WR.     Hedgie leans  Ravens. Hedgie leans Under...Hedgie LOVES :
   TEASER  7 pts  (-120)   RAVENS -1.5 and UNDER 53.5    3 stars

Bills -2.5   3 stars  - Lions on 2nd consecutive road trip.  Going to cold Buffalo without lead RB  K. Johnson spells trouble vs a tough Bills defense.  

TEASER:  Cowboys +10  &  OVER 39.5  -    2 stars 
  Cowboys not getting much respect on a 5 game winning streak.  This is a different team with  WR Amari Cooper on it.   Expect this to be a tight game in the 20s.

Seahawks  MONEYLINE  -195    2 stars   - just 2 weeks ago seattle blasted the 49ers  43-16.  What's changed since?  They now travel to play at San Fran  and Seattle is fighting for a wildcard. Seattle has a great running attack and teams that run well travels well.  This line should be  seattle -6. It's dipped all the way  to -3.5   Hedgie loves the value on a straight up win laying less than 2/1   

The hedgie is studying bowl games ... ... NFL POST

leaning AZ ST ... if can get 7....

Leaning eastern mich ... if can get +3.5.....

Stay tuned....


NFL :

Teaser : TEXAS Pickem & UNDER 51.5! 1 Star


Broncos / Browns UNDER 47 2 stars

THURSDAY NIGHT NFL - late entry

TEASER  7 pts  Chargers +10.5  and UNDER 61.5   1 star


short  week    alot of different angles to this game.....Hedgie feels chargers more complete team  but Chiefs get to play at home on shiort rest.   Eric Berry  returns for Chiefs    should help defense.   

alot of people like over 52  here and line has  inflated to 54.5.....lean  chargers +3.5  lean  under 54.5...teaser is the small play  

NFL WEEK 14

Aaron Rogers Birthday was ....LAST WEEK..The Cardinals spoiled that  but Hedgie thinks Rogers' real gift was the firing of HC  McCarthy . Packers should play inspired today at home..

Packers -4.5  3 stars

Texans -4    3 stars  - Texans are on a 9 game win streak and 5-1 at home...

San Fran/ Denver  UNDER 45   3 stars -  Denver is in the playoff hunt still and it's defense should be able to rattle and contain QB Mullens who is now struggling with 5 INts  past 3 games.  Denver is on a 9-3  UNDER  run  past 12 games...


Teaser:   Ravens +14  and UNDER 58  1 star  (7 pts)   -  Ravens are now a run oriented team with a great defense.  They have won 3 in a row with Lamar Jackson at QB.  Chiefs without Kareem Hunt and have only covered 1 of last 5

Teaser:  Cowboys +4 and OVER 38.5   1 star

The past 12 meetings between army / navy have gone under....

Vegas knows that , bettors know that ...

The past four years the total has dropped from 55.5 ; 53; 50 ; 44.5...and they have all gone under ...

Today is different !   Army has a passing game ; navy’s defense has struggled ...

President H W Bush liked to say ‘CAVU !”

Ceiling And Visibility Unlimited !

OVER 40 is the PLAY !


 5 stars

RIP #41

HEDGIE NFL SUNDAY

Panthers -3   2 stars

Broncos/Bengals  UNDER  45  3 stars

Falcons/Ravens  UNDER 48.5   1 star

Teaser:   7 pts  (-120) 
  BEARS +3.5  and UNDER 50.5   1 star

NCAA SATURDAY

Georgia/Bama   UNDER 64   2 stars

Northwestern/Ohio St UNDER 62  2 stars

NFL THURSDAY

The Cowboys are hitting their stride and have won 3 straight.  The Saints are the best team in the NFL right now  and the Vegas spread shows it.    Dallas is at home and knows  it must keep  Brees the saints offense off the field if it has a chance to win.   Hedgie thinks a lil closer than  most think   lean  cowboys  , lean  under.....

TEASER :  7 pts  (-120)...COWBOYS +14.5  and UNDER  59  
1 star 

NFL WEEK 12- TURKEY TEASER SUNDAY - 5 plays

Many Pundits think John Gruden is TANKING the RAIDERS season so he can get rid of some of the high priced contracts and stock the cupboards with his own draft picks.....He's already traded his best defensive player in Mack and his best offensive WR in Cooper.  Whether or not this is true doesn't matter today.  The Raiders are 2-8  have been playing horribly  and make their 2nd road trip. They will start on East Coast time which is 10am for them  and meet a good Ravens Teams whose strengths are good defense and a solid running team.  This doesn't set up well for a Raiders team who will be challenged mentally and physically.  They are banged up  and their best weapons on offense are  Doug Martin RB and Jordy Nelson WR.
  The  Hedgie was hoping to grab Ravens when it opned at -10.5  and buy it down to -10.   The line has run away as EVERYONE is on the Ravens  . IT's -12  right now  and even -13 in some spots as it may go higher.  It's always tough to lay double digits in the NFL in any game  ...BUT  there's always the  TEASER option.  Today  the Hedgie prefer to TEASE THE RAVENS  in a few multiple early games:     Hedgie has some leans on some road dogs  and will use 7 points to tease them all up.   Here we go:

RAVENS -5 &  BROWNS  +8   3 stars  -    Bengals are with out AJ Green. The line has dropped  below -3.  Browns have kept many games close all season   expect the same here if they don't win outright

RAVENS -5 & SEAHAWKS +10  -  seattle's running game has  improved which makes for a good road formula. They are  7-3-2  ATS their last 12 road games.  

RAVENS -5  &  49ers  +9  -  both teams dealing with a lot of adversity.  49ers much better coached and siding with the team that will at the very minimum should get a back door cover  vs a terrible defense


TEASER:  BILLS + 10  and UNDER 44.5   -  if you can catch Bills +3.5 that may be the best play.  Bills off a bye and Jags may be deflated after terrible 4th Q  loss last week


TEASER :  Giants + 11 and OVER 41- all the money in on the Giants as people realize  how decimated Philly 's secondary is.  Big day  for ODB  , Sharp and Barkley ....

NCAA

Miami -4.5   4 stars

Mich/Ohio St  UNDER 52.5  1 star

HAPPY THANKSGIVING !

Colt McCoy gets the start for the Redskins today.  The last time he started  it was 4 years ago and he beat the Cowboys  IN DALLAS  20-17 in OT.   This game feels like it could set up similiarly.  The Cowboys are coming off  2 straight wins . While the Skins  are off a tough loss at home.   The Line reflects that !   This is a HUGE GAME for both teams and could decide their playoff fate.  The Redskins are  6-1  as an underdog ATS  ths yr  and the value clearly lies with the Skins here ..

 REDSKINS +7.5  3 stars

LIONS/BEARS :  UNDER 43.5  2 stars

The Bears will be without starting QB  Trubiski so Chase Daniels gets the start.  The Lions will be without  starting RB  K. Johnson. You'll see more of L Blount today and with more runs from big backs the clock will move more consistently.   Daniels is a solid backup and HC Nagy brought him from KC  b/c he knows Nagy's system.  He'll run the offense efficiently and may surprise.  But the Bears succeed by their DEFENSE  and this game has the feel of a low scoring divisional slugfest.  

FALCONS/SAINTS : OVER  60  2 stars

The Saints are averaging 48 points in their last 3 games.  The last time these two teams met they scored 80 points !   Unlike the Eagles last week The falcons Offense can hang and will score.  Both teams in the 30s...

Colorado State +14.5    1 star

Both teams LAST game of the year . It's an intra city battle of Colorado Springs.  Too many points for Air Force to lay in the finale where both teams should be playing hard.

MISSISSIPPI + 13  1 star

Ole Miss needs one more W  to become bowl eligible.  Too many points to spot a hungry home dog in this in state rivalry which stands at  10-10  over the past 20 meetings.

NFL WEEK 11...THERE'S A FIVE STAR ON DECK !!!

The Redskins are 6-3 and lead the NFC East and are a home dog +3 today vs the Texans. This will get a lot of bettors attention as a play on the 'home dog'.    But if you look deeper you'll see the Redskins 6-3  record is not as impressive on paper.  They've been on the lucky side of the turnover battle so far this season.  LAst week was a perfect example and why they are getting points.  They beat  the Tamps Bucs on the road 16-3.  But the Bucs amassed  over 500 yards of offense , had 4 turnovers and 2 missed FGs !!     
  The Texans on the other hand have won 6 straight games and are coming in rested off a bye.  JJ Watt and Clowney should be licking their chops as the Redskins Oline is very banged up.    This all spells trouble for the Skins who have a terrible home field advantage as well.  Expect to see a lot of  JJ Watt jersies in the stands today as texans fans celebrate their defense and a WIN...   
  
TEXANS  23 - Skins 13

TEXANS -2.5   5 stars    (Texans -3  4 stars)

Also, leaning UNDER...will pile on a 
TEASER:  Texans +4  and UNDER 48.5  1 star


Vikings +3   2 stars   - The Bears are decent and getting alot of media attention. Their 5 wins are vs poor teams  as mentioned last week.  The Vikes getting Healthier and RB Cook is back.  

Chargers -7  2 stars   - Joey Bosa back this week  to add some mojo to the surging Chargers.  Bronocs have been a poor road team this yr

Panthers -4   - 1 star    Panthers were embarrassed on National TV last week (thursday), have a couple extra days to prepare and face a lions team who traded its best offensive weapon in Golden Tate and has been declining  ever since...

NCAA week 12

Wake forest +6  3 stars

Texas -2.5 2 stars

NFL WEEK 10

The Titans today are a home dog of a full Touchdown. They most likely have had this game circled on their calendar for some time now as  the head coach and many players are former Patriots.  Mike Vrabel , head coach,  Dion Lewis , Malcolm Butler , Ryan Logan and also D coordinator Dean Pees.
The Pats have looked good but you could argue they have played much better at home. The Titans are 7-2-1 ATS  at home their last 10 games.  Hedgie will gladly take  :

TITANS +7  3 stars

Seahawks +10   at Rams    2 stars  -  Rams are a public team which causes bettors to pay a premium. The seahawks played the Rams tough earlier in a 2 point loss and should put up another good fight today. Also, becuase of the raging wildfires in California the Rams had to cancel practice friday. Many players have been affected as well.  20 players have been evacuated from their homes.  Not sure that lends to a totally focused Rams team this sunday

Bills/Jets UNDER 36.5  2 stars   - Josh McCown  & Matt Barkley start at QB vs two good defenses.  Where will the points come from??

Lions +7  2 stars   - THe bears should not be laying a full TD to a divisional rival.  4 of their Wins are against the Bucs, Cards, Bills, and Jets. QB Tribisky is still learning on the fly.  Lions should keep this close and possibly  win.

TEASER:   BUCS +4 and UNDER 58  - 1 star
 The Redskins travel to Tampa very banged up.  Their 3 best offensive linemen are OUT along with 2 starting offensive weapons in  WR  Richardson and RB Thompson.   Nice spot for the Bucs

NCAA November 10th

Colorado +6.5  2 stars

Pitt  -3   2 stars

Georgia Southern/Troy   OVER 44.5   2 stars

THURSDAY NIGHT NFL

Both the Steelers and Panthers are HOT . The Steelers have won 4 straight and the Panthers have won 3 straight.  The Steelers have not historically been great at covering as a favorite at home while the Panthers have proven to be a good dog on the road going 11-5  ATS  it's past 16.  The Steelers are coming off a great road win in Baltimore but Hedgie thinks the hard hitting rivalry takes a physical toll on the Steelers . The unsung hero for Carolina thus far has been  NORV TURNER.  He's got Cam Newton and the Panther's offense humming.  Hedgie thinks this will be the difference :

PANTHERS +3.5    3 stars

Hedgie NFL SUNDAY Week 9

One of the MVP's of the Panthers this year is the O coordinator  , NORV TURNER .  He's worked incredibly well adapting a system that fits Cam Newton's style and after 8 weeks the offense is starting to really click.  In come the hapless Bucs  who are on their 3rd straight road game
   PANTHERS -6  4 stars

Vikings/Lions   UNDER 49  3 stars  -  Lions traded away Golden Tate at the trade deadline and The Vikes will be without  Stefon Diggs.  This game script should have alot of Latavius Murray


Ravens -2   2 stars -     The early money is all on the Steelers +3   People are playing the 'revenge' angle since the Ravens won earlier this season.  But that angle is out the window in this matchup.  The motivation is there for the Ravens too. They are coming off back to back losses and need a win badly.

Texans +1.5  2 stars   - The Texans are rolling with 5 straight wins and have had a couple extra days rest to prepare. The Broncos traded away  WR  D Thomas at the trade deadline  (to the Texans)  and are headed in a different direction

Pats -5     1 star  - Packers traded away  Haha Clinton Dix and Ty Montgomery  and are on their 2nd straight road game.  Brady & Co  should know how to put this one away.

Pats/Packers OVER 56  1 star

Last night Duke and Miami played at Hard Rock Stadium in the rain.  The field is a total mess.  Hedgie will do a teaser and grab the divisional dog  plus the points and under...

TEASER:    JETS +10  & UNDER 49.5  1 star

Hedgie NCAA Football November 3rd

Texas Tech played poorly last weekend and now gets to return home as a double digit dog at night.  Oklahoma has a great offesne but has not covered well as a big favorite.  Hedgie loves the Raiders as a home dog tonight...
    Texas Tech +14      3 stars

Army/Air Force  OVER 42.5  3 stars
     This game has been priced by vegas as an under game  since the last 4 meetings have gone under.  However, if you dig deeper Army has cashed  4 straight overs  and AF  has gone OVER on the road 7 of it's past 9...

LA Tech  +24   3 stars
 

Classic Sandwich Game -  Mississippi State is coming off a nice win vs  Texas A&M  and has  BAMA ON DECK NEXT WEEK.   La Tech is formidable enough to keep this one within the number...  Miss ST  by 17

Baylor +6   1 star -  this line was  8 earlier in the week and a lot of money has steamed in on Baylor.  Another sandwich game while Oklahoma St has  Oklahoma on deck....

The Hedgie is going to try and make it REIGN TODAY....

If you saw the Hedgie altert last night  you'll know that 4 Jag players were partying here at the London Reign Club Friday night until 4am.  They then disputed their approx $50k tab and were arrested and detained for 9 hours.  This shows where the Jaguars head are as their season unravels.  Hedgie played the Eagles -3 last night big  The line has adjusted from Eagles  -3 & 43.5  to Eagles -4.5 & 44.5.
 It's still a play on the Eagles  at these prices and although the total has crept up  Hedgie leans towards the UNDER.  So :

EAGLES -3  5 stars  ( Eagles  -4.5  2 stars) 

EAGLES/JAGS  UNDER 44.5   2 stars

TEASER :  EAGLES  & UNDER  1 star

Let's make it reign back in the states too :

REDSKINS -1   3 stars   

PANTHERS +3  2 stars

JETS +10  1 star

TEASER:  STEELERS -1  & BENGALS + 3.5


Stay tuned for the LATE GAMES...you can also follow 'thehedgie'  on INSTAGRAM ...



 

HEDGIE ALERT * 5 Stars

The Eagles & Jaguars play in London in less that 12 hours....Hedgie was leaning Eagles as the Jags are just a mess and even considered benching starting QB Bortles......but as news comes out of london the play now becomes stronger :      EAGLES -3  (-120)   5 stars    

Line will obviously move  so get the Eags as soon as possible for best execution....  

According to The Sun, four Jaguars players in their 20s were arrested at 4 a.m. local time Saturday morning after allegedly trying to leave the London Reign Showclub without paying their bill, which was said to be in the range of £50,000. The players were reportedly stopped by security after trying to leave and things apparently became physical. The players were released after nine hours in custody, and the club dropped their complaint after the bill was settled, according to the report.

CBS Sports NFL insider Jason La Canfora reports that the four players involved were all members of the secondary, including starting safety Barry Church.

Jason La Canfora

✔@JasonLaCanfora

The four Jaguars players arrested for an incident in London were - Barry Church, DJ Hayden, Jarrod Wilson and Ronnie Harrison. The team has released a statement saying they will handle the matter internally

10:12 PM - Oct 27, 2018

NCAA

Purdue -1   2 stars

Stanford  -2.5  2 stars

THURSDAY NIGHT

The Hokies are always tough at home on a weeknight .  Yellow Jackets record not so much.  Coach Paul Johnson is 3-9  ATS  after a win on the road.    Va Tech -3      3 Stars


NFL :  lean  Texans  lean Under...TEASER  Texans -1 & UNDER 52    1 star

Hedgie went 3-1 in NCAA and moves on to Week 7 NFL...

The NFL has been difficult to handicap lately.  It's a week to week job and there are a lot of moving parts.  Once again this is not the week to waste good winnings or chase.  Vegas is great at setting lines  and many of Today's lines look like tricks or will land right on the number.   Hedgie will give thoughts and info and explain why it will do some small teasers....  

Let's get started :

Patriots / Bears :   This line was Pats -3    Gronk's back seized up last night and he did not make the trip to Chicago.   Money in on the Bears and it's now  Pats -2 or -1.5. Does no gronk mean an auto play on the Bears !?  Heck no.  Brady  has Edelman back , Gordon getting into a groove and Bear's MAck has a sore ankle.......PASS

Browns / Bucs :  This line is bouncing between  Bucs -3  and Bucs -3.5.  The Bucs Jameis Winston's played well last week  and hey return home for a game in hte heat.  They theoretically should win.  The Brown's best  tackler is Out in defense .  BUT the Buc's defense is horrendous and gives up many big plays.  Browns have covered  4 out of 6 this season   so the play is....IF YOU CAN GET +3.5  TEASE BROWNS WITH 7  to +10.5  and OVER  45.5  ....1 star

Bills/ Colts :  This line is moving between  Colts -7 and Colts -7.5.   Bills have a solid Defense . Colts defense is bad.  Bill's start Derek Anderson. How do you trust either team ?  PASS



Lions/ Dolphins :  Lions -3  road favorite coming off a bye. Dolphins go again with backup Osweiler as QB .  Hard for hedgie to trust either.  Last week Osweiler  had good stats but they were padded with Yards after Catch and poor tackling from the Bears.  The lean here is that the Osweiler will show his trues colors and not play as well especially after a week of game film for he Lion's to study.  Lion's will be fresh  Dolphins coming off an  OT win.  But will the  Miami HEAT  affect the Lions. too much uncertainty...PASS

Vikings/Jets  :   Jets have played well at home and are  6-1-1 ATS as a home dog the last 9.  The Vikes started off  shaky.  They come in as a short  favorite.  SO the big question is are the Vikes  for real ?   Hedgie thinks so.  Cousins is settling in with a 70%  completion percentage. The defense is adjusting and coming into form. The Jets are banged up with injuries at  WR  and in the Secondary... Let's tease the Vike's  from -3.5  to +3.5   with  another  small favorite...

Jags/Texans :  The Jags have looked bas the past two weeks.  The problem has been that they get behind on the road and have relied too much on Bortles.   This week they get a Texan team at home that is 3-3. The texans 3 wins have been  shaky at best.  The betting perception is that these teams are equal.  Hedgie still thinks the Jags are much better. They won't have Fornette at RB and this week traded for Carlos Hyde who will not be playing.  The Jag's Defense will step up at home. This line has dropped from Jags -5 to Jags -3.5  .  A great TEASER spot to take 7 points and move Jags from  -3.5  to +3.5....

TEASER :  VIKES  +3.5  and JAGS +3.5   1 star

LATE GAMES:

Redskins/ Cowboys :  this game is a classic NFC EAST RIVALRY . Should also be known today as  JEKYL & HYDE vs  JEKYL & HYDE....
  Dallas is 3-0  at home and 0-3  on Road.    A great tweet this week on the Redskins from Dan Steinberg  :  "The Redskins are 1-1 in their last 2 games ; 2-2 in their last 4 ; 3-3 in their last 6 ; 5-5 in their last 10 ; 6-6 in their last 12 ; 7-7 in their last 14 ; They 're 10-10 in their last 20 ; They're 16-16-1 in their last 33 ; They're 18-18-1 in their last 37"
   Both these teams are hard to figure out !  The rivalry makes it's great.  So how do you bet it ?    The line opened Redskins -2  all the money poured in on Cowboys  based on their last week home W  vs Jags.  SO now it's  Cowboys -1.5.  Dallas is starting to click more on offense  and Vegas has this line set too low  at 41.   SO the play is TEASING the HOME DOG UP from +1.5  to +8.5  and Taking OVER  34  (from 41 ) ... REDSKINS +8.5 and OVER 34   1 star

Saints/ Ravens -  best game on the board today.  The oney is evenly split : do you believe on the home favorite with the better defense ?   or the road team and Brees with the better offense.  Brees has historically struggled on the road but are the Raven's worthy off laying a FG ?   It will be windy in Baltimore   so maybe a lean  towards the home team  & under.....PASS

Rams/ 49 ers :   Rams once again big favorites.  It's their 3rd game in a row on the road !   49ers are clearly outmatched but can they put up a fight at home after  doing so last night.  Kyle Shanahan is a good coach with good gameplans.....line moving around from Rams -9  to Rams -10.....WAIT UNTIL 3:45pm and you might get  49ers  +10 or even +10.5.....that's the lean..otherwise  PASS

Chiefs/Bengals : both offenses top 10 and HOT...money in n the Chiefs  from -6 to -6.5....maybe a late night  grab of Bengals  +7  ??   otherwise  PASS


TO RECAP  : THREE TEASERS:

BROWNS  +10.5  and OVER 45.5

REDSKINS  +8.5 and OVER 34

VIKINGS  +3.5  and JAGS  +3.5

GOOD LUCK !

NCAA FOOTBALL

Duke -6.5  3stars

Marshall +3   2 stars

Temple  -3   2 stars

Nebraska -4.5  1 star

THEHEDGIE was 6-1 YESTERDAY and today will enjoy rather than chase or press....

Today is a HEDGIE TEASER DAY .  When no lines jump out or look attractive the hedgie likes to tease.....here are some thoughts :

- Tannelhill has been ruled  OUT   the line jumped from Bears -3.5  to Bears -7.  The only angle the hedgie would play at this point is Dolphins plus the points  but don't trust  Brock Osweiler ..pass

Seattle/ Oakland is in London. ....leaning Seahawks   ..at -2.5 maybe a play  but this game is in london where it may rain and on grass    elements  make this a pass

Vikings  -10  and 41.....Vikes will NOT lay another egg at home  but 10 is alot...the play would be a 7 point teaser  :  VIKINGS  -3  and UNDER  48   1 star

Jags  -3   and 40  at Dallas....Dallas  offense  1 dimetional. Jags defense will bounce back...and other teaser opportunity :  JAGS  +4  and UNDER 47   1 star

Rams -7  at Denver  -  snow in denver ....tricky line  there are  6.5s and 7s    last week  hedgie lost on the Rams -7 on road  ...won't play it again  esp with weather conditions   pass

Jets -2.5  vs COlts....leaning Colts  +2.5    if it hits  3 by kickoff  will take  Luck +3   ...


Stay tuned for late post  as  lines and news unfolds......

  Good Luck

NCAA

Boston College -13     3 stars - Tough to play in Chesnut Hills and Louisville simply looks like they've given up.

Duke +3    3 stars  -   Coach Cutcliff is 7-1  ATS  against option teams the past 5 years.  Duke has  QB Daniel Jones back for his 2nd game so the rust should be knocked off

Arkansas  +7   2 stars

Kansas State +7.5  2 stars

Charlotte  +7.5   1 star

MArshall -4.5  1 star

Vanderbilt +8  1 star

The Hedgie is on a RIDICULOUS 34-2 STAR WEIGHTED STREAK and 11-1 STRAIGHT UP PICKS !

The RAMS are clearly the better team and rolling into Seattle HOT.  Seattle was not expected to be a good team this year and now it's even worse as they are banged up on both sides of the ball.  Last year the Rams beat Seattle 42-7 in Seattle and Hedgie sees more of the same.  Hedgie often likes to grab value with a home dog and Seattle historically has had great home field advantage. NOT this time.     Get on the Rams as soon as possible -7   because this line will only go higher....
 RAMS -7   3 stars

Rams/Seahawks OVER 50    2 stars

Texans -3   2 stars  - Texans D playing well and should be able to stop the run at home.  Don't trust Dallas on the road

Arizona/San Fran  UNDER 40.5    2 stars

6 1/2 Point TEASER :  Steelers  +3.5  and OVER 51  1 star

6 1/2 Point TEASER :  Jets + 7.5  and UNDER 49.5  1 star


Note:  you can also follow hedgie on  INSTAGRAM @  THEHEDGIE   

NCAA SATURDAY....LATE ADD ON FLORIDA +3

Texas +7.5  3 stars

Ga Southern -12  3 stars

Air Force +3  2 stars

Notre Dame -6.5  1 star


late addition:  FLORIDA +3   2 stars   (if +2.5 1 star)

The Hedgie's finished his Cigar after a 6-0 weekend and ready to get back at it .....

Both Georgia Tech and Louisville are a bit desperate.  The perception is that Ga Tech will run all over Louisville.  However , this is a Friday Night game and the line has crept up from -3.5  to -5.5.
  Bobby Petrino has never missed taking his Cards to a Bowl Game .   QB Jawon Pass appears to be playing better lately.    There's plenty at stake.  Hedgie likes buying a 1/2 point and taking the Friday Night Home Dog ...

Louisville +6  (-120)    2 stars

NFL WEEK 4

Bears -2.5  (-120)   3 stars

Jags  -7   (-115)  2 stars

Raiders/Browns OVER 44.5  1 star

NCAA

NC State -6  3 stars

Oregon -2  3 stars

San Jose St +10  1 star

HEDGIE ALERT - NFL 5 STAR ..THURSDAY NIGHT

THE VIKINGS (and Rams )  have been POINTING to this game all offseason.  It's the biggest  THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL game in awhile. It will have big impacts on the NFC playoff picture.  This could also explain a little bit about the Vikings abysmal performance last week vs the visiting Bills.  The Hedgie thinks there are 2 reasons for this :

1)  The classic LOOK AHEAD game to Thursday night with powerhouse Rams.  It's not easy to get up for a game where you are  17 point favorites and everyone telling you how you will demolish the Bills

2)  EVERSON GRIFFEN -  the Vikes teammate has been ordered to have a mental health assessment.  He was basically holed up in a Minneapolis Hotel and acting crazy.  He also apparently tried to break into a teammate's house on a separate incident. This HAD to have an impact on his teammates and clearly caused some distractions.

THAT WAS LAST WEEK. NOW THE VIKINGS ARE BACK TO FOOTBALL AND WILL BE FOCUSED.  THIS IS THE REASON THE VIKINGS  SIGNED KIRK COUSINS. THEY NEED A QB THAT CAN BE A LEADER AND PLAY STEADY ON THE ROAD.  THE VIKINGS GET STARTING CENTER , PAT ELFLEIN, BACK AND DALVIN COOK APPEARS READY TO RETURN AS WELL.

On the Other side of the ball the Rams are the betting public's darling.  They bet em heavy and vegas  as a result has to keep an inflated line.  The public however, are NOT paying much attention to the recent injuries.  BOTH STARTING DBS ARE BANGED UP .   Aqib Talib will have ankle surgery and is OUT  and Peters has a strained calf.  He says he might play but Hedgie thinks not . If Peters does play then he becomes a target .

Vegas  opened this line at Rams -7 . The wise guys have been grabbing the +7  but there are still some 7s out there as of tonight.   Run to the windows to grab 7 if you can.  If not  don't fret ; the betting public will pile on and bet the Rams  so you'll be able to get 6.5   6 at the worst case.

Getting great value here with a very good Vikings team

VIKINGS +7   5 STARS

MNF

Fitzmagic is about to end ......  The Steelers come into tonight a wounded dog . They are a desperate 0-2 team and know very well that makin the playoffs from 0-3 is almost impossible.  The media is overplaying  the locker room drama in Pittsburgh. Tonight Hedgie thinks the Steelers will play inspired ball.  Fitzpatrick is playimg well but the Bucs have a banged up  secondary  and won't be able to match the Steelers on the scoreboard....

STEELERS +2    3 stars

The Hedgie is SPEECHLESS about the Ducks..but must move on...

Appropriate considering the Ducks could have knelt and won....

NFL:

CARDS +6   4 stars   (Bears traveling off a short week. There will be a David Johnson siting)

Bengals +3   2 stars

Raiders/Dolphins OVER 44.5  2 stars

Seahawks -1.5  1 star

The Hedgie has a BIG CARD SATURDAY and the first 5 star of the year ....

ESPN Gameday comes to Oregon and the #20 ranked Ducks find themselves a home dog vs #7 Stanford. This Ducks team needs a W in the  primetime spot to make their season worthwhile. It's a night game and the crowds will be crazed.  Home Dog wins  Outright  

OREGON +3 (-115)  5 STARS

Missouri +15     3 stars  (mizzou has a great offense and will hang here at home)

Clemson -16 3 stars  (Clemson's best DLINE yet will destroy the option attack -  blowout)

Nebraska +18   2 stars (Cornhuskers get QB back , still fading Michigan as a powerhouse this yr)

Vanderbilt +3  (-115)  2 stars  

Texas +3.5  2 stars

Marshall +6  1 star  (veteran team , home dog)

‘LOOKING AHEAD’ to this weekend ... there’s a play tonight

ILLINOIS +27    1 STAR

Penn state has Ohio state on deck next week & will not have a max effort tonight on a short week vs an inferior team.  Fighting Illini will do just that  as they’ve covered 7 of past 10...

HEDGIE THURSDAY

Rookie QB  Sam Darnold was harrassed by a Dolphins defense and now has had just 100 hours to prepare for a BETTER BROWNS DEFENSE.   D Coordinator G. Williams will bring the heat with his blitz schemes and force the Rookie into a couple costly mistakes.  Although veteran QB  Taylor has not played  well he's an experienced pro. Big Edge for Browns at home .

  BROWNS -3    1 star

The Hedgie has started 10-0 Star Weighted in the NFL and tries to remain undefeated today ...

Week 1 of the NFL Season had  NEW COACHES start 0-7 !   That's only happened 4 times  since 1970  when new coaches have not opened with a W.   This week The Hedgie thinks the New Head Coaches will have similiar results  except  perhaps  PAT SHURMUR 
The NY Giants head to Dallas for a Sunday Night showdown and Hedgie thinks Vegas has the wrong team favored.  Dallas is without it's starting Center  and in the offseason lost  WR Dez Bryant and TE Jason Witten.  Meanwhile,  The Giants have an improved  OLine and added star draft pick Saquon Barkley.  Pat Shurmur has been around the block and knows the right formula to Win.  
   NY GIANTS  +3     3 stars

Redskins  -5.5    2 stars  (Redskins look overlooked  with QB Alex Smith at the helm who Hedgie sees as an upgrade over  former  QB Cousins)

Falcons  -5.5   2 stars  (3 days extra rest and back at Home  Falcons should get back on track)

Eagles -3   2 stars  ( 3 days extra rest and catching good value on the line after Bucs upset Saints.  Eagles have a great defense and should give Bucs journeyman QB Fitzpatrick alot of trouble today)

49ers  -5.5    2 stars (fading Matt Patricia and Detroit's new coaching staff until further notice)

The Hedgie has released 4 Saturday Plays....

Senior QB  Dungey  should lead 'Cuse to an outright win over a struggling  Fla State team
     Syracuse +3    3 stars

Notre Dame -13.5    over Vanderbilt   2 stars

Washington/Utah  UNDER 47   2 stars

Ohio/Virginia  OVER 54  1 star