Sunday, September 28, 2014

NFL SUNDAY SEPT 28

Packers -1.5   3 stars

Packers/Bears OVER 50.5  3 stars

Lions  -1.5  3 stars

Falcons -3  2 stars  (if have to lay 4 then 1 star)

Raiders +3.5  1 star

Ravens -3  (-120)  1 star

Texans -3  1 star

Friday, September 26, 2014

Hedgie has a 5 Star….



Last weekend against Utah  , Michigan HC Brady Hoke and DC Greg Mattison were seen arguing at the end of the first half.  Due to numerous turnovers Michigan lost 26-10 and the boo birds have come out in full force.  Michigan is off to a slow start and has committed 10 turnover in 3 games…but here comes the visiting Gophers of Minnesota and that's a welcome sign for the Wolverines.  Last yr as 19 point favorites Michigan Won and covered  42-13.  If there's any 'get well' game  or time to turn things around it's NOW.  Due to last week's loss and an embarrassing loss at ND  Michigan is installed as an only 12.5 pt favorite.   They still have a strong defense and Minnesota limps in with a struggling offense and 2nd string QB.   The Hedgie predicts a final score Mich 34 - Minn 13

Michigan -12.5   5 stars


Washington +7.5  3 stars

(thehedgie is on instagram now too)

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Thursday Night NFL (thehedgie is on instragram now too)



TEASER  6.5 points  - Redskins +3.5  / OVER 38.5  2 stars


Sunday, September 21, 2014

NFL HEDGIE SEPT 21



Hedgie Likes today's Card:

Redskins +6  1 star

Redskins / Eagles OVER 50  3 stars
- eags have a short week vs divisional foe and cousins appears to be a better fit than rg3 in gruden's offense

Colts -7    1 star

Cowboys -1   2 stars

Packers/Lions OVER 52  3 stars

Bengals -6.5  2 stars 

Panthers -3  2 stars


stay tuned for potential more picks by 1pm kickoff.....some notes to consider:   chargers travel west and have an early kickoff after a physical game vs seahawks..are the bills for real?  vegas sharps are on both sides......rob bironas died in a tragic car accident last night  ..although he wasnt a titan will his loss affect the titans mentality?     joe flacco has not fared well vs pettitne and his defenses in the past....but they've had extra time since thurs night and is the ravens offense acclimating to the uptempo of kubiak??   seahawks are 16-4  against spread at home last 20.....


Saturday, September 20, 2014

Hedgie tries to Stay Classy this Saturday...

Wake Forest +2.5   2 stars

Michigan -3.5  2 stars

Wyoming -3.5   3 stars

Florida +14.5  1 star




Also,  Clemson +10.5   2 stars   - Winston to sit the entire game


Thursday, September 18, 2014

Thursday night Football


Bill Snyder is one of the all time best underdog coaches. K state has a good team this year too. But Hedgie is a bit weary of Auburn as well. They are a very good team and may pull away late in the game.   This game will be full of emotion from the home team as this was sold out 3 months ago . The play is  Kansas State FIRST HALF  +4    2 stars


Also,  Bucs +7  at kickoff  1 star - line is moving up and good value at +7

Monday, September 15, 2014

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL (the hedgie is on instagram now too)


COLTS -3   2 stars

Colts/Eags OVER 54  3 stars

Sunday, September 14, 2014

Hedgie Week 2 Picks

Redskins -5.5     4 stars    - Jay Gruden debut at home and although RG3  hasn't looked sharp the redskins should be able to move the ball on the ground with Alfred Morris which will set up some big plays downfield for a dinged up Jags team without Starting Safety Cyprion  (also no Cecil Shorts again)


Cinci -5   1 star   -  Falcons look like they are back but they come into cinci today WITHOUT BOTH STARTING TACKLES.  Bengals are 9-0 at home past year and should be able to put this one away

Niners -7    2 stars   - the Bears are also dinged up.  They are struggling vs the run on Defense and have Oline problems . TO make matter worse both WRs  Marshall and Jeffrey are dinged up and 75% they will not play

Seahawks -5.5  - 1 star    hedgie usually likes the divisional home dog   but the seahawks have had 9 days rest  , looked great opening week and the chargers are coming off a monday night game where they lose their starting center (harwick ) for the season.    

Saints -5.5  - 1 star    another spot where hedgie likes to play a home dog but not today.  Saints have been bad on the road on grass but the browns offense is struggling and will be without starting rb Tate and star TE  Cameron Jordan.   To much to overcome vs a Saints team that has a potent offense and need to get its first W


Teaser :  Bucs pickem  & UNDER 38     Rams are down to their 3rd Qb in Austin Davis who is clearly not ready to start in the NFL. The Bucs struggled as well last week bit should be able to right the ship at home



OTHER HEDGIE NOTES/ LEANS:

Hedgie was leaning Vikes at home before the AP news...

HEdgie was trying to catch Lions +3  but with news that Panthers end  Hardy is deactivated that makes this line a picked now

Hedgie was trying to get Cardinals +3  but when Palmer became deactivated  thats a 'pass'

NO weather to be concerned of...ALL GAMES TODAY ARE OUTDOORS which is unusual but only storms in tampa and heat in san diego and san fran


Good Luck


LATER POSTS COMING as well....

Friday, September 12, 2014

The Hedgie IS NOW ON INSTAGRAM and has some STRONG PLAYS to share....



Nate STUDFELD has been rolling with Indiana the past two weeks and with Bowling Green Starting QB  Matt Johnson out  the Hedgie seeing Indiana cruising to victory easily....

INDIANA -7   5 stars

also...

Arkansas  +1      3 stars


LATE ADDITION:  GAMECOCKS +7 (-120)  2 stars

line creeping up on this one and hedgie sees good value in gamecocks at home getting a full TD. this is their season and hedgie expects Mike Davis  (gamecock RB)  to have a good day...

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Monday, September 8, 2014

MNF ....

Tonight no plays   Hedgie just studying....

Leaning ...Giants and UNDER

                Chargers and over  

But both lines have already moved....

Sunday, September 7, 2014

HEDGIE NFK WEEK 1

 BUCS -2.5  3 STARS  - Panther's Oline is rebuilding, they lost their top Wrs in the offseason and Cam Newton starting with sore ribs.  

EAGS/JAGS UNDER 52  3 STARS-  Gus Bradley's team played good defense down the stretch last season and with No Cecil Shorts the Jags offense will be limited

TEASER: BEARS -1/2  & OVER 41.5  1 STAR 


Some line moves to be aware of :

- the Saints opened as +2.5 underdogs a few weeks back and all the money is now pouring in on them as hype builds. they are now -3 favorites on the road....vale may lie with the home dog now

- Bucs/Panthers Total has dropped from  39.5  to 37.5  - vegas experts are expecting a low scoring opener here with Lovie Smith at the helm in Tampa

- Money is in on the Titans  making that line from Chiefs -6  a month ago to  Chiefs -3 now in many spots.  Value now with Chiefs??  There's hype with new HC Whisenhunt but opeing on road in KC might not be Titans best spot

- Money is in on Dallas as the line went from +6  to +4 now.  Niners have some suspensions and drama but Dallas also showed zero defense this preseason ..what gives?  OVER 51?


best of luck this season !  -  Hedgie


Monday, September 1, 2014

Hedgie has a play tonight...

Miami is an underdog in a revenge spot after losing to U of L last year.  Duke Johnson is healthy again and that should be the difference in this one...



MIAMI +3.5    2 stars   - try and get that extra half point if possible