bowling continues....

Houston -4.5 2 stars

hedgie wednesday...

yesterday stung......

today we fight back

bowling green UNDER 68.5 1 star

arizona +3 3 stars

arizona/nebraska UNDER 40.5 1 star

Bowling continues....

hedgie tries to keep a steady hand while adding to the HOT STREAK !

Bowls: 8-2 weighted

Bowls/NFL: 12-2-3

Today: Temple +4.5 3 stars

motivation on the Owls side today. They want to be here and it's a home game. UCLA was the last team to make a bowl and has ot travel cross country to play....

Miami -3 4 stars

the CANES have a big team speed advantage and will be motivated. Wisconsin has an edge with their rushing attack but Big Ten schools have not done well in bowls and can not see the Badgers coming from behind if they lose a lead. The U wins by 7-10

line is creeping higher and is 3.5 and 4 in some spots. hedgie recommends buying half point down to -3 if it only costs -120

MNF

MNF - pass. money in on the vikes but would not be surprised to see Bears fight hard for Lovie on their last home game of the season. Just can't back Cutler.

Will have Bowl plays later this week !!

p.s. hedgie likes comments but poopy mouth trash talking is a turn off. especially from anonymous sources. the administrator is always watching.....hard enough making money vs the books.

late sunday post

Washington/Dallas UNDER 42 1 star

Kentucky +7 1 star

sunday hedgie

Ravens/Steelers UNDER 43 3 stars

stay tuned for possible late additions....might post at 345pm for afternoon games. and then by 730pm for the 2 night games: skins/boys and kentucky/clemson

Ho Ho Ho

Santa was on the right side of the game Christmas Day bringing the hedgie and it's followers a 4 star gift wrapped.....

Today :

UNC/PITT - PASS all the money in on UNC probably because it's almost a home game near charlotte and the fashion in which Pitt lost it's last couple games.....hedgie passing and focusing on tonight...

UCS/BC - UNDER 45.5 hedgie expects USC to come out very FLAT The Trojans expected to be in a much bigger game and only finished 5th in the PAC 10. However BC has really struggled scoring on the road this season. They only scored 19 at UVA, 14 at Maryland and 16 in a loss at ND. BC will be the more motivated team in this contest. Hedgie expects to see a low scoring game with good defensive efforts. Pete Carroll is one of the best at halftime adjustments so USC may pull away late. And since the early money is on BC taking the line down from 9 to 7 hedgie sees the play as BC +4 in the FIRST HALF and UNDER 45.5 for the game. 2 stars each

Merry Christmas ..

Chargers +3 4 stars

the titans have been hot winning 7 of last 8. vince young is playing well and chris johnson has developed into the most dangerous RB in the NFL. The titans should be able to have success on the chargers running on the edges. HOWEVER, they lost their Emotional Leader in Keith Bullock last week and are getting too much respect from the betting public. They have not covered their last 2 and the Chargers come into town the HOTTEST team in the league. Phillip Rivers is playing the best ball of his career and has NEVER LOST IN DECEMBER. The Chargers have won 9 straight games and have a bit of revenge on their minds too. In December 2007 when the Chargers played the Titans there were some cheap shots and Shawn Merriman hurt his knee. The wrong team is favored here. San Diego still needs a win to secure the #2 seed in the playoffs.Expect max effort from the chargers in an outright win......

Christmas Eve

SMU +11.5 1 star

so far 4 of 5 dogs have covered and Nevada will not be at full strength without 2 of it's 3 rbs. hedgie will stay with the trend .....

Wednesday Bowling

Cal -2.5 1 star Cal has been unpredictable but hedgie thinks they'll be motivated enough to end the season on a good note. They have better athletes and will be going against a true freshman QB (Wynn) making only his 5th start...... Cal 34 Utah 24

The Hedgie goes BOWLING

It's time to go BOWLING ! There are 29 bowl games left until Jan 5th which means 58 possible plays for the Hedgie. There is a 5 star in there somewhere so stay tuned ! Picks will be posted throughout the holidays...

Tonight : BYU +3 3 stars BYU is playing in it's 5th straight bowl game in Vegas. Their fans travel well and they WANT to be there. Oregon St has an impressive 4-1 spread record it's last five bowls (hence the small line).BUT the hedgie doesn't think the motivation is there for the beavers. They'd rather be playing in the Rose bowl. BYU wins outright !

MNF

Giants -2.5 1 star

Skins are playing their best ball lately covering their last 5 while the Giants have struggled . However, The Hedgie thinks this line is skewed because of the recent trends. A couple weeks back this line would be closer to 6-7 pts an that's just what the Gmen should win by here. Eli Manning and ball protection is the Giant's key to victory. Last week Eli threw for 391 yars and 3 TD's on 27-38 completions with ZERO TURNOVERS. That form should continue as the Ginats should be able to set up play action running at the middle of the skins defense.

Final Score Giants 24 Skins 17

Hedgie sunday

KC Chiefs -2 3 stars chiefs last game at home and browns likely have a letdown after beating their rival steelers last week...

Bills +7.5 2 stars pats entire dline decimated. wilfork doubtful. recall bills heartbreaking loss 25-24 week 1. hedgie buying half point from 7 to 7.5 for -120 juice

Seattle -6.5 2 stars seahwaks play well at home. bucs travel cross country and have been losing on the road by double digits

Jets -6.5 - 1 star hedgie buying half point here as well laying -120. when cowboys beat saints last night it eliminated the falcons from playoffs. on't look for much of matt ryan of michael turner here if at all.

thursday night football

colts -3 1 star late post, sorry. colts are playing starters and jags are horrendous in the secondary.

hedgie sunday

sorry for the lack of content this past week....hedgie still recovering from last friday's cannon blast

now that's OVER we'll move on.....

Chiefs /Bills OVER 38 2 stars

Packers/ Bears OVER 41.5 2 stars

Ravens / Lions OVER 39.5 3 stars

May all your overs be OVER early......

mnf

no play tonight

hedgie sunday

Titans +7 2 stars (hedgie bought 1/2 point from 6.5 to 7) laying -120 juice

Chiefs/Broncos OVER 39 1 star

hedgie sunday

san jose st +23.5 2 stars

bama/fla OVER 41 1 star

hedgie friday

hedgie's been busy getting ready for a big friday night.....

but still found an angle for tonights MAC matchup:

Ohio/Central Michigan UNDER 53.5 1 star

Ohio Qb Scott questionable after twisting ankle vs Temple and starting WR Brazill also will most likely miss the game.......

good luck stay tuned for the weekend

2 FIVE STARS IN ONE WEEK !!!

MNF, Saints/Pats UNDER 56.5 1 star should be a good one

ALERT

Adam Schefter just reported that Kurt Warner most likely will not start. Line is climbing....

Titans -2.5 becomes a 5 STAR selection if Leinhart starts

Thanksgiving Sunday

Hedgie is thankful for the Cowboys covering -13 and especially the BRONCOS for showing up for it's FIVE STAR DOMINATION this past Thursday. If you are thankful for the Hedgie free blog take a few seconds to donate a couple bucks to the Seed Academy. www.seedproject.org

click on 'donate' it's easy. even $20 makes a difference..

On to Pigskin !!

Today alot of injuries and interenting scenarios:

RAMS +4 3 stars Rams are still playing hard and Steven Jackson is a go. Wih Boler under center hedgie leans Under but the Home Divisional Dog is the play. Especially after Rams got humiliated in week 1 at Seattle

Titans -2 3 stars The Titans are laying with a ton of confidence. Vince Young is playing beyond expectations and the Cards come into this one on a 2nd consecutive road trip with Kurt Warner questionable. Expect titan defense to harass Warner. Would not be surprised if Leinhart finishes this game. btw, Leinhart is horrible.....

Leans: leaning Texans as they are desperate and Colts without Freeney. But line has dropped to +3 and just can't trust Texans.

Tease Me: hedgie doesn't tease BUT with the sudden scratch of Big Ben Pitt has to go to their 3rd string QB (Charlie Batch is out). Dennis Dixon gets first start against the Ravens D. expect alot of running and a low scorer. would prefer Ravens -1.5 & under 40 as a tease ...just an fyi

hedgie sunday

hedgie doesn't particularly like this sunday's card......still checking all active,inactive, and injured players for today....will post picks approx 12 noon stay tuned

hedgie saturday College football

Virginia +15 2 stars

Notre Dame +10 2 stars

Full Slate Friday

Rutgers -3 at Louisville 2 stars - bounce back from embarrassing loss

Bama -9.5 at Auburn 2 stars

HAPPY THANSGIVING

Last week Saturday 2-2 (6-6 weighted)

Sunday 3-1 (7-3 weighted)

an 'anonymous' hedgie follower was apparently upset about the rutgers call last week.

SHAMEFUL.....this is gambling, son.....and a winning weekend as well....

Hedgie has some opinions today !

Green Bay/Detroit OVER 47.5 1 star

Dallas -13.5 1 star

Denver +6 5 stars

Kyle Orton will start after nursing an ankle sprain. He had previously been playing great until he got hurt at the end of the 2nd Quarter in the Redskins game.

Brian Dawkins called a players only meeting tuesday in Denver. He had a neck sprain n the chargers game but will be fine or Thursday Night's matchup. Alot of the players said the plaers meeting was great . So expect a big effort from the home team tonight.

Also, The Giants will be without their BEST running back , Bradshaw. This is important since Denver's weakness has been vs the run lately. Jacobs and Ware will be conted on to carry the load. Jacobs is a bit dinged up too.

Traveling to Mile High on a short week coming off an overtime win is a HUGE advantage for the Broncos. This is a great spot to back the home dog !

The Bears passing game is just BUTT UGLY ...

Cutler INT's = 18 leads NFL

Cutler Passer Rating 74.5

oh yeah, there's a game tonight......TEXANS/TITANS UNDER 48.5 2 stars

this number too high for an divisional matchup. jeff fischer will try to keep Schaub and Johnson off the field with a run oriented offense ....

NFL Sunday week 11

Lions/Browns OVER 37.5 2 stars

Falcons +7 3 stars

Jaguars -8.5 3 stars

saturday College Football

Rutgers -8.5 4 stars

Northwestern +7 3 stars

Kansas State +16.5 3 stars

Indiana +3 2 stars

thurs night football

no play tonight...fish are 5-1 OVER last 6 still lean over 42 but without ronnie brown will stay away. lean panthers -3 as well. but don;t trust jake so staying away

stay tuned for the weekend!

NFL Sunday

Broncos -3.5 2 stars

Bengals+7 2 stars

Miami/Tampa OVER 43 3 stars

ncaa Saturday

BC -4 vs uva 4 stars

(go go ...line might go higher)

Indiana +24.5 3 stars

Thursday Night NFL

“I think we can destroy their front,” he said. “The guys up front, I think we can destroy them. I don’t see anything spectacular about their front line.”
- Vernon Davis (trying to be a leader)
He's probably right but ...jeez.... leaning niners -3 and although over looks tempting vegas set it high. so would lean UNDER...good luck

MNF

Denver +3 1 star

don't chase it with 2 1/2 but if you catch 3 the MNF home dog worth a shot . this game feels similiar to bengals ravens ....

nfl sunday

Niners -4 3 stars

Bears/ Cards OVER 44.5 2 stars

saturday College Football

connecticut +17 1 star

duke +10 2 stars

indiana +10.5 2 stars

houston -1.5 2 stars

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

East Carolina +13.5 vs Va Tech 2 stars


hedgie did homework on this but too tired to write it up....................good luck

MNF

Falcons + 11.5 vs Saints 2 stars

Line seems to be overinflated with Saints coming off an impressive come from behind win in Miami and the Falcons getting embarassed in Dallas last week. The books also got burned with alot of heavy favorites covering and this week everyone and their mother has the saints in their teaser card laying less than a TD. So the line continues to move up to 11.5 maybe even 12 by kickoff.
Hedgie looks for similiar results as it's 3 star win backing the Niners +12 at Indy yesterday...

sunday

ouch...2 misfires on saturday...

sunday:

san fran +13 3 stars

arizona/carolina OVER 41 2 stars

BOO !!!

The hedgie has been hiding this week....

Georgia +14.5 vs Florida 3 stars Florida offense not the same after Tebow's concussion.

more conservative playcalling and less weapons in past to blow teams out....

USC -3 vs Oregon 2 stars getting a good number here since Oregon has been covering lately and blowing teams out while USC been winning and not covering. Hedgie thinks line shouldbe more like 6 and USC wins by a TD and goes to sweep rest of games and contend for NAtional Title

sunday hedgie

Dallas/Atlanta UNDER 48 3 stars

Saints -6 1 star

Jets -6 1 star

Saturday Plays

Idaho +15.5 vs Nevada 1 star

Washington +10 vs Oregon 3 stars

Stanford - 6.5 vs Az St 2 stars

Hedgie Record To Date

Record Star Weighted

NCAA 20-10 / 40-15

NFL 10-9 / 20-15

MLB 2-0 /3-0


Total 32-19 / 63-30 67.7 %

NFL Sunday

KC Chiefs +6.5 5 stars

hedgie will follow up with another chiefs play. alot to write here but more important to get the play out....bottom line- skins organization is a mess. offense averages 14 pts per game and loses starting LT this week, moves Heyer from RT to LT and Mike Williams who has been out of the league for 3 yrs to RT. Tamba Hali , chiefs DE , will have a field day...chiefs are an organization with new GM , coaches and players all fighting for their first win ......they just might get it today

College Football

Tonight Pitt is getting et up from 3.5 to 6.5 and with pending bad weather the total down from 48 to 45. hedgie will PASS here......

Saturday:

Illinois -3 2 tars

Iowa +3 2 stars

Ga Tech +3 2 stars

Thursday night home dawg???

Tempted to side with South Florida getting 2.5 at home.....it'll be the only good game in Raymond James Stadium this season....but going to save up for the weekend....pass

Hedgie Sunday

Hedgie does NOT like the sunday card this week.  The big favorites are all being bet up (vikes,eags,giants,steelers) and typicallly in hte NFL hedgie can find a live dog worth playing and the only one is the chiefs

KC Chiefs  +8      1   star      dallas is just not playing well. tony romo is making poor throws and decisions and this week roy williams and homerun threat felix jones  both did not make the trip. KC has a loyal home crowd so there will still be home field advantage at arrowhead stadium.  also, todd haley pulled coaching staff from practice friday to try to amp up focus:

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4551044

Pats -3              1 star       hedgie respects denver and their D  but unlike dallas last week the Pats will be ready for this inter-divisional matchup.

   HEDGIE HAD ANOTHER SATURDAY SWEEP !!!  6-0 STARS....STAY DISCIPLINED. THERE ARE MANY GAMES AHEAD AND STILL NO 4 or 5 STARS YET.....

Saturday College Football

Arkansas +3      3 stars

  critical game for Arkansas at home. Auburn comes in off a huge road win vs Tennessee. 2nd straight SEC road game should prove difficult. 6 of 7 meetings between these schools the home team has prevailed.

ARMY +10           1 star

   SEC Sandwich game for Vanderbilt with Georgia on deck.  Too many points to spot

HOUSTON +3         2 stars

this line opened houston -3 and is being bet the other way for the wrong reasons. houston has 2 great wins this season vs Texas Tech and Okl State and will be up for this game after an off week last week

Friday night college football

Louisiana Tech +10.5     1 star    tonight  9pm

More saturday plays coming later....

THURSDAY NIGHT HOME DOG

Missouri + 3.5 2 stars

Blaine Gabbert been playin great with 11 TD's and 0 Ints ....that'll be the difference

The Hedgie throws a CHANGEUP

The Blue Raiders dismal effort last night turned the hedgie's attention to The Twins/Tigers MLB game last night......unbelievable 12 Inning slugfest. Watching the TWINS celebrate and pour champagne all over each other made the Hedgie think one thought: 'WHAT ARE THE YANKEES LAYING TOMORROW at 6:05pm ?"

Here are the facts:

CC Sabathia (19-8) 3.37 ERA vs Brian Duensing (5-2) 3.64 ERA

(lefty) (lefty rookie)

Yankees vs Lefties 36-18

Twins vs Lefties 28-32

BETTING LINE : YANKEES -425 vs TWINS +325

also, YANKEES - 1.5 RUNS laying -150 (if yanks win by 2 or more runs)

TWINS arrived in New York this moring at 3Am......

See where hedgie is going here? YANKEES -1.5 runs tonight 2 stars

ALSO, YANKEES to win TWINS SERIES -400

Tuesday night - Midd tenn st +7 1 star

MNF

Hedgie not going to press it after this past weekend...2nite  = PASS

majority of money is n on the vikes which has gone from -3 to -4.5

 and the over  which has gone from 44.5  to 46

Sunday Plays

Bears/Lions   OVER 41.5          2 stars

Cowboys  - 2.5                             1 star

Chargers  +6.5                             2 stars

Bears have many defensive injuries at linebacker which should allow Stafford to have some success.   Steelers are without Parker and Troy P while Chargers get LT back.  Cowboys should be able to run the ball . short price to lay.  good luck

sunday plays...waiting

hedgie waiting for all injury and weather reports. this week is unusual and there are many star players that are iffy. lines are also different in some spots....will post in the morning as news becomes available....prob 1130am.....nice job by the U tonight  (offensive coordinator whipple is the reason that offense is clicking and adjusting so well. stay tuned for big play on the U this season)

Hedgie Friday Night & Saturday College

Friday Night:
8pm PITT - 6.5 1 star - Pitt QB Stull playing very efficiently
SATURDAY:

12 noon Syracuse + 6.5 2 Stars - expecting a letdown from South Florida after last weeks shocking upset over Fla St. Cuse playing hard with Paulus under center.

330 pm Florida St - 3.5 3 stars - bounce back for the noles. expect to see the team that crushed BYU


330pm LSU + 3.5 3 stars - huge revenge game for LSU after Georgia slammed them in Baton Rouge last season with 52 points

8pm Miami +7.5 3 stars - Oklahoma without QB Sam Bradford still and young Miami team with tons of talent will give max effort after embarassing losst to Va Tech

Hedgie will probably be twittering during Miami/Oklahoma game. Stay tuned for halftime views and possible wager 'opportunities'.....

hedgie humpday...

These teams may want to hit this button immediately :

TEAM RECORD vs SPREAD OVER/UNDER

TITANS 0-3

10-13 @steelers +6 WIN UNDER 35

31-34 texans -7 LOSS OVER 41

17-24 @jets +2 LOSS OVER 37

_________________________________

BROWNS 0-3

20-34 vikes +4.5 LOSS OVER 40

6-27 @ broncos +6 LOSS UNDER 38

3-34 @ Ravens +13.5 LOSS UNDER 38

____________________________

BUCS 0-3

21-34 Cowboys +5.5 LOSS OVER 39

20-33 @ Bills +4 LOSS OVER 42

0-24 Giants +6 LOSS UNDER 45

_______________________________

RAMS 0-3

0-28 @ Seahawks +9 LOSS UNDER 41

7-9 @Redskins +9.5 WIN UNDER 37

17-36 Packers +7 LOSS OVER 42

_____________________________________

Dolphins 0-3

9-17 @ Falcons +4 LOSS UNDER 44

23-27 Colts +3 LOSS OVER 41

13-23 @ Chargers +5.5 LOSS UNDER 44

_____________________________________

Panthers 0-3

10-38 Eagles +2.5 LOSS OVER 43

20-28 @Falcons +6 LOSS OVER 43

7-21 @ Cowboys +9 LOSS UNDER 48

_________________________________

CHIEFS 0-3

24-38 @ Ravens +13.4 LOSS OVER 36

10-13 Raiders -3 LOSS UNDER 39

14-34 @ Eagsles +7.5 LOSS OVER 39

______________________________________________________________

Totals 0-21 2-19 Against Spread 11 OVERS 9 UNDER

STAY TUNED FOR NFL PLAYS ON/AGAINST THESE TEAMS WEEK 4

On the other hand Hedgie will try and hit

This button tonight;

Tonight on ESPN2 La Tech host Hawaii in a sneaky Gamblers Special.

La Tech is 1-2 but 0-2 against spread while Hawaii makes another long trip and is 2-1 and 2-0 against the spread. The line opened La Tech -2.5 and since then gamblers are betting the home team as hawaii announced starting RT out and fad the far traveling road team. The line is now up to La TEch -5.5 in most spots. Hedgie sees value here with the DOG. Hawaii traveled to Dallas after practioce monday and practiced at local Trinity High School tuesday. It appears to be an immportant game for Hawaii based on reprts from The Honolulu Advisor. Coach Maklin said "This is an important ballgame for us. I feel a big responsibility for us to represent the team, our staff, and the people of Hawaii" . Another player said :

"This is a big step for us to play Louisiana Tech," linebacker Blaze Soares said. "It's going to define our season. Either we make it or break it. It's for all of the marbles."

http://sports.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/20090930/SPORTS0201/909300364&template=UHSports/UH+prepares+for+worst

Therefore HAWAII + 5.5 tonight 2 stars

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

After going 10-3 star weighted this weekend , hedgie going to PASS on this game. For those who MUST here are a few angles that may or may not help:

Line opened Cowboys -9 & 46.5 O/U NOW: -8 & 48
Betting public is 92% on backing the dog
Early wagers also 90% on the OVER
John Fox and Panthers used to be great road dogs. But since 2007 Fox teams 5-8 ATS
Both teams went OVER in their first 2 games. Thus the line moving higher....

A couple other notes: Brett Farve's pass still could NOT COVER vs Niners. But if you missed it it's worth watching :







Plus, WHO'S THE NFL'S WORST OWNER ?? TOO EASY.....

http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/football/story/1241872.html?story_link=email_msg





A Picture taken by the hedgie after the Lion's Loss catching Dan Snyder begging Tony Dungy to come back and coach the skins for $200 million........

additional sunday post

hedgie is traveling so last night's post came from the iphone.....

today:

giants/bucs    UNDER 45.5        2 stars

san fran  +7                                   2 stars

arizona   -2                                    3 stars

Is hedgie heatin up? NYC<46, sf+7

SATURDAY College Football

3 plays

Fresno st/ Cinci         UNDER 63         2 stars

Ga Tech  -3    vs UNC                               2 stars

Middle Tenn St    - 5.5   vs North Texas     2 stars

HEDGIE WEEK 2 HEROES & HORSES'

** Hedgie thanks TG for editing and content input this week **


NFL MAN UP award: Jeff Reed, Pittsburgh Steelers
“I’m just embarrassed, you know, because these guys fight their tails off to wind the game. If there is one player that can single-handedly lose the game, I’ll take credit for it.”


Jeff missed 2X44 yard FG’s in Q4 of the Steeler’s 17-14 loss to Chicago.







NFL PRECISION ACCURACY Award: Kurt Warner broke the NFL’s single game completion percentage record after going 24 of 26 yards with 2 TD passes.




92.3% ACCURATE…no anesthesia, no gloves.







QUOTE of the WEEK Award:
Knickname: “SHUTDOWN” NEON DEION RANK: one of the top 3 Cornerbacks in NFL
"If he went to the bathroom, I went too. I covered him any way I could. When he went to the sideline...I sat right across from him wherever he was sitting on the bench.”










JETS Darelle Revis on covering PATRIOT Randy Moss



SAY WHAT AGAIN?!?!?! AWARD:

"All week he was talking about being a shutdown corner, but there really are no shutdown corners in the league because they have help most of the game. I probably could be a shutdown corner if I had (Patriots S Brandon) Meriweather over the top for the whole game. I think I could be a corner."- Randy Moss




“CHEEEEEEEEEEAP CHEEAP CHEEEEAP” AWARD:
Didja know that Eric Mangini, Head Coach of the Cleveland Browns, was fined $25,000 of the $125,000 the Jets had to pay for NOT putting Brett Favre on the disabled list during the final month of last season. Didja know he just fined one of his players $1,701 for not paying for a $3 water bottle he drank in his hotel room during a preseason road trip





TWITTER TWITS:
On Monday, Redskins Head Zorn released a statement rebuking the rookie linebacker Robert Henson "All you fake half hearted Skins fan can . . . I won't go there but I dislike you very strongly, don't come to Fed Ex to boo dim wits!! The question is who are you to say you know what's best for the team and you work 9 to 5 at Mcdonalds."


NFL IN SPANISH:
Porque le queremos a Seňor Ochocinco?(why do we love Mr. Ochocinco?)
Porque el tiene cojones!



THE LAMBEAU LEAP....AS PROMISED



ON TO HANDICAPPING - PASS on Tonights OLE MISS/South Carolina GAme. Ole Miss opened as 3 point favorites and is now being bet up to - 4.5
Hedgie will be personally scouting the Giants/Bucs game this sunday so all weekend plays will be released by Friday night ....GOOD LUCK !

Hedgie Monday

A decent Saturday 4-2 star weight but not a very good Sunday. Weekend record 5-7 Star weighted. hedgie will figure out the NFL soon enough...... leaning on UNDER 42.5 for Fish/Colts Monday Night matchup but going to pass since the O/U's are not hitting right now....

Only Sunday NFL winner was Ravens +3 RAY RAY always there when you need him....

Additional NFL play

Broncos/Browns  OVER 38 1/2        2 stars    good luck

Titans/Texans   UNDER 41              1 star        heavy rain

hedgie will be tweeting for the sunday night game ... and might have a play

good luck

also,  

NFL Sunday

Chiefs / Raiders  OVER 38.5      2 stars   

 another 1-2 picks will be released  1130am....  

Saturday College Football

Indiana +3  vs Akron     3 stars     - Indiana's newly installed 'Pistol' Offense is clicking

                                                            and Akron's starting Qb Chris Jacquemain suspended 

                                                             indefinitely friday night for conduct detrimental to team..

Northwestern -3  vs Syracuse     1 star   -   fading the recent media hype on cuse

Middle Tenn State +7 vs Maryland   1 star  - Terps barely squeaked by JMU last week in OT

                                              while MDST returns 18 starters from team that beat Terps last yr

Toledo +21  vs Ohio St       1 star    -  Ohio St coming off emotionally draining game and expected

                                    to win by more than 3 TDs with a struggling offense. While Toledo is

                                    riding high at 2-0 after beating Colorado last friday night

Stay tuned for more relases later tonight.

NFL early play...

  Baltimore Ravens +3  at San Diego     1 star

         Chargers have short week after Monday night game and are banged up.  No LT or Starting Center Nick Hartwick for this one.  Ravens will give Chargers all they can handle.  Line may start moving  towards the Ravens so book this one early

Thursday Night Football

Last Weekend:3-0 College Sweep ! Sunday 1-2.Star Weighted Record  8-3 !!

Thursday Night :  Miami  Vs Ga Tech

   Miami opened 4 1/2 favorites with 53 1/3  Total

Bettors taking Ga TEch and the Over as line is now  +4 and 54

   Hedgie going to PASS  and  focus on the weekend.....good luck

Monday Night Football

Opening Monday Night....everyone betting Pats and Chargers ..lines moving up, especially Pats which is now - 12 1/2.....

Hedgie gonna pass and study the teams for next week

Good Luck

Hedgie Sunday

Saturday SWEEP !   6-0 star weighted.......Let's keep it going

Houston Texans -4     1 STAR       Rookie Qb gets first real start on road. Sanchez looked so so vs vanilla defensive schemes in preseason.   

Rams +7 1/2      2 STARS     Steven Jackson is healthy , Bulger will start and this is simply too many points for a divisional matchup with Seattle not 100% healthy

Niners +6   at Cards   2 STARS this divisional matchup has been hardly contested the past few years. singletary has his team believing while the cards may be due for a superbowl hangover. the last 9 superbowl runner ups are 0-9 against spread on opening week

College Football Saturday & TWITTER

Thank you Clemson Tigers....after falling behind 21-0 early at Ga Tech the Tigers fought back and made it a close one 27-30. 11 out of last 14 now decided by 5 pts or less.....

The Hedgie will now be on Twitter.  Ocassionally there will be halftime wagers and adjustments that might be hard to update on the site.  Thursday and Monday Nights games especially....speaking of Twitter the NFL has adopted a new rule for players.  No players are allowed to 'tweet' 90 minutes before or after each game. Ocho Cinco Tweets and says he has found a loophole. Hedgie will watch this closely ...a handicapping angle??   hmmm

Another Handicap Angle - NEW RULE - no more WEDGES on kickoff returns . How will this affect lines ?  Perhaps worse starting field position for many teams. Does this equal less points?  more unders?   stay tuned for future analysis....

SATURDAY PLAYS:

UCONN +4   vs UNC     2 stars      UNC has 2 players out with swine flu. take the home dog

DUKE +1  at Army      1 star      Duke better players  . will bounce back after tough loss last week

OHIO ST  +7  vs USC    3 stars     hedgie has not met ONE person who likes Ohio St.  Everyone looks for same embarrassing result as last yr. Well, Ohio St has been preparing for this all summer. You say they stunk vs Navy.  They looked ahead. It's natural. And navy is a good team with very unorthodox system that's hard to prepare for.   USC loses many starters to the NFL and brings a freshman starting QB into hostile territory with 105,000 screaming fans.  This game will be a close one ! 

The Hedgie has ALOT to say.....(tomorrow)

In OBSERVANCE Of 9 - 11....

NFL Thursday Night game (S).....be careful

What a game on deck. Many angles.....fade the super bowl public favorite ? take the road dog getting +6 in what looks to be a low scorer? Titans won last year 31-14 in Tennessee. Revenge for Steelers here? Do Titans have Steelers Number? Hedgie's chompin to make a play but will use extreme discipline and wait til sunday. not dippping toe in this water tonight....

On the other hand, there's a good college game on at 745pm. Clemson vs Ga Tech - 4.5 The last 13 games , 10 of them have been decided by 5 points for fewer. Clemson has maybe the best defense in the ACC this year so expect a very close game. TIGERS + 4.5 1 unit

First Plays of the Season..

WAKE FOREST - 2.5 1 star

Senior QB Riley Skinner led the ACC last yr in pass completion with 74% and his entire O-Line returns intact Tough spot for Baylor who must travel cross country for opener

VA TECH +7 1 star

QB Greg Mcelroy makes his debut for Bama vs an aggressive Hokie defense and Bud Foster. This game is the lowest posted total for week 1 at 38 and 7 points here is a lot of value in what shoudl be a low scoring affair

THE HEDGIE IS BACK

It's that time again. The first play of the season will be College this saturday....

THE HEDGIE IS COMIN.....

Sweet Sixteen - Friday Matchups

Shooters adjust to Lucas Oil Stadium's open space March 26 Indy.com

Shooting practice was a high priority as the four teams competing in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Midwest Regional took the floor today at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The 50-minute practices gave the players an opportunity to adjust to the sightlines in the cavernous stadium. The raised basketball court has been placed in the center of the stadium running in the same direction as the football field. Although large, black curtains are draped at each end of the court, depth perception could be a problem for the shooters.
“We spent our entire 50 minutes on shooting just so we could get used to it,” Arizona coach Russ Pennell said.“It’s huge,” Wildcats guard Kyle Fogg said of the venue. “My shots were really short, but (my teammates) kept telling me not to worry about it and that I’ll knock them down in the game.”Arizona (21-13), a No. 12 seed, faces No. 1-seeded Louisville (30-5) in a game scheduled to begin at 7:07 p.m. Friday. Thirty minutes after that game ends, No. 3 Kansas (27-7) faces No. 2 Michigan State (28-6) in the second regional semifinal.The winners meet Sunday with a trip to next weekend’s Final Four in Detroit on the line.About 1,000 local fans took advantage of the free admission and available courtside seats to watch the open practices.Louisville coach Rick Pitino said the shooting percentage for any team playing in a domed stadium is bound to be down from its norm.“So you’ve got to understand that it takes time to get used to it,” he said. “It’s very important that you take high-percentage shots. I’m hoping we don’t have to rely on just jump-shooting to win

What does this spell to the hedgie? U-N-D-E-R !! across the board

Zona/Louisville UNDER 139 2 stars

Kansas/ Mich St UNDER 138 1 star ( met earlier in yr. mich st won 72-65 = 137 )

Zaga/ Carolina PASS - highest total on board at 162 1/2 staying away

Syracuse/Oklahoma UNDER 152 1/2 3 stars (poor free throw shooting teams)

Sweet Sixteen

Dejuan Blair

" I love money, so i act like the basketball is money

when i'm rebounding. I pretend that every rebound is a million dollars. And i'm going to go out and get my millions"

The Hedgie loves money too and that's why we're taking Pitt/Xavier UNDER 139 3 stars

Pitt has seen under 3-1 last 4 games while Xavier is on a 7-2 'under' run. The musketeers have held 9 of their last 10 opponents under 65 points and know the only chance they have to win is with tough defense.

Prediction : Pitt 70 Xavier 62

Hedgie goes Double Jeopardy with Ashley Judd tonight

The hedgie goes at it again on a monday night after being tried and convicted already for a dismal Sunday performance.....

Although Creighton is 27-7 straight up this year, they are an aweful 1-5-1 against the spread lately. Kentucky's Jodie Meeks and Patrick Patterson are both playing well lately. Hedgie will back the live underdog here...

Kentucky +2 2 stars

Hedgie Sunday Hoops

Sorry for no posts yesterday.  Hedgie was treated to a trip to TPC Sawgrass by some of his football followers.   No basketball posts as the hedgie spent too much time trying to fish his lost balls from the island green waters.....

Arizona/Cuse   UNDER 139     2 stars

Oklahoma/Pitt   UNDER 151   2 stars

Dayton/ KAnsas  OVER 133    2 stars

Michigan St -4                    2 stars

Wisconsin/Xavier  UNDEr 122   2 stars

Hedgie Friday

Syracuse/ Stephen Austin OVER 131 2 stars

AZ St / Temple OVER 123 1/2 2 stars

WEST Va/Dayton OVER 128 2 stars

Marquette/Utah UNDER 142 2 stars

Portland State +11 Xavier 3 stars

Wake Forest - 7 1/2 1 star

Florida State -2 1/2 1 star

Arizona +1 1/2 1 star

Hedgie Alert

Jim Calhoun will not be coaching Thursday's opened vs UT Chatt due to health reasons. The line has moved a little on UTC to +19 1/2. hedgie sees a little extra value UNDER 145 1/2 and will bump that play to 3 stars. Coach Blaney will coach the Huskies

Time to Dance

12:23pm Lsu/Butler OVER 127 2 stars

12:28pm Memphis/CS North OVER 131 2 stars

3:03pm UCONN/Tenn Chat UNDER 145.5 2 stars

7:23pm Nova - 16.5 vs American 2 stars

7:28pm Gonzaga -13 Akron 2 stars

9:53pm UCLA/VCU UNDER 136.5 2 stars

Wednesday Madness

Boise State +14 at Stanford 3 stars

Boise St is a scrappy team and 6'7" forward mark Sanchez is prob best player on floor. Stanford is not that deep and should not win by double digits. 3 stars

March Madness

After a long Hiatus celebrating the Gary Russell first TD in Bowl at 18/1 , the hedgie could no longer ignore his buzzing blackberry. There have been many texts, and calls reminding that it's

MARCH MADNESS !!

The madness doesn't just start with the NCAA tourney. The CBI and NIT will present many opportunities as well.

An underrated George Mason team plays at Penn State tonight and gets 6 points. Penn State should not feel snubbed as they are just not that good and don't belong in the dance. Not to mention they will probably come out flat. This game should be low scoring as vegas has a total set of 122. George Mason +6 is the 3 star play !

HAPPY ST PATRICKS DAY !

- Hedgie

super bowl

Final Play of the season. let's remember it's just one game. too many of the hedgie's friends want to make this game a HUGE bet.  try to avoid that...it's a solid 3 star play  nothing more, nothing less...

 3 stars on the STEELERS - 6.5     early on the hedgie was caught up in the cinderella cardinals story. we won money on them at home vs the eags..how can you not like kurt warner.  but as time set in and the honeymoon wore off the steelers are the obvious pick.  i could go on and on  but here are the simple bullets:

 -  defense wins championships. steelers D is one of the best EVER  

 -   warner has been hot but very susceptible to the blitz up the middle. is old and slow

 -  warner is smart but dick lebeau INVENTED the zone blitz defense

 - steelers played a MUCH tougher schedule

 - cards play great at home and horrile on road. FORGET about jake delhomme's horrendous 

     game when carolina had 6 turnovers

 - steelers are healthy . o line, willie parker, even hines ward is fine and will contribute

    hines flew down a hyperbaric chamber this week which pumps oxygen to the blood cells     

    and promotes healing. hedgie knows this works as he's used one in mexico to promote      healing  n the liver and other organs...

- wisenhunt knows steelers ...fine...overrated story...steelers are on a mission and play as a unit  best chemistry  the league

- home field...this is supposed to be a neutral field. it is NOT   steelers fans travel  and travel well  they come out of the woodwork...hedgie was in washington on a monday night this yr when fed ex field was covered with 40,000 terrible towels.  hedgie was n detroit when steelers beat seatlle 21-10 and there were 60,000 terrible towels waving. and hedgie was on a flight to tampa last night when the entire plane was filled with hines ward, heath miller and troy palomalu jersies. this is a home game for the steelers and they will win by 2 touchdowns...

  STEELERS 27   CARDINALS 17     

some good props....

WILLIE PARKER  OVER 79.5 yards     fast willie is fnally healthy and the steelers will try and keep the cards offense off the field. this could bode well for under 46.5 also  BUT the better play is fast willie who is actually more tough than fast    he's fresh the o-line is fresh and hedgie expects  22 carries and 100+ yards.....maybe even an MVP   willie > 79.5   3 stars

EDGE JAMES  UNDER 46.5 yards          2 stars

small fun play    1st TD in game   GARY RUSSELL  18/1    steelers been using him in short yardage lately and this is a great shot with long odds if steelers get inside the 5 yard line

Cards to recieve the ball first   -120..this line has cret up to -150 in alot of spots  if you can get -150 or better take it !  the play is that the steelers will DEFER if they win the toss and send their #1 defense on the field to set the tone  so either way the cards should be getting the ball first

 this game could end up a ho-hummer with the steelers dominating.....so at least be when you see a lot of willie parker

    good luck to all. see you in march for march madness....

   

71.3%

Hedgie calls that a passing grade for sure.  That's the Star weighted Record in the NFL for the entire Season.  102-41-1  

While Hedgie crunched numbers all week trying to figure angles and props for the last big game he came a across a few other numbers:

 11,955  --> hit on the site this season

 8.0       ---> average # hour dedicated to analyzing the games.

 20        ---> # weeks in the season

230      ----> dollars donated to the SEED Academy

 1.43   ---> hedgie's hourly pay (if he were to get paid for what he did)     

                   $230 divided by (20 weeks x 8 hours per week) = $1 .43

Hmmm, something doesn't add up. Do the hedgie followers average $10 per wager?  Mindboggling numbers..... If you enjoy the hedgie's free commentary and blogs and you managed to prosper this year  please consider taking 1 minute of your time and click on this link to help the SEED Academy. The Hedgie's close friend is doing a great thing and every bit of support helps.....it's a registered non profit organization 

www.seedproject.org/donate.html

ok, more numbers to crunch. football numbers!  the hedgie will have a 3 star play on the game with some comentary by tomorrow at 6pm latest !  maybe soon depending on a few things...also some prop plays

     

                                               

nfl picks

Cardinals +4     3 stars

Ravens  +6     1 star

NFL PLAYOFF SUNDAY

Giants -4      3 stars

Steelers -6   2 stars

Saturday NFL Playoffs

Ravens +3      2 stars

HEDGIE COMPLETES BOWL SEASON

RECORD :

13- 6 68%

STAR WEIGHTED:

31 - 11 74%

When the line opened at -3 Hedgie thought Gators all the way and would have probably released a 2 star play. But now the entire public is on the Gators ...lost wagers fromm the bowls are chasing the favorite and the Big 12 has not performed so well in the Bowls...so the line is jumping to 4,5 and even 6 in spome spots. The line move is not based on any new info on the teams or the weather. So if you can catch +6 with Oklahoma that's probably worth a small play. The over/under opened at 72 and has crept down a little as well. Maybe a little value on Under 71. But the Hedgie will not chase this final bowl game and ruin the streak. Some people who like to tease might even do a Oklahoma +12 and UNDER 77 but the Hedgie will try and stay disciplined. The weather forecast calls for 55 degrees and 10mph winds. Hedgie will be there to see for himself. If anything changes from the stadium a post will be made within an hour to kickoff......

Let's remember there are some important NFL playoff games on deck. So don't squander your valuable bowl winnings......

Good luck !! and stay tuned

To see how the Hedgie did for the college bowl season, see spreadsheet below.  For easier viewing click 'Full Screen View' in the upper right corner.

only 2 bowls left....

Tulsa - 2 1/2 4 stars


The MAC has been horrible in bowls and Hedgie can't see Ball State focused with theri head coach bolting for San Diego State.

MONDAY BOWLING

TEXAS/OHIO STATE    -8  AND 52.....PASS   

Hedgie Sunday

sorry for the late post, the hedgie was up late celebrating  the 5 star victory.....

yesterday was a great example of how different the playoffs are and how much home field advantage can mean.....

Miami + 3 1/2     1 star        although the hedgie loves ray lewis and company  this is more of a hunch as another rookie qb rolls into hostile playoff territory on the road. joe flacco has looked great much like matt ryan but the hedgie feels like pennington will manage the game better and more than a FG is worth a shot

Vikings  +3      2 stars      similiar thoughts here.  vikes home crowd will make a diference andthe vikes should be able to run.  so will side with the home playoff dog getting a FG 

HEDGIE ALERT

Hedgie releases it's Third  5 star play of the year.....

Chargers/Colts   UNDER 51     5 stars   

analysis to follow later. do not walk to the window....RUN !    possible rain in forecast as well. this line started dipping from 52 when it opened. would not be surprised if it closes around 48.5

late bowl play

money coming in on utah. bama has played without their star LT prevously and will be in sync tonight.....

  go against the public money and lay  8 1/2 with bama     2 stars

Bowling

Mississippi  +4      1 star       miss beat florida and lsu this yr  and has been a great underdog all season    on paper texas tech may appear better but there could be a letdown here as they expected to be playing at least in the BCS

Kentucky  +3       3 stars      ecu is 0-5  against the spread this yr as a road favorite. kentucky has been banged up all year and continued to show lots of fight.  expect a hard fought battle here.  vegas total being set low at 41 makes 3 points a nice premium to play on kentucky

bama/utah    stay tuned. most likely passing on the game.  with all american LT out for bama the line hasn't changed too much   bama -10 and 46  to bama -9.5 and 45......perhaps a small lean to the under. will post a pick later in the day if thoughts change

good luck!  

Jan 1st 2009 Bowls

1pm     Clemson -1                                  2 stars

     

5pm     Penn State /USC     OVER 45   3 stars

815pm     Cinci  -2                                   3 stars

note:  georgia -7.5  1 star  at 1pm  but hesitant to recommend b/c this line is creeping higher and  looks to be 9 or more at a few spots