Friday, December 31, 2010

its been a rocky 2010 for the hedgie

Last day of the year Hedgie will fight on....last nights UNDER loss was a perfect example of the season. Tenn 20 UNC 17 with no time left UNC ties with a FG and game goes flying over in OT....
Today:
Clemson -5.5 2 stars
Notre Dame/Miami UNDER 47.5 3 stars
Florida State +3 2 stars

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Music City Bowl




UNC/Tennessee UNDER 50.5 3 stars

Tarheels have gone Under the total 7 out of last 9 while
Tennessee has gone under it's last 2.....

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Hedgie goes BOWLING on tuesday....

Champs Sports Bowl 6:30pm Orlando , Florida

NC State +3 vs West VA 2 stars
NC State Coach Tom Obrien is historically a great bowl coach going 6-2 Straight up and 4-1 against the spread as a bowl underdog. West Va has a statistically stingy defense which ranks 2nd in FBS in scoring defense at 12.8 pts per game.....BUT if you look deeper into their oppon
ents you see they played very average (or below average) offenses :
Marshall - 99th
Maryland- 82nd
LSU - 89th
UNLV - 115th
South Florida - 100th
Syracuse - 103rd
UConn - 93rd
Cincinnati - 32nd
Louisville - 68th
Pittsburgh - 69th
Rutgers - 111th
Something will give here and Hedgie sides with the dynamic QB Russell Wilson and NC State

INSIGHT BOWL 10:00pm Tempe , AZ
MIssouri -2.5 vs Iowa 3 stars
Iowa limps into this game without it's top WR and 2 starting RB's. Too much to overcome vs a MIzzou defense which ranks 6th in nation in scoring defense (15.2 pts allowed)

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Sunday NFL

Bears -2.5 2 stars

San Fran 49ers +3 (-120) 3 stars

Chiefs -4 3 stars

Saturday, December 25, 2010

stocking stuffer from the hedgie

The Hedgie sees Arizona giving Dallas a good fight. But more importantly because of Dallas' pourous defense this game should be played wide open and go OVER 45 points

The last 6 games Dallas has avergaged 33 points per game as Kitna has become more comfortable in the offense. And Dallas defense has allowed 30 points or more in it's last 4 contests.

2 stars

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

hedgie is fine tuning instruments for the home stretch





thehedgie is passing on this week's bowls and fine-tuning his instruments for the home stretch...




(btw, that's SHAQ - he conducted for the Boston pops this monday)

Sunday, December 19, 2010

will the real Hedgie please stand up!? Handicapper or Stooge ??

Chiefs +3 (-120) 3 stars
Matt Cassell is a go. He's coming off an emergency apendectomy 11 days ago but practiced 3 days this week and is a go today. This is an important game for the Chiefs who can feel the chargers breathing down their necks. Casell has quietly put together a great season with 23 TDS and 4 Ints. They have the balance to win this game and +3 is a generous spread. take !
Eagles +3 3 stars
Giants have found their running game recently but lost 2 wr's last week in the game vs the vikings. Steve Smith and Mario Manningham could prove to be costly losses while Eli is not playing at a high level right now. That coupled with shaky special teams and a short week off the monday nighter in Detroit spell trouble for the Gmen.

Bucs -4 2 stars
The Bucs are still fighting for a wildcard spot and are 8-0 vs losing teams this year. The key here is that they are beating those teams by and average margin of 7.5 points. Look for the Bucs to take care of business at home today while the Lions continue to start 3rd string Qb Stanton. Bucs by 10

Cowboys -7 1 star
The Redskins benched Mcnabb this week...AGAIN....and will give Rex Grossman a shot. The hedgie can make no sense of this decision by Shanahan. It's a debacle beyond words. Meanwhile Dallas has it's last home game of the season and has revenge on it's mind from week 1 . This smells like a blowout....

Almost made the cut: Colts -4 just a hunch but hedgie thinks manning is likely to pick apart the jags 28th ranked pass defense and get the cover. they have had a few extra days to heal also. hard to fade the jags who are surging right now with a strong running game. hunch says peyton finds a way...






Saturday, December 18, 2010

It's time to go Bowling.....Yabadabadooooo!

UTEP +11 2 stars


Ohio +3 (-120) 2 stars

Monday, December 13, 2010

hedgie is PASSING tonight...and thursday night 12/16


still shaking head (SMH) at that TD at the end of the half yesterday...4 seconds left , Belichick calls in a kneel down , brady gives Branch a little 'wink' and lets one go down the sidleine to score with no time in the half.....tough to go UNDER 37.5 when it's 33-0 at the half ...
btw, look at branch's cleats. the pats werew runninfg around yesterday like it was 60 and sunny. belichick strikes again. he called it a 'double hoodie day' like a rope a dope to the bears...

Sunday, December 12, 2010

nfl sunday













Chicago Bears +3 2 stars weather will play a major role in this game. with WINDS gusting from 35-50 mph both teams will be forced to run the ball more. the pats are coming off a short week and a drubbing of their division foe 45-3. the bears defense is giving up only 16 ppg. home dog +3 is the right side here.






Bears/Pats UNDER 37.5 4 stars as mentioned above the WEATHER is a MAJOR factor in this game. recall last year in Orchard Park when the Pats Bills struggled to a 6-3 game in 50 mph winds. This line opened at 41 and has come down to 37.5 which is NOT NEARLY ENOUGH of an adjustment by the bookmakers.






Saints/Rams OVER 47 2 stars saints offense is clicking averaging 30 ppg the past 4 games. Rams are on their third straight road game so the hedgie was tempted to lay the points with the saints but the better play is the OVER

Falcons -7 3 stars Falcons are a well balanced focused team. They are playing for home field advantage throughout the playoffs and will not let down in this spot. The panthers are a banged up team and also lost their starting weakside LB (Jason Williams) this Friday as well.

Thursday, December 9, 2010

HEDGIE IS BREAKING A RULE TONIGHT...

Recognize this dude? He's the QB of the Colts who has thrown 11 Picks in the last 3 games . The Colts have lost 3 in a row and are in desperation mode. They get to play the Titans who have lost 5 straight games themselves and have not score a TD in it's last 11 quarters. The Colts have lost to good teams and have still been able to score. All the money is coming in on the Colts at -3 but there's one problem. The books are adjusting the juice. The line now sits at -3 -130 juice. TOO MUCH ! The smart money is also coming in on UNDER 45 and has moved the line down a smidge to 44.5. Rather that take the Colts and lay some much juice the Hedgie sees best value in doing a 2 team 6.5 point TEASER! Taking the Colts at +3.5 and movingthe total from 44.5 to 51 and going UNDER makes alot more sense at the -120 juice price. So :

FIRST TEASER OF THE YEAR: COLTS +3.5 & UNDER 51 2 STARS

Sunday, December 5, 2010

The Hedgie .....from Vegas..releasing first 5 star of the year

The Hedgie took a trip to Vegas to right the ship.....coming off a 3-0 Saturday Hedgie releases first 5 star of the season

Bucs/Falcons UNDER 43.5 5 stars
The Big east championship was played at Raymond James field last night. The turf on the field is a mess and there is not time for the staff to address new turf. Footing will be horrible in this divisional rivalry. Teams will need to adjust the cleats and expect a tight game with an emphasis on the running games. There is also expected to be 15 mph gusts of wind which will not help the kicking and passing games.

Jags +3.5 2 stars

Bears -4.5 2 stars

Saturday, December 4, 2010

saturday ncaa

uconn +3 (-120) 3 stars

utah state +40 2 stars

oklahoma/nebraska UNDER 53 2 stars

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Thursday Night NFL

Houston +8 1 Star