Luke Bryant Over 127.5 nations anthem
Davonte Freeman 9/1 first td
Tiololo 35/1 first td
Edelman over 95.5 yards
Sunday, February 5, 2017
Hedgie last play of a GREAT SEASON...
It's been a great season for
the Hedgie and the Hedgie has a lot to thank for the Falcon's who went 9-0 over
at home in the Georgia Dome . The line for this game has been stuck at
Pats -3 and the Total is the Highest ever set at 59. The Public is on the
Pats and the books have been occasionally adjusting the juice to Pats -3
(-115) or (-120) . But Expect the line to stay at -3 by kickoff.
There's a lot of wiseguy money that likes the Falcons to keep the pot
balanced. Just yesterday at CG Technology Casino in Vegas a person put
$1.1m on the Falcons at +3 to win $1m. The Public is also on the
OVER 59 but that's being evened out by alot of wise guy money on the
under.
So How does the Hedgie see the last game of the season playing out? There are so many factors statistics and angles to take. It's a great chess match in many ways.But The Hedgie's biggest focus is on the Pats Offense vs the Falcons D. The Falcons are missing 2 players that to many are talking about. Adrian Clayborn was the Falcons best interior lineman and he tore a biceps vs the Seahawks and is out. The reason this is big is because the best way to impact and affect Tom Brady is up the middle. Brady is the quickest at getting the ball out of his hands and although the Falcons have great speed in guys like Vic Beasley The Hedgie doesn't see them making an impact from the outside rush. Big advantage Patriots especially when they can change gears and attack up the middle with a big back like Legarrette Blount . The Falcons also lost their best defender earlier in the season in Desmond Trufant. The Falcons now rely on DBs Jalen Collins, 5'10" Robert Alford and undrafted 5'9" Brian Poole. Hedgie thinks Poole is going to be exploited hard by the Pats.
Make no mistake The Falcons have a great offense and the Pats will have their hands full. They boats the #1 defense in the league in points allowed with just under 16 ppg. This argument could be flawed in that the Pats really didn't play against potent offenses this year. However, their strengths are not getting beat by the deep ball. They were top 5 in the league at allowing only 16 pass plays of 30 yards or more all season. They were also best in the league at Yards After Catch with a league low 4.1 YAC statistic. This bodes well for the Pats bend but don't break and occasionally stopping the Falcons from a TD but rather holding them to a FG.
Another tangible to consider is the returning health of Dion Lewis. He's had a big impact in the playoffs and with his return the Pats are utilizing no huddle more with him on the field which creates even more nightmares for opposing defenses.
With the Pats 2nd in the league in kickoffs and 3rd in punts there should not be many big plays in the kicking game. Both teams also had a league low 11 giveaways. Both teams protect the ball well. The Hedgie doesn't think there will be many turnovers which also cold lead to higher scoring affairs.
The Falcons have been blitzing moren the playoffs but will have a hard decision to make in this game . Brady is #1 in the NFL vs the bltiz. He's throw 11 TDs and 0 ints vs the blitz this year.
The Hedgie sees the Falcons coming out earlier and scoring but as the game wears on Belechick will adjust and Brady and the offense will be too much for the falcons to handle. If the Pats get a lead you'll see a heavy dose of Blount which will also chew up alot of clock.
UNDER 59 3 stars - since 1967 9 Super Bowls had totals listed in the 50s and were predicted to be high scoring. The Under went 6-3.
Pats -3 2 stars
Patriots 30 Falcons 24
PROP PLAYS also coming and will be posted LATER today....let's not forget about the Hedgie's call for 1st TD in Super Bowl XLII when he posted a bet on Gary Russell of the Steelers to score the first TD of the game vs the Cards at 33/1 !!!
Good luck !!
So How does the Hedgie see the last game of the season playing out? There are so many factors statistics and angles to take. It's a great chess match in many ways.But The Hedgie's biggest focus is on the Pats Offense vs the Falcons D. The Falcons are missing 2 players that to many are talking about. Adrian Clayborn was the Falcons best interior lineman and he tore a biceps vs the Seahawks and is out. The reason this is big is because the best way to impact and affect Tom Brady is up the middle. Brady is the quickest at getting the ball out of his hands and although the Falcons have great speed in guys like Vic Beasley The Hedgie doesn't see them making an impact from the outside rush. Big advantage Patriots especially when they can change gears and attack up the middle with a big back like Legarrette Blount . The Falcons also lost their best defender earlier in the season in Desmond Trufant. The Falcons now rely on DBs Jalen Collins, 5'10" Robert Alford and undrafted 5'9" Brian Poole. Hedgie thinks Poole is going to be exploited hard by the Pats.
Make no mistake The Falcons have a great offense and the Pats will have their hands full. They boats the #1 defense in the league in points allowed with just under 16 ppg. This argument could be flawed in that the Pats really didn't play against potent offenses this year. However, their strengths are not getting beat by the deep ball. They were top 5 in the league at allowing only 16 pass plays of 30 yards or more all season. They were also best in the league at Yards After Catch with a league low 4.1 YAC statistic. This bodes well for the Pats bend but don't break and occasionally stopping the Falcons from a TD but rather holding them to a FG.
Another tangible to consider is the returning health of Dion Lewis. He's had a big impact in the playoffs and with his return the Pats are utilizing no huddle more with him on the field which creates even more nightmares for opposing defenses.
With the Pats 2nd in the league in kickoffs and 3rd in punts there should not be many big plays in the kicking game. Both teams also had a league low 11 giveaways. Both teams protect the ball well. The Hedgie doesn't think there will be many turnovers which also cold lead to higher scoring affairs.
The Falcons have been blitzing moren the playoffs but will have a hard decision to make in this game . Brady is #1 in the NFL vs the bltiz. He's throw 11 TDs and 0 ints vs the blitz this year.
The Hedgie sees the Falcons coming out earlier and scoring but as the game wears on Belechick will adjust and Brady and the offense will be too much for the falcons to handle. If the Pats get a lead you'll see a heavy dose of Blount which will also chew up alot of clock.
UNDER 59 3 stars - since 1967 9 Super Bowls had totals listed in the 50s and were predicted to be high scoring. The Under went 6-3.
Pats -3 2 stars
Patriots 30 Falcons 24
PROP PLAYS also coming and will be posted LATER today....let's not forget about the Hedgie's call for 1st TD in Super Bowl XLII when he posted a bet on Gary Russell of the Steelers to score the first TD of the game vs the Cards at 33/1 !!!
Good luck !!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)