Sunday, September 29, 2019

NFL SUNDAY

lions +7 2 stars

bills +7 3 stars

falcons -3.5 2 stars

broncos -2.5 3 stars

saints +2.5 1 star

Saturday, September 28, 2019

saturday hedgie

Nebraska +17.5   3 stars

UCONN +43.5 1 star

Sunday, September 22, 2019

NFL WEEK 3





Chiefs/Ravens OVER 51.5    4 stars

Texans +3.5 3 stars

Steelers +7 (-120) 3 stars

TEASER: Vikings -2.5 & Falcons +8  2 stars

Saturday, September 21, 2019

so far . only SATURDAYS have been for the Hedgie....last week . 4-0 .....today 6 plays





ODU +28   4 stars . - the good ole SANDWICH GAME .   Virginia had a great win vs FSU last week and has Notre Dame on deck.  Vegas anticipates a lower scoring game with the total at 46.  This line was +30 and money rightfully is coming in on the dog.  Grab all you can....
ODU +28  4 stars

Northwestern +7.5  3 stars

Illinois/ Nebraska OVER 61.5  3 stars

Ohio -3  2 stars

Michigan +3.5 2 stars

adding CAL +3 1 star


Friday, September 20, 2019

Friday Night Lights

Utah -3.5  1 star

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Thursday Night Football

Gardiner Minchew is now the starting QB for the Jacksonville Jaguars since Starter Nick Foles got hurt.  He's played pretty well in relief and almost pulled off a shocking upset  in Houston last week losing 12-13.  In the futures market this summer Vegas had the Jags as -3.5 point favorites.  The line is now Titans -1.5. Theirs a lot of excitement in Jacksonville surrounding Minchew but the reality is that the Jags are struggling.  Minchew is starting his 2nd game in the NFL and his first game at home on a short week to prepare.  Their star defender Jalen Ramsey is acting like a diva and wants to be traded now that the team has started 0-2.
The Titans on the other hand are 1-1 and feel like they let a home game slip away to the Colts last week.  All signs point to a low scoring defensive divisional battle as the total was set low at 40 and has dropped to 38.  
  The Hedgie thinks the right play here is the Titans to win the game outright with no spread.  They have a good defense and solid team chemistry.  The Jags on the other hand seem about to implode....

TITANS  MONEYLINE  -120  1 star 

     

Monday, September 16, 2019

The Hedgie is coming off a 5-2 weekend and has a 1 star play....


That's right....with Darnold out with mono . QB Trevor Siemien gets the start.  He's been a successful QB in this league and was 13-11 as a starter in Denver.      The line adjusted 4 points on the QB news.  Siemien has had time to prepare and practice with the starting team.   
  With Leveon Bell leading this offense Hedgie thinks the J-E-T-S keep it close as a Monday Night Home Dog

J-E-T-S  +7   1 star


Thursday, September 12, 2019

studied....4-0 Saturday ! on to Sunday....



 Navy -7 . 1 star .   WIN

West Va  +7  2 stars .  WIN

Arizona +3 3 stars .  WIN

Iowa St +1.5 . 3 stars .  WIN

_______________________________________

Vikings +3   2 stars

Titans -3 3 stars

Chiefs -6.5 (-120) 3 stars

Sunday, September 8, 2019

NFL WEEK 1



Dolphins +7   3 stars - Ryan Fitzmagic led the Bucs to a win last year in week 1 vs the Saints as a heavy underdog.  Hedgie thinks he could do it again as he clearly beat out Josh Rosen for the job in Miami. Dangerous underdog here at home in the heat with noone giving them a chance. 

Rams -1.5  3 stars . -  Sean McVay's Rams have been a covering machine on the road.  Some are playing the home dog angle with a West Coast team heading East to play early. But the Rams have had all summer to prep for this game. Rams are healthy again and will be ready .  Curious how Cam Newton's surgically repaired shoulder will play out as well. 




late addition:  Vikings  -3 (-120)      1 star


late addition:  GIANTS +7  1 star

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Hedgie's First Full slate of Saturday Games....



Like Harbaugh, The Hedgie is also scratching his head about this week's card and will remain disciplined .  Three 1 star plays today: 


Tulsa -6.5    1 star -  Tulsa played Michigan State tough last week and got the cover.  This week . they play San Jose St who was 1-11 last yr.  Baylor QB transer Zach Smith should have a field day 

Miami U  -5  1 star -   letdown for UNC after as great come from behind win last week ?   Miami has had more time to rest and prepare . Good spot for them.  Plus they are the better team

Michigan -21.5  1 star -  Army did not look good last week while Harbaugh is not happy with his team's performance last week.  Good spot to dominate and get on track .  Army Coach Monken when asked about this matchup said :

 “If they play their best football, there’s almost no way we can beat them,” he said. “They’re bigger than we are, faster — just more talented. They have guys who are going to play in the NFL. We don’t have one guy on our roster who was recruited by EasternMichigan, much less Michigan.”

Thursday, September 5, 2019

THE NFL SEASON IS FINALLY HERE & HEDGIE HAS AN OPENING PLAY


The Packers have typically come into Soldier field and had success. Last year the Bears got that monkey off their back with a 24-17 win in week 15 which clinched a playoff berth.  Both teams have similar  rosters but with a new season each team has a couple noteworthy adjustments  as well.  The Packers have a new HC in offensive minded Matt LaFluer.  This no-doubt makes Aaron Rodgers happy but will there be some growing pains and adjustments to start the season?  The Hedgie takes note that Rodgers DID NOT TAKE ONE PRESEASON SNAP.  He's an incredible QB and one of the best.  But facing the strong Bears defense on the road to open is not a good recipe.  
On the other hand Da Bears return most starters.  They did lose Defensive Coordinator   Vic Fangio and replace him with the much revered Chuck Pagano.  Many wonder how the defense will look but Khalil Mack is determined to start where he left off. Unlike Rodgers ,Mack has played preseason and did not miss ne day n the offseason.  He's their rock on defense and Hedgie expects some big early plays from Mack. 
Typically the Defenses are a bit faster week 1  and the offenses need a lil time to adjust.  This will play out in favor of the Bears at home tonight.  The Bears TE  Trey Burton is highly questionable but HC Matt Nagy should have a few wrinkles in his coveted draft pick, starting RB David Montgomery. Montgomery was a 3rd round draft pick out of Iowa St .  Coach Nagy wanted him , got his player,  and has deliberately not shown him much n the preseason.    Hedgie would be amiss if the Bears kicking situation wasn't mentioned.  There will be a lot of pressure on the new kicker but the offseason was designed for pressure for the kicking tryouts and Hedgie thinks the kicker will be just fine.  QB Trubisky is in his 2nd full year as starter and has looked great in camp and preseason.  Tonight at Soldier Field it's 

 DA BEARS -3 .  2 stars

and some insurance just in case Rodgers gets heroic n the 2nd half and the kicker does miss one  !

TEASER . 6.5 pts:    Bears +3.5 & OVER 40  1 star