NFL WEEK 3

 

The Washington Football Team is down their best OLineman and already has the 2nd worst offense in the NFL.  RT Moses is also questionable.  The money is coming in on the Browns and the line has gone from -7 to -7.5.  The Browns have historically not been a good covering team laying points. Hedgie prefers a teaser here as favorite play :

TEASER     BROWNS -1 & UNDER 51     3 STARS

Cardinals -5.5  1 STAR

Patriots -6.5  2 STARS

Texans +4.5  2 STARS

Falcons -3  2 STARS

NCAA

 BYU -14      2 stars

DUKE/UVA UNDER 46 2 stars

NFL WEEK 2

 Rams +2. 2 stars

Packers/Lions OVER 50 1 star

Bucs/Panthers OVER 46.5  1 star

stay tuned for sunday am thoughts ....

Hedgie's first College Football play of the season....

 WAKE FOREST. PICKEM   3 stars

Wake has already had a game and many practices. They are well coached and will improve each week.  On the other hand NC State had to cancel their first game due to Covid 19 and has also had to cancel many practices.    Wolfpack will be rusty .. Take Wake Forest 

Hedgie starts the Season 4-2.....

The Hedgie typically likes to fade rookie QBs.   Last week Joe Burrow showed his wheels off and ran for a 23 yard TD.  He also brought the Bengals down for a potential game winning TD in the 4th Q.  Burrow showed poise while Baker and the Browns played poorly in a 38-6 loss in Baltimore.  

  The Hedgie doe not think the Browns should be favored by 6 here but will stay patient and not back the rookie QB just yet .   Money is coming in on OVER 42 and has pushed that up to 43.5....

A teaser on the dog & over is tempting but Hedgie will PASS  and prepare for the weekend...

 

The Hedgie is off to a 1-0 start ...

The NFL is under way and we got a first hand look at some of the nuances we'll see.  The Chiefs started where they left off and dominated the Texans.  Typically the defenses will be ahead of the offenses at this stage especially with no preseason.  There were some UNDERS to be had earlier in the week but those lines  have come down.
 

  Here we go:

Falcons +1.5   1 star - The Falcons HC Dan Quinn was about to lose his job last year at 1-7. But the team rallied and finished strong with a 6-2 record.  Hedgie thinks this will carry over into week 1. The seahawks are getting alot of attention as a great road team and they were last yr. But Hedgie thinks this is a bad spot vs an overlooked Falcons team.

Panthers +3 1 star - This line has jumped from a pickem all the way to Las Vegas Raiders -3.  Not sure why.  Once again a team traveling across country for an early start tyically does not  fare well.  Panthers have a new look but Teddy Bridewater under center is a vet and is. 16-2 ATS as an underdog.  

Cardinals +7   2 stars - a divisional foe Hedgie thinks QB Murray will improve in his 2nd year and now has a superstar WR in Hopkins.  Word out of Cards camp is that the offense is humming at a very fast pace.  Super Bowl losers usually have a hangover and are 3-18 ATS week 1 of the following season

TEASER;  Packers +8.5. & Bears +8.5 -  NFC NORTH /Black & Blue Teaser - this will be a hard fought division and Hedgie loves grabbing points across key numbers like. 3,4,6,7....      1 star 

3 team 10 point UNDER TEASER -  1 star sticking with the theme that the defenses will be ahead of the offenses these 3 games fit nicely . young QBs vs strong defenses.  

   BILLS/JETS UNDER 49

  CHARGERS /BENGALS UNDER 51.5

 EAGS/ Washington UNDER 52 

 

Well Folks,  It's been a crazy year and this photo sums up 2020 for The Hedgie.   It's hard to believe the NFL season begins tonight with the Chiefs hosting the Texans at Arrowhead with only 17,000 allowed in attendance.  

There is a lot of new info and trends to be watching and be sure that The Hedgie is all over that ! That's what excites the Hedgie most....home field advantages will be different ;  Covid 19 IR lists ;  no preseasons ....some new angles for sure...

Tonight The Chiefs are favored by too much over a team that made the playoffs last year and beat the Chiefs last year as well...

So tonight let's start the season with a 1 star teaser:

Texans +15.5 and OVER 47.5