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Merry Christmas The Hedgie took a break to the North Pole. There's been work to do ....

 

Today Features 2 NFL games and a College Bowl Game  today and the Hedgie will be involved in all three...

2:30pm    CAMELLIA BOWL : Georgia State vs Ball State 

             This game is in Montgomery Alabama which is an easy trip for the Georgia State faithful.  Georgia State has a good run game and finished the season strong while Ball State fizzled down the the stretch.  All signs point to a motivated Georgia State team getting the win here 

               Georgia State -5.5. 1 star

4:30pm   Browns @ Packers

              Temps will be cold which will have many bettors taking the under here (46.5) . The Packers have been on a roll and have secured a playoff spot. There's no reason to think that will stop BUT the Browns come in desperate .  Baker Mayfield is off the covid list and will get the start however maybe more importantly their defensive leader Myles Garrett is hobbled with a groin injury and most likely will not play. The Browns kicker Chase McLaughlin is also a scratch with Covid so the Browns will rely on the practice squad kicker Chris Naggar .   All this feels like too much to overcome for the Browns.  With Jarvis Landry and Baker back they will fight to the end and put up some points . But just like last week the Packers will prevail.

     TEASER : Packers - 1 and OVER 40.5  1 star

8:15pm Colts @ Cards 

      At first glance the Hedgie could not wait to get a bet down on the surging Colts as an underdog. The Cards have been struggling and lost 2 in a row and the Colts strength is the O LINE which is always a good factor to consider when betting a road team.  HOWEVER , 3 of the Colts starters will now be OUT . This changes everything as the blitz happy Cards will  now put the pressure on QB Carson Wentz. Wentz is serviceable when the OLINE is healthy and star Taylor is doing his work. But when the game is left in Wentz' hands he makes too many mistakes.    The Cards are also not as bad as they have appeared lately.  QB Murray has been struggling and still recovering from an earlier ankle injury.  But today is the day to BUY LOW on the Cards.  The look ahead line a few weeks back was Cards -5 . Don't let the recency bias trick you .    Big effort from the home team today 

               CARDINALS -1.5 3 stars 

Stocking Stuffer 3 team Teaser:

     Ga State  +0.5 / Packers -1 / Cards +4.5

6 points 3 teams pays +150 

    Merry Christmas !

NFL WEEK 14

 

The Dallas Cowboys brought their OWN BENCHES to this rivalry.  Washington has a terrible home field advantage and Dallas basically says 'This is our home game'   The WFT has been on a hot 4-0 streak but they have Covid issues today.  Line has jumped from Dallas -4 to Dallas -6.5.   Hedgie was leaning Under 48 but will now stay away .....

Raiders +10  1 star 

Browns -2.5 1 star (pass on -3) 

Teaser:   Titans -2.5 & Falcons +8.5 1 star 

 Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh face off an NFL record 25 times vs each other in the regular season. Harbaugh has 13 Wins vs Tomlin's 11.  16 of those games have been decided by 4 points or less. This is an all or nothing game for the Steelers at home.

      Steelers +4.5 1 star 

Chargers +3 1 star

Bills Monday Night -2.5 (-120) 2 stars