Saturday, December 31, 2022

Hedgie New Years Eve Bowls

 Michigan -7 (-120)    1 STAR


Georgia -5.5     2 STARS




Sunday, December 25, 2022

MERRY CHRISTMAS

 



The Eagles gift wrapped the  Cowboys a 'W' on Christmas Eve yesterday and Hedgie found a lil coal in his stocking this am.....But the Steelers came through and we're on to the next !





1PM  Packers @ Dolphins  -  all the money is in on the packers this week.  Bettors are taking Rogers 'experience'  , the Packers playoff hopes still alive , anbd Dolphins lost 3 straight....HOWEVER,  The Dolphins last 3 were on the road and they are back home.  Packers LT Bakhatiari will be OUT for this game. Is. QB Rogers hand healed??  Hedgie sees value on the Dolphins...if you  WAIT  you can probably get :


DOLPHINS -3 (-120)  3 STARS 


HEDGIE STOCKING STUFFER TEASER :  

3 TEAMS  6.5 Points  - 1 STAR

Dolphins from -3.5 to +3

Broncos from -3 to  +3.5

Bucs from -7.5 to -1


$100 pays  out $135 


LATE GAME SNOOZER :   BUCS/CARDS

1st HALF UNDER 20 - 1 STAR


Saturday, December 24, 2022

HEDGIE is on a 7-0 RUN and 12-0 Star Weighted HOT STREAK



Tonight marks the 50th Anniversary of the Immaculate Reception and Franco was going to attend.  He unfortunately passed this week.  The Steelers were always planning on dedicating this game to Franco and that team But now it's become even more emotionally charged.   The Steelers are playing hard for Mike Tomlin to keep his streak alive of never having a losing season.  The Raiders are an indoor team and must now travel to a cold and windy three rivers stadium super charged with emotion.  

STEELERS -2    5 STARS 

Teaser :  Steelers +4  & UNDER 44.5  2  STARS 



RIP Mike Leach . There are too many Great people dying too early and along with Franco Harris Mike Leach was another.   Interesting timing as the Eagles travel to play the Cowboys and Jalen Hurts will be out with a strained shoulder. Garder Minshew gets the start . He's  started in 40 NFL games in his career and is one of the best backup QBs in the league.  Vegas adjusted the line from Dallas -1.5  to Dallas -6 on the news and sharp bettors immediately grabbed the +6 with the eagles.  The line is now settled in at Dallas -5  or -4.5.  The Hedgie does not think there will be that much of a dropoff . The Eagles have better  interior lines and lately Dallas has not been playing it's best football.  Dak Prescott has thrown 11 INTS in his  last 9 games and just last week the Dallas D  was scortched for 503 yards by the Jags.  LB  Vaneresch will be OUT and star LB Parsons had a flu bug earlier in the week .

Minchew dedicated this game to his old Coach Mike Leach and in his eulogy said

"You never really felt like an underdog with him . He had confidence....it was part confidence and part not really  giving a fuck in what people thought,  you know? It was one of the two. But it was awesome. It was contagious"


Hedgie expects a focused and max effort from the  eags 


EAGLES +5   5 STARS 


Browns -2.5   1 STAR 

Teaser: BROWNS +3.5 & UNDER  38.5  1 STAR 

Bengals -3  1 STAR 

Lions -2.5 2 STARS 



Thursday, December 22, 2022

Armed Forces Bowl DEC 22

 



                                      7:30pm     Air Force  +4  2 STARS



ADD : TEASER : Jags +8.5 & UNDER 42.5 1 star

Sunday, December 18, 2022

NFL SUNDAY WEEEK 15

 Bears +9  1 STAR  -    QB Fields starts  at home off a bye.  Eags might be caught looking ahead to Cowboys next week 


Jags +4.5 2 STARS  - Dallas O Tackle Steele was placed on IR last week.  Could they be looking ahead to Eags next week also?    Jags playing better.  Home Dog 


Raiders  -1.5  2 STARS -  TE Waller and WR Renfrow are both reactivated and back.  Pats making 2nd road trip and still only put up 20 points on the Cards last week 


Bengals .......might get -3...WAIT for kickoff  4:25pm....-3.5 1 STAR    -3 (-120)  3 STARS 


TEASER :  LIONS +7.5 and  Giants +10.5  1 STAR 

Saturday, December 17, 2022

HEDGIE SATURDAY 12/17..ADD BILLS -6.5 (-120) 1 star



                                                            Time to go 'Bowling" 



NCAA


11:00  am          Louisville/Cincinnati UNDER 39.5  2 STARS


3:30pm ADDING - Fresno state -3.5 1 star 


7:30 pm        SMU -4 1 STAR




NFL 


1:00 pm                 Vikings -3.5  1 STAR


4:30pm /8:15pm     TEASER : Ravens +8.5 & Bills -1  2 STARS


Sunday, December 11, 2022

NFL WEEK 14

TEASER :  Eagles -1 & Vikings +8.5 3 STARS

TEASER :  Eagles -1 & Ravens +8.5 3 STARS


Vikings/Lions OVER 51.5 3 STARS


Dolphins -3 (-120) 2 STARS

49ers -3.5  1 STAR

Texans +17.5 1 STAR (only if 17.5)



Sunday, December 4, 2022

NFL WEEK 13 !

 


                                        Vrable is 21-7 ATS as an underdog of 3 or more points 

Broncos +10   1 STAR  ( only  at +10) 

Falcons Pickem  2 STARS 

Titans +4.5  3 STARS 

COLTS + 11  2 STARS


TEASER :  Giants  +8.5 and UNDER 46.5 1 STAR 



Saturday, December 3, 2022

Hedgie Saturday College Football Championship Weekend

 TCU -1    4 STARS 

Fresno State +3  2 STARS

LSU +17.5   1 STAR 

Purdue +17  1 STAR 


Sunday, November 27, 2022

WEEK 12 NFL

 



Last Season the Titans lost to the Bengals 19-16 in a BRUTAL home loss . Tannehill threw a terrible INT to cost the Titans the game.  Today is chance for payback.  The Bengals will be without WR Chase and RB Mixon.   The line has dropped from Bengals -2.5 to Bengals -1.  The money is flowing in on the right side.


TITANS +1   3 STARS


Washington -3.5 1 STAR

Washington/Falcons OVER 40.5 1 STAR

Jags +4 1 STAR  (home dog rested ) 

TEASER : BUCS +3 & UNDER 48 1 STAR  ( high winds today ) 



Small Card today.  Be disciplined 


thehedgieblog@gmail.com


Saturday, November 26, 2022

Will Hedgie Stay HOT !? Coming off a 7-2 Star Weighted Turkey Day !

Indiana +11 1 STAR

Buffalo -4 1 STAR

James Madison -13.5 1 STAR

LSU -9.5 1 STAR

Vanderbilt +14.5 1 STAR

Texas Tech +2.5 (-115) 2 STARS

Hawaii /San Jose St. OVER 58 2 STARS

USC -4 3 STARS 




Thursday, November 24, 2022

THANKSGIVING FOOTBALL !

 


These days there's not a lot of home field advantage in the NFL.  Thanksgiving Day in Detroit is a day there IS home field advantage.  The Bills played in Detroit last week due to the Stow Storm in Buffalo. Their travel plans have been a disaster.  Not sure how they flew back Sunday , practiced and put together a gameplan in such short notice.  The Bills are more talented and should prevail in the end. But Hedgie still wonders about Josh Allen's ARM health.  Last week was a run heavy gameplan - to preserve that right arm ??    The Lions have won 2 straight and will be fighting hard under HC Dan Campbell.   

   The Bills got off to a slow start last week and were down 3-7 after 1s Q vs  the Browns.  Hedgie sees a similiar game script.  


 LIONS +3 1st Quarter   2 STARS

LIONS +10   3 STARS

Giants +10 PASS -TOO BANGED UP 

Vikings -2.5  1 STAR (only if -2.5)  - Don't overreact , Vikings will bounce back

TEASER :  Vikings +3.5 & UNDER 48.5  2 STARS

3 TEAM TURKEY TEASER ( 10 points )

   1) Bills Lions  OVER 44.5 ( down from 54.5) 

    2) Dallas  PICKEM ( down to zero from -10) 

    3) Vikings +8.5 ( up from -2.5)




    

Sunday, November 20, 2022

NFL WEEK 11. - Hedgie coming off a 5-1 Star Weighted Saturday !


Due to a Heavy Snowstorm that hit Orchard Park with up tp 77 inches of Snow the game was moved to Detroit.  The Bills held zoom practices and were able to fly out to Detroit Saturday afternoon. Most sportsbooks cancelled the original bets where the line opened. Buffalo -8 and 48. The line reopened at Bills -7.5 and 49.5 . The total adjusted higher due to Ford Field being indoors.  

1PM  Browns / Bills PASS.  too many variables and Bills had some players with the Flu this week

1PM     Panthers +13.5 1 STAR     Baker gets the Start . Lamar Jackson had the flu friday. 

1PM     Washington -3 ( -115)    1 STAR   Heineke gets start.   Commanders have            momentum)

1PM      Giants -3 (-115)  1 STAR    (Huge Coaching advantage ) 

1PM     Jets +3.5  3 STARS.  ( Matt Patricia as O coordinator. QB Mac Jones REALLY    struggling)

1PM    Jets +9.5 and UNDER 44 1 STAR

1PM      Falcons -2.5  2 STARS      Money been flowing on the Bears all week   QB Fields has been playing  well.  Bears RB Herbert was placed  on IR and the Falcons  have had 10  days to prepare.


4:05PM     Raiders +3 1 STAR  (only if +3) 

4:25PM      TEASER : VIKINGS +8 & OVER 42.5  1 STAR








Saturday, November 19, 2022

College Football Saturday Week 12


                                (Uconn defeated Liberty to become bowl eligible last week )


 12:00 PM     Connecticut +11 1 star  - Huskies are now bowl eligible at 6-5 and                                                                             are 9-2 ATS under HC  Jim Mora


7:30pm        Arkansas +2.5 1 Star


12:00PM     Illinois +18  1 star. - cold and windy. 2 string defenses. too many point                                     to lay for michigan  who has a  game on deck with Ohio State


11:00PM     Hawaii +11  3 STARS         Rainbows been playing well lately and are                                                                             5-1 ATS past 6 games

Thursday, November 17, 2022

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

 



The Titans have a few starters out on this short week . But the Hedgie  thinks HC Mike Vrable  is a better coach and will have his team ready as a home underdog tonight.  QB  Tannehill is back under center and the Packers best defensive player Rashon Gary  is out for the season from a torn ACL 2 weeks ago.  

   Expect a low scoring game as both teams want to establish the run.   Money has been in on the Packers at -3  so wait and take...


TITANS +3.5 (-115)  1 STAR 

TEASER :  Titans +9 & UNDER 47  1 STAR 

RSM CLASSIC - Late Entry but if paying attention before tee off...(Finau withdrew)

 Keith Mitchell   30-1 

Webb Simpson 60-1

Scott Stallings  83-1

Nick Hardy 90-1

Ben Griffin  98-1



TOP 20 :

Keith Mitchell +190

Nick Hardy  +260



sorry for the late post 

Sunday, November 13, 2022

NFL WEEK 10 ...Hedgie coming off a 10-3 Star weighted saturday !


 



Seahawks +3 (-115)    3 STARS.   you should be able to get +3 by kickoff.  This game is in GERMANY and listed as a Bucs home game which it obviously is not.  Bucs should have beat the Rams handily last week and did not because they are just not that good.  Bucs 23rd ranked run defense will have their hands full with Seahawks RB Walker III

Steelers  Pickem   -   3 STARS - TJ Watt is back. Steelers off a bye and get a banged up Saints team 

Vikings +7 -  4 STARS  this line opened Bills -8 then when QB Allen was thought to be out dropped to -3.5. Allen was announced ACTIVE today but HEDGIE DOES NOT BUY IT.  The Bills have been playing coy all week and it just does not make sense to have Josh Allen out there risking further injury to his elbow.  It requires rest and the Bills have their sites set on a SB.  QB Keenum is servicable and Hedgie thinks will get most if not all of the snaps today.  but this line should be more like Bills -3.  

Bears -2.5 - 3 STARS -  Lions first game on grass . QB Goff notorious for playing poorly in cold weather. Bears and QB Fields have been surging the past 3 weeks.  


TEASER :  Seahawks +8.5 & 49ers -1.5. 2 STARS


Saturday, November 12, 2022

NCAA FOOTBALL SATURDAY WEEK 11



Jimbo Fisher signed the largest guaranteed contract in College Football history last year.   The Team is on a 5 game losing streak has injuries and travels to Auburn tonight as a 1 point favorite.  Auburn is also on a 5 game losing streak but already fired their coach and the players seemingly will want to play hard and get a win for their newly promoted coach, Cadillac Williams.   


Fisher's buyout if he is fired at the conclusion of each season: 

  • 2022: $85,950,000
  • 2023: $76,800,000
  • 2024: $67,550,000
  • 2025: $58,200,000
  • 2026: $48,750,000
  • 2027: $39,200,000
  • 2028: $29,550,000
  • 2029: $19,800,000
  • 2030: $9,950,000


12:00PM - West Virginia +8.5 1 STAR

4:00 PM - South Carolina +8.5 1 STAR

12:00PM - Arkansas +4 1 STAR

7:30PM - Auburn -1  2 STARS

12:00PM - Illinois -6 (-115)  2 STARS

7:30PM - TCU +7.5 (-120)  3 STARS

3:30PM - Mississippi  +11.5 3 STARS


Wednesday, November 9, 2022

HEDGIE PGA TOUR STOP - HOUSTON MEMORIAL PARK

 


So far this Fall the PGA tour has seen a lot of Chalk in the winner's circle :


11/6      Mayakoba                       Russell Henley         50-1  (19th highest) 

10/30   Butterfield Bermuda        Seamus Power        18-1   (3rd highest) 

10/23    CJ Cup                            Rory McIlroy            6-1  (FAVORITE) 

10/16    ZOZO                             Keegan Bradley        37-1  (16th highest) 

10/9        Shriners                        Tom Kim                 22-1   (5th Highest) 


Usually by now we have a couple  longer shots that hit the board but as the Fall swing comes to an end we now head to Houston where Memorial Park will play very tough.  These current players tend to play in tougher conditions better  and/or hit the long ball which  will be an advantage here.  Pendrith was super hot this past summer and named to the International presidents Cup team. Mitchell  and Steele are  great Drivers of the golf ball.  Dahmen has been HOT lately. Straka is mispriced , has been HOT as well  and won on a similiarly difficult course last year at the Honda ( also has bermuda greens) .  Wise has been rounding into form and tough courses tend to fit his style of play.  Shriners  64th ;  CJ Cup 6th ; Mayakoba 15th .  Coming off  a 64 last Sunday Hedgie  is  Bullish on WISE this week ....


Hedgie  WINNERS :            TOP 5                TOP 10                TOP 20

Aaron Wise  18-1               Wise +425           Wise +225            Wise EVEN

Joel Dahmen  50-1                                          Joel  +400             Joel +175

Taylor Pendrith 50-1

Keith Mitchell     65-1

Sepp Straka         80-1

B Steele             100-1

S Scheffler    (6-1  PASS)                            Scotty  EVEN 


Depending on where you shop for lines you can get some nice mispriced longshots 

Adam Long  120-1  small  ( most shops have him in the 80-1100 range) 

Fancisco Molinari   185-1 ! small  (most shops have him 100-125 range) 


DFS Lineups coming soon...Best of Luck !


Monday, November 7, 2022

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

 TEASER :  SAINTS +8 and UNDER 52  1 STAR 


small play , lot's of injuries    home team monday night getting more than a TD with a lot of running and clock churning  is the play ...

  Prediction: Ravens 24-Saints 23



fun player prop: Justice Hill    OVER 25.5  RUSHING Yards  (-120)

Sunday, November 6, 2022

NFL WEEK 9


                         Bucs DT Nicks is back and will help tremendously vs a terrible Rams OLine


Falcons +3 1 STAR

Vikings -3  2 STARS

Panthers +7.5 (-115)  2 STARS

Raiders -2  1 STAR

Seahawks +2 1 STAR

Bucs -2.5 (-120)  3 STARS

Saturday, November 5, 2022

NCAA WEEK 10 FOOTBALL


Tennessee QB Hooker has been playing great with 21 TDs and only 1 INT   If he protects the ball Tennessee covers and maybe Wins





 Army / Air Force UNDER 41        1 STAR


Kansas State +3  1 STAR (only if 3)


Purdue/ Iowa UNDER 40 1 STAR (heavy winds)


Texas A&M -2 (-115) 2 STARS


James Madison +7 2 STARS ( terrible schedule spot for Louisville)


Tennessee +10 (-120) 2 STARS


LSU +14 (-115)  2 STARS



EMAIL Comments :    thehedgieblog@gmail.com

Thursday, November 3, 2022

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL


 Brandin Cooks wanted to be traded and some teams were interested ( Cowboys & Rams) .  But the Texans couldn't come to terms by Tuesday's deadline and now Cooks has decided to sit out.  He posted a cryptic tweet and is clearly not happy with his team.  To make matters worse the Texans 2nd best WR Nico Collins is out with an injury also.  Where will the points come from? ?

    Philly is on a roll and runs the ball well. The Texans Defense is also bad and the Titans just ran ALL OVER them last week.  Hedgie never likes laying double digits in the NFL  but there is only one way to go here.   Eagles were -13. now. -13.5 and mostly -14.    Not sure why the Total has not crept down from 46 either.    So...

UNDER 46 1 STAR

and...

TEASER :  EAGLES -7.5. and UNDER 52 1 STAR

     

Wednesday, November 2, 2022

HEDGIE PGA - MAYAKOBA

 



                                                El Camaleon Mayakoba Golf Club 


WINNERS :                                    

GRILLO 40-1

TODD 40-1

KUCHAR 55-1

DAHMEN 66-1

KEVIN YU 108-1


TOP 20:

WISE  +105

GRILLO +175

POWER +190

KUCHAR +190

TODD +220

JJ SPAUN +250

DAHMEN +250

K YU +425


DFS LINEUPS:

    #1                            #2                    #3

Scheffler                Hovland              Finau

Power                    Wise                     Hoge

Kuchar                   Spaun                   Grillo

JJ Spaun                Dahmen                Spaun

Kevin YU                Svensson                Dahmen

CT Pan                    Kevin YU            R. Armour


Sunday, October 30, 2022

NFL SUNDAY

 TEASER :  Saints +7 & OVER 42.5    1STAR


PANTHERS +4.5 2STAR


STEELERS +11.5 1 STAR


LIONS +4 1 STAR


PATRIOTS -2.5 (-120) 2 STARS


CARDINALS +4.5 1 STAR


SAN FRAN PICKEM 3 STARS

Hedgie does not do Burpees on planes......


Apparently Russell Wilson was studying film and doing 'knee highs' and 'burpees' on the 8 hour flight to London.   He's likely to return from injury but to the Hedgie this is NOT a huge motivator or vote of confidence to his teammates.  Maybe just get some sleep with the rest of your teammates and play better ?
The Vegas line was Jaguars -4 and with the news of Wilson's return the line has fallen all the way to Jags -1.5. and even Jags-1 in some spots.   London is a home field advantage for the Jags as they've played multiple games there now. The Jags traded away RB Robinson to the JETS but they plan to feature Travis Etienne  more in the offense anyway.    Hedgie likes the added value and of the line move and the public misperception that Wilson will all of a sudden play well.

JAGS -1 2 STARS 


more picks coming by noon 

Saturday, October 29, 2022

Hedgie Saturday. ( all small plays - bigger plays tomorrow in NFL)

3:30pm   Nebraska +7.5 1 STAR


3:30pm Central Florida -1 1 STAR


7:00Pm  Kentucky +12 1 STAR


7:30pm Michigan State +23 1 STAR


10:30pm San Diego St / Fresno St  OVER 42.5 2 STARS ( Fresno QB is back.  get in sooner)


add : NORTHWESTERN +11.5 2 stars 








Thursday, October 27, 2022

NFL THURSDAY FOOTBALL

 



The Bucs are struggling and not the same team they were a year ago.  Rumors of Brady and Gisele getting divorced  certainly can't help.    Tom may be the GOAT  ...BUT you think he can just flip a switch on a short week and make his whole team better?  His  O line has been struggling , his WRs have had injuries and the defense who used to be #1 vs the run are now #17 .

    Here come the Ravens and their stout run game.   The Ravens have been struggling as well but on a short week I'll take Lamar Jackson and his ability to improvise.   This line has also moved from Ravens -2  to Ravens +2 .    Hedgie likes Ravens  BUT wit the prime time UNDERS hitting over 60% this season  Hedgie like  a TEASER the MOST .  


RAVENS +8  & UNDER  52.5   2 STARS



P.S  Denny McCarthy is off to a nice start in The Butterfield Bermuda Championship..

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

PGA BUTTERFIELD BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP

 



The PGA's next stop is at Port Royal Bermuda. It's a beautiful site with a fairly weak field.  Bettors may not be as interested but this is where the HEDGIE gets excited to make some money .  The past three winners have been :
2021 - Lucas Herbert  -15 
2020 - Brian Gay  -15
2019 - Brendan Todd   -24


This week there are some storms out in the Atlantic that will bring thunderstorms and additional wind.  SO the Hedgie will look for some good ball strikers that have had success in coastal tournaments . Hedgie loves  Denny McCarthy  who's probably the best player in this field . But with odds at  16-1 the Hedgie will not take too much exposure as he's the chalk.  HOWEVER,  it's important to shop lines . Hedgie did find McCarthy at 19.5 -1  and is making a play there .  Here we go:

McCarthy   16-1   ( buy at lower odds , YES)   19-1  

Detry   20-1       Pass
Power 22-1       Pass
Hubbard 22-1    Pass
Hardy 25-1       Pass
Rai  25-1           Pass (found 33-1 !  place 5th in recent Italian Open has 4 wins on the DP Tour.  great ball striker
Meronk 25-1      Pass
Lower  28-1       Pass
Rodgers 28-1     Pass

______________________________________________________

All these players are solid and viable BUT the Hedgie thinks there are plenty of longer shots with just as good a chance to WIN :

Will Gordon  53-1  another  Korn Ferry Grad who's been hot . Gordon finished  T5  in 2 tourneys this august before winning the Boise Open

Kevin Yu  90-1  - graduated Korn ferry Tour  has been playing well . Finished 7th in Puerto Rico Open and has made cut in all three PGA starts this fall


Scott Piercy  100-1  -  old veteran who placed 14th in 2020 here, Wont get frazzled by the conditions


Brian Gay -  210-1  another  old vet  who's won this tourney in the past . Gay is 50 now but clearly a horse for the course.  He WON in 2020 , finished  3rd in 2019 and 3rd in 2021.  


TOP 10:

Denny McCarthy  +210 

Russel Knox  +400


DFS Lineup :

McCarthy  $10,400
Knox       $9,200
Shelton    $9,100
Piercy      $7,300
Kevin Yu    $7,300
Brian Gay    $6,700



GOOD LUCK !

email:  Thehedgieblog@gmail.com








Sunday, October 23, 2022

NFL SUNDAY. WEEK 7




 Ravens /Browns   OVER 45.5       3 STARS.    The Browns defense has been TERRIBLE this season.  Many think D coordinator Joe Woods will be let go or replaced...AFTER the bye week.  SO we get. the same ole defense this week vs an explosive Lamar Jackson.  The Ravens have had their own troubles.  SO far in 2022 UNDERS have been hitting 60% but not this game !


Lions +7 2 STARS. - Dak is back !  and the line reflects.  However , his first start in awhile and QB Cooper Rush was playing well.  Hedgie likes the Lions in their comfortable underdog role. also coming off a bye 


Giants +3.5 1 STAR  (make sure you get the 'hook').   This line says Barkley's shoulder is hurting. But HC Daboll has been pushing all the right buttons. Hedgie does not trust Jags 


Panthers +13  2 STARS.   McCaffery was traded and the line jumped. BUT the Pathers have been playing without McCaffery alot anyway.  With Brady struggling this is too many points 


Titans -2  2 STARS


TEASER:  Washington +10 & UNDER 47.5 1 STAR. - Heineke gets he start at QB and Hedgie thinks this is an upgrade.  Packers not healthy will lean ion their duo or RBs and keep the clock moving 










Saturday, October 22, 2022

HEDGIE NCAA SATURDAY






3:30PM   UCLA +6.5  2 STARS -  Chip Kelly 0-3  thus far vs his old school Oregon. UCLA off a bye 


 3:30PM      LIBERTY +7  (vs Byu)     2 STARS - HC Hugh Freeze calling  this 'biggest game in history of Liberty'


7:00PM   Air Force -2  1 STAR   - AF  at home and the running game seems to have found its rhythm


7:30pm  Penn State -5  3 STARS   - 'WHITE OUT ' Game at PSU  Both QB's dinged up.  If Minnesota's Tanner can not go it's a freshman QB up next 





Thursday, October 20, 2022

NFL Thursday NIGHT


 

Hopkins is BACK  from his 6 game suspension and this will no doubt help the Cardinal offense.  But WR  Brown was injured last week and the Cards trade for Robbie Anderson is going to take time to develop.  The Primetime games have been UNDER a lot this season so the total is low.  Hedgie thinks the play tonight is :


TEASER :  SAINTS +8.5 and OVER  37.5  2 STARS 

Wednesday, October 19, 2022

Hedgie Golf Wednesday - PGA heads to CONGAREE

 




The PGA Tour heads to Congaree South Carolina with a loaded field . The Course plays  7655 yards with Bermuda Greens. This Tom Fazio design   features a lot of sand off the fairways and it will be playing firm and fast .  Handicapping the event  The Hedgie will put an emphasis on Driving Accuracy & Distance combined with the best  Bermuda grass putters. Rory McIlroy is the prohibitive favorite  at 6-1 but the  Hedgie's betting angles are to look for a winner with mid to long shot odds.  One handicapping angle will be weather or not the Players returning from the ZOZO in Japan will be tired and affected with the new time zone.


So here we go :   


Jordan Spieth  28-1     coming off a dominant 5-0-0 record at the Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow Hedgie thinks his success will carry forward much like Tom Kim's 


Viktor Hovland 29-1  Hovland has really been playing well recently and has posted  a couple TOP 5s in his past three starts 


Sepp Straka    90-1      after a string of missed cuts  he seems to have found something. last 5 starts   45th ;  2nd ;  27th ; 2nd ; 7th 


Sepp  TOP 20:   +230   ( 2.3 to 1) 


Rickie Fowler  90-1  Rickie is back !  He switched coaches to Butch Harmon and is finding immediate success with a steeper more reliable swing . Finished 2nd in ZOZO and has confidence back 


Rickie TOP 20 :  +175


Russell Henley  110-1    great price for a former Georgia bulldog who putts well on Bermuda. He finished 3rd in the 2020 CJ Cup at Shadow Creek ( another Fazio design) 



For all you DRAFTKINGS  Tournament DFS Players ,two Hedgie Lineups this week :


Scheffler         $10,400                    McIlroy     $11,100

Fitzpatrick    $9,800                      Hovland     $9,200

Wise                $7,800                     Speith        $8,800

Fowler            $7,400                      Straka            $7,400

Putnam            $7,400                    Mitchell           $7,200

Stallings            $7,200                   L.  Hodges            $6,300



Feel Free to write questions or comments :  Thehedgieblog@gmail.com





Sunday, October 16, 2022

NFL WEEK 6




 Dolphins +3.5   1 STAR         - Vikings 1-4 ATS  and traveling to the heat of South Florida.  Don't trust  Kirk Cousins on the road here. Make sure  get the 'hook'  +3.5


Falcons +4.5   2 STARS   - San Fran in a brutal scheduling spot  having their 2nd  east coast road game. The Niners have a slew of injuries and the Falcons are the only 5-0 team  ATS  this year.  


Panthers +10.5   4 STARS   -  Panthers fired head coach  Rhule and QB Baker Mayfield is out with injury.  Baker was playing very poorly so QB  PJ WALKER  is an  UPGRADE here.  The Rams O-LINE is still a mess. Last week Cowboys only required 10 passes and 76 yards  to beat the Rams last week.  Panthers have the formula to keep this game close. 


 Bills    -2.5    3 STARS 


Bills/Chiefs OVER 54  2 STARS