Lets keep it simple todaty. 8 of the last 10 home favorites have won in this spot.
MONEYLINE PARLAY. : RAVENS & 49ers to WIN 3 STARS
100 bananas gets you 825 bananas
Also, Ravens defense very good. Lean under...UNDER 45. sure 1 STAR
3 team teaser: Chiefs +14.5 / UNDER 54.55 / Niners OVER 42 2 STARS
Good luck !
3PM BUCS +6.5 1 STAR
Bucs should be able to exploit the Lions soft secondary with Evans , Godwin and Pass catching RB White. Bowles a great defensive coordinator and will have a good gameplan vs a team they faced and lost to earlier this year.
6:30pm - TEASER : CHEIFS +8.5 and OVER 39 2 STARS
Initial thoughts are on Bills at home -2.5 BUT the Bills have some injuries on defense and The Chiefs come in with 2 extra days rest .
430 pm Ravens -9.5 and 43.5 ......Hedgie leaning Texans if can catch +10..but TE Mark Andrews practiced all week and with 30 mph wind gusts Hedgie is going to wait to post until 330pm
updating - NO MARK ANDREWS this game. Although the Ravens will be prepared and rested and'should ' win at home HEDGIE sees alot of value on TEXANS FIRST HALF ! CJ Stroud is playing Elite ball right now and the Texans will come in hot and confident. You can catch Texans +7 in the first half. 3 STARS
Texans +10.5. 1 star
Prop : Lamar JAckson OVER 52 rush yards... just like Josh Allen in these big stakes games Lamar will take matters into his own hands and run more than usual.
8:15pm. - Packers +10.5 2 Stars - more details coming later today
Potential Teasers , Totals and Props Plays ...stay tuned
4:30 PM. STEELERS +10.5 1 STAR
There are mostly +10s out there but if you wait you can probably catch +10.5. When this game was scheduled for Sunday +10 was a popular pick because of the bad weather and it started trending towards +9. But today the weather is beter and the Bills will be able to play their regular gameplan. Althogh no Gabe Davis for the Bills hurts a little.
Even bigger news is that TJ Watt is out for the Steelers. Once Mike Tomlin switched to QB Mason Rudolph the Steelers showed some life. Najee Harris is playing well again. With this total still low around 38.5 getting +10.5 points is just too much
8:15pm. BUCS +3 3 Stars
TEASER : BUCS +9 and UNDER 49 2 STARS
The Eagles come in banged up and will be without their best wideout AJ Brown. Also, Jalen Hurts has sore finger on his throwing hand and the Eagles secondary is dinged up as well. Baker Mayfield has some sore ribs but will gut it out. Big advantage to the Bucs wideouts Evans and Godwin in this matchup . The Bucs are 6-2 under at home the Eags are 7-2 Under on the road. This game feels like a 21-20 kinda game .
4:30pm
Packers +7.5 (-120) 3 STARS
The Cowboys have been outstandinbg at home averagngf 35 points per game. However, they are laying more than a full TD and the syrging Packers are coming to town. The Packers have won 3 sraight . Jordon Love has played very well lately posting a 9 TD - 0 int ratio the past 4 games. This is no coincidence as Aaron Jones is now fully healthy. Hedgie believe Jones is the key to this game. Jones has rushed for 358 yards the last 3 games which leads all RBs. Jones rushed for 127 yards against Carolina, 120 against Minnesota , and 111 against Chicago. He's clearly fully recovered from his knee injury and his opens up the play action pass for Love.
The Cowboys have great offensive weapons but also give up chunk yards. Hedgie sees HC Lafleur outcoaching Mccarthy in this one as well. The Packers can win this game outright so if you believe that you can also grab almost 3/1 on the moneyline.
Also, OVER 50.5 1 STAR
Prediction: Cowboys 30 Packers 27
8:15pm
RAMS +3.5 (-120) 2 STARS
The Rams were able to rest last week while the Lions played their starters and lost a key player in TE LaPorta. Coach McVay has the the playoff experience and knows QB Goff as well as anyone. The Rams will have a good gameplan and should win this game.
UNDER 52 1 STAR
With Lions LaPorta out and the Rams having a good scheme against Goff The Hedgie sees the Lions leaning on the run more than usual. The total is creeping higher from 50 to 52 and Hedgie sees this differently than most .
SATURDAY 4:30PM
BROWNS -2 3 STARS - Browns recently beat the Texans 36-22 who were without CJ Stroud. But in that game the Browns defense smothered the Texans Oline . They were up 36-7 at one point. Hedgie likes the veteran Flacco vs a rookie QB making his first playoff start
BROWNS/TEXANS OVER 44 - 1 STAR
SATURDAY 8:10PM
UNDER 44.5 - 2 STARS
This game in Kansas City will be COLD. Not just under 40 degrees cold where the Dolphins are 8-19 Straight up the past 20 years under 40 degrees . This game is at night and supposed to be -1 degrees. with wind gusts of 15 mph. Tua is from Hawaii and has not fared well on the road or in cold weather in the past. So it makes sense that this line has gone in Kansas City's favor from -3.5 to -4.5 . The total has dipped from 45 to 44.5 and will head lower. These teams met earlier this year in Germany and scored 35 points.
Breaking News - Baker Mayfield is no longer a Carolina Panther. Owner David Tepper and the Pathers did not think Baker was a capable QB for them and now Baker gets to ride in as a Bucs and capture the NFC South with a win at Carolina today :
"My mentality playing against the Panthers — the guys in the locker room are great. For other reasons, I’ll be extremely motivated to play. Obviously, the division is on the line. There’s many things. Everyone in our locker room should be motivated, not just me personally."
Hedgie has NO IDEA why there is money coming in on the lowly Panthers and will go back to the well with Tampa Bay
BUCS -3.5 4 STARS
Bengals -1 & UNDER 43 2 STARS
The Bengals are eliminated from the playoffs but will want to end their season at home with a WIN. The Browns have lo cked up the 5th seed and will be resting many players. Both teams will want to end this game quickly .
NY GIANTS +5.5 1 STAR
At 425pm The Eagles and Giants will kickoff at the Meadowlands . There's a high probability the Eagles playoff seed won't change. That's because the Cowboys are 13 points favorites at Washington also at 425pm. If the Cowboys take care of business which they should then it's likely the Eagles will be scoreboard watching and pulling players. The Eagles will not want to risk injury to any starters on the Meadowland turf.
3 Team Teaser : Heavy Winds in New England
10 point UNDER Teaser :
Pats UNDER 39.5 / Bengals UNDER 47 / Rams UNDER 51
12pm LSU -8 ( -115) ( prefer to get the -8 if possible) 1 STAR
No Jayden Daniels for LSU this one but HC Brian Kelly will have 4 star recruit Garrett Nussmeier ready to roll . Too much offense for LSU
1 PM Libery / Oregon - Pass. But no doubt the Liberty Flames will be rtghe motivated team here so if have the itch to bet maybe consider Liberty and OVER 68
1PM Iowa +6 ( -115). ( try and get +6 here as the total is very low at 36 and that's a key number) 3 Stars
Tennessee QB Joe Mliton opted out and Hedgie can not see a rookie QB doing much vs a stifling Iowa defense
5PM Alabama +2.5 2 Stars - Saban a full month to prepare is an advantage against Harbaugh who's notoriously bad in big games.
8:45Pm. Texas -3.5 2 Stars - HC Sarkisian going up againts his former team. Teams trending in diiferent directions as Texas QB Ewers finished hot while Wahington QB Pennick cooled off a bit. Texas fans will travel to the Superdome in New Orleans. Hone game for the longhorns.
For the degenerate gamblers who just must play teasers ....a new year's special :
3 teams teaser / 6 Points - LSU -2.5 ; Iowa +11.5 ; Bama +8.5 1 Star
100 gets ya 150