Saturday, October 8, 2022

NCAA Saturday. Week 6



 Maryland -3  2 Stars 


 Arizona +14  2 Stars


Illinois -3.5 1 Star

Thursday, October 6, 2022

THURSDAY NIGHT NFL


The Russell Wilson lead Broncos are  2-2 and have not looked very good.   The host the Colts on a short week and the Colts have looked worse.   Both teams are dealing with injuries to star players and Colts lost star RB Taylor to a ankle injury while Broncos lost starting RB  J Williams along with DE  Gregory for this game. New HC  Hackett is still getting used to being a HC and Hedgie doesn't quite trust him having his team ready to dominate on a short week .
     While the Colts have looked bad they rose up and defeated the Chiefs at home as an underdog and Hedgie thinks they will give a good fight tonight.  Colts RB Hines should have a big game running and receiving.  
   Thus far  the UNDERS  on Primetime have been 9-4.  Hedgie leans under 42 but is more enticed by a TEASER :

COLTS +9.5 and UNDER 48 - 1 STAR 


Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Hedgie Wednesday GOLF THOUGHTS

 



This week the PGA Tour heads to Vegas.  It's early in the new season and the Hedgie likes to follow and focus on some of the young upcoming stars who have had recent success on the Korn Ferry   or perhaps the PGA players who finished last yr on a high note but haven't tasted victory in awhile or even at all...


Unlike in the NFL or NCAA  GOLF is much different when wagering...picking a WINNER is extremely hard  and Hedgie does NOT like to chase the chalk. There are too many good players on tour in every field so paying up for a guy like  Patrick Cantlay  &-1 odds just isn't Hedgie's style. 

Also,  picking Winners is not like a 1-5 STAR rated system .  1 STAR is a real wager in Hedgie's book  so picking winner's is often based on fractions of a star ....so for the Shriner's HERE WE GO:


TO WIN :

Cam Davis  47-1                                .25 Star

Thomas Detry 75-1                            .25 Star 


FINSIH in TOP 10 :

Cam Davis  +475  ( that's 4.75-1)      .25 Star

Denny McCarthy  +500                    .25 Star

Kurt Kitayama +700                         .25 Star 

Rickie Fowler +650                          .25 Star


FINISH TOP 20:

Denny McCarthy +230                      .20  Star 

Cam Davis +220                                .20 Star 

Thomas Detry +230                            .20 Star 

Rickie Fowler +260                            .20 Star

Taylor Montgomery +150                    .20 Star 



All in for the Shriners  2.5 Stars Total  in Play



For you DFS  Draftkings Tourney Players here are Two  Hedgie Lineups :


Cantlay                    $11,100                    Cantlay         $11,100

D McCarthy              $8,400                    Cam Davis       $9,200

R . Fowler                  $7,800                    R. Fowler         $7,800

K. Lee                         $7,700                    Kitayama        $7,500

S Power                    $7,600                        M Hubbard     $7,400

A Putnam                 $7,300                        L Hodges        $7,000


Note that DFS is VERY different than outright gambling as you have to fit 6 golfers under a $50,000 salary cap .  There are also many different type of tournaments . The Hedgie usually plays tournaments that are  single entry ( one 1 lineup per tourney) or low amounts of entrees.  And Also generally  between  200-2000 total entrees.  It's important to find your own style and preferences.


FOOTBALL thoughts coming tomorrow.....

Sunday, October 2, 2022

NFL WEEK 4. - The Hedgie has a 5 star !


The Commanders lost to the Eagles lasy week and QB Wentz was sacked 9 times !    The 24-8 loss was more lopsided than the score. Now the Commanders travel to Dallas and are only. 3 point underdogs vs a Dallas team that leads the NFL  in SACKS  with 13 !!
QB Cooper Rush has a clear handle on the offense and is playing efficiently .  WR Gallop and TE Shultz may both return for the offense here as well.
The rumor on VIS radio this morning was that there's alot fo offshore money betting on the Commanders keeping this line at -3.  But to the Hedgie this line makes no sense . It Should be Dallas -7 .

COWBOYS -3 5 STARS 

Teaser :  Cowboys +3 and Eagles -0.5 2 stars 

Steelers -3 3 stars 

Ravens +3.5 1 star  ( Tough spot for Bills who played 90 snaps in the Florida heat last week and now must travel again with a banged up roster) 

Houston +6.5 1 star 

Chargers extremely banged up with Bosa out on IR and Star Left Tackle SLATER out as well.   Keenan Allen wont play and WR Guyton was lost for season last week also.  Tough spot on road to lay this much .

 

NFL WEEK 4 Picks coming by noon.

 Pass on Vikings / saints in London 

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Ncaa Saturday

 TCU +5.5 1 star


ARKANSAS +17.5 3 stars