Saturday, December 31, 2011

12/31

Northwestern +9.5 1 star - have covered last 3 bowl games. good value

Friday, December 30, 2011

12/30

BYU/Tulsa OVER 56.5 2 stars

Thursday, December 29, 2011

12/29


ND +3.5 1 star

ND/FSU OVER 46 3 stars

Hedgie thinks Brian Kelly will have the Irish ready and will get better plays from his QB's. Most money is in on the Noles and the under which should offer a lil extra value here too..




check back later for a late addition on washington/baylor at 5pm...

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

12/27 Ncaa ...no plays for 12/28

no plays for 12/28......

WOLFPACK of NC State -1.5
3 stars

Tom Obrien is 8-0 against spread last 8 bowl games with BC and NC St. Hedgie will ride that trend. Besides NC State's front 7 should dominate Louisville's shaky O Line. leaning under 45 as well but that line has been dipping...

Monday, December 26, 2011

Dec 26. NCAA

Missouri/Unc UNDER 53.5. 1 star

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Ho Ho Ho ... 12/25 addition: BEARS +13 1 star


Sunday: BEARS +13 1 star


Cards/Bengals UNDER 41 2 stars


Giants +3 3 stars


NCAA: Nevada +8.5 2 stars 8pm

Sunday, December 18, 2011

12/18

Saints/Vikes UNDER 53.5 1 star

Bengals/Rams UNDER 39 2 stars

Raiders +3 2 stars

Saturday, December 17, 2011

Sunday, December 11, 2011

NFL 12/11 6 plays today

Houston/Cinci UNDER 38.5 1 star TJ Yates starting on the road without Andre Johnson. This game should feature running and Houston's #1 defense will make it more like last week's game

Saints -3 (-120) 2 stars the popular pick here is the titans. CJ is running well agains for the Titans and the Saints have been a fade on the road on grass. Hedgie doesn't buy it and finds -3 good value. Brees and Co should put up close to 30 here



(CJ is getting it goin lately but the Saints D has improved quietly and Brees & Co still ave 25 its per game on the road)







Falcons -2.5 2 stars - Panthers also a public pick here as the falcons have not looked good lately and Cam Newton been putting up numbers. But the Falcons strength is the Panthers weakness and the should be able to establish the run here and get the W

Redskins/Pats UNDER 47.5 3 stars navy/army played at Fed Ex yesterday and the field is sure to be chewed up . Skins know they can't win unless they establish run and keep Brady off the field. Also, with Fred Davis
and Trent Williams (2 offensive starters) suspended they will struggle even further scoring.

(ARMY still painted in one end zone

...NAVY in the other)






Niners/cards UNDER 39.5 3 stars cards defense is coming in strong. Their new identity is hand the ball to beanie wells and play good defense. Look for another low scoring game like last week vs dallas.

Eags +3 3 stars - Vick is back under center and the eags are finally priced right. Public perception is that the Dolphins are playing hard and the Eags have mailed in their season. Hedgie thinks Andy Reid and Vick will have the birds playing hard in south florida Take the underdog +3

Sunday, December 4, 2011

The Hedgie's performance has been a little UNDER whelming lately..

today we go after totals and get UNDER the bookie's skin....

Bears/Chiefs UNDER 37 2 stars

Skins/Jets UNDER 38.5 2 stars

Broncos/Vikings UNDER 37.5 4 stars


Also, with TJ Yates starting for houston at QB vegas set this line low. The falcons get back Julio Jones and houston has andre johnson going. so there should be a few big plays in the passing game worth playing OVER 38 in texans/falcons ......1 star

good luck

Saturday, December 3, 2011

NCAA 12/03


Georgia +13 1 star

After what LSU did to Arkansas last week in the 2nd half there's no way vegas could get away with a lower line. Georgia has a strong defense and should be able to keep this game within a TD








HAWAII +8 3 stars
HAwaii needs a win to play in Hawaii Bowl while BYU is bowl eligible and will be most likely enjoying a lil vacation. Take the motivated underdog


SO MISS +13.5 2 stars
Houston coach Sumlin is on the verge of leading UH to it's first ever undefeated season. Rumors swirl about him taking job at Tex A &M could be causing a distraction. BUt bottom line is that So Miss is a good team with a slightly better defense. Cougars laying 13.5 is just too many

Monday, November 28, 2011

MNF

Giants/Saints OVER 51 1 star

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Sunday

Colts/Panthers UNDER 47 1 star - inflated line from panthers last shootout vs lions. Colts coming off bye and have scored only 7,10,7, and 3 points their last 4 games. Panthers way vs run. Expect colts to try and get the ground game going

Chargers -5.5 2 stars - Bolts been horrible lately so getting value here as the Broncos are popular pick. Tebow a good story but offense is still inept

Steelers/Chiefs UNDER 40 3 stars - chiefs 5 straight unders and Palko is clearly not the guy to run this offense as Orton was claimed off waivers this week. Palko a lefty and still adjusting to his WR's. Night game in the cold should stay under.

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Saturday Hedgie

Clemson +3.5 3 stars

Texas Tech +13.5 3 stars

ND/Stanford OVER 58.5 1 star

Friday, November 25, 2011

Black Friday Special

Arkansas+11.5. 2stars

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Happy Thanksgiving

Packers-6. 1star

Cowboys/dolphins under44.5. 2stars

Ravens/Niners over 39.5 2stars

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Hedgie back on track?

The Dolphins will be without starting Kicker Dan Carpenter this sunday vs the Bills as he injured his groin in practice Friday. Shayne Graham was quickly signed to replace him and although he's had success in the past Graham has been cut this yr by the Skins and the Cowboys. The Bills and Dolphins usually play tight games and the kicking game here could be the difference. money has come in on the Dolphins riding a 2 game win streak and with the Bills getting spanked in Dallas last week we get some great value here; BILLS +3 4 stars


Packers/Bucs OVER 48.5 3 stars - no one hotter than Aaron Rogers right now. After dropping 45 on the Vikes last week the Packers face a softer secondary with the Bucs.
PACK are 6-2 OVER last 8 at Lambeau...






Rams/Seahawks UNDER 39.5 2 stars - Both O-LInes are decimated with injuries. The Seahawks have success pounding Marshawn Lynch while the Rams Do the same with Steve Jackson. When the rams run the ball 30 or more times they've had 2 wins and an OT loss to the cards. Expect a lot of hard nose downhill running in this divisional rivalry with a lot of clock being chewed up...

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Hedge's first 5 star play of the year is TODAY

Yes, that's Denard Robinson and he's holding out all four fingers and his thumb which equals FIVE as in STARS today....
Hedgie faded Nebraska last week and escaped with a push as Penn St came out flat on it's last home game and senior day. Now Nebraska takes to the road again and must play a Michigan team that is coming off an impressive win last week vs Illinois 31-17. Unlike Penn St Michigan has offense. Nebraska will not be able to just run the ball with Martinez and Birkhead. This game should be similar to last week. Michigan wins by 2 TD's ...let's call it 31-17
MICHIGAN -3.5 5 STARS


Hedgie will also be fading Penn State today. They have ZERO Offense and now must travel to Ohio St with the scandal still a distraction. Ohio State -6.5 3 stars

USC +15 @ Oregon 2 stars - hedgie missed a play on Wash +16.5 vs the Ducks a few weeks back (Oregon 34- Wash 17) but this play is on a stronger team with the better Qb in Matt Barkley. They will put up points and hang with the ducks.

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Nfl Sunday

Chiefs -3. 4 stars

Bengals +4. 3 stars

Redksins +4 1 star


Will post late play at 330 today.....

No more plays

Saturday, November 12, 2011

NCAA 11/12

Penn St +3 2 stars

Miami/FSU OVER 51.5 2 stars

South Car/Fla OVER 40.5 3 stars

Sunday, November 6, 2011

NFL 11/06


"Slump? I ain't in no slump....I'm just not hitting"

- Yogi Berra



Important to have a short memory in this biz. Tough Saturday for the Hedgie with Bama's untimely penalties and Washington missing by the 'hook'.....







Today:

Falcons -6.5 2 stars This line opened Falcons -8. Money in on the home dog but Hedgie thinks good value here laying 6.5 with the Falcons. Falcs love to pound the rock with Michael Turner and go vs the Colst who are 31st vs run allowing 144 yrs per game. Also getting back Julio Jones should help. Falcs by 14

Saints/Bucs OVER 50.5 2 stars Saints look to bounce back and get revenge vs Bucs. At Home the offense seems to click. In their 3 games they've dropped 30 on the Bears, 40 on the Texans and 62 on the Colts. Hedgie leaning saints cover as well but will stick with OVER 51.5

Texans/Browns OVER 41 2 stars Hedgie thinks their is still value with the Texans total lines being lower than normal. Last week Gabbert got hurt early which disrupted the Jags offense and this week the Browns without Hillis should actually lend to McCoy throwing more for the Browns. Mid to High 40's....

Friday, November 4, 2011

Hedgie NCAA Saturday 11/05 - 6 plays

Maryland +3. 2. Stars

UNC -3.5. 3 stars

Bama -4.5. 3 stars

Navy -6.5. 2 stars

Texas Tech +14. 2 stars

Washington +16.5. 2 stars

Good Luck

Sunday, October 30, 2011

NFL Sunday

Happy Halloween from the Hedgie. So far this year there have been scary results from teams that have come off a bye. Of those 12 teams the records are 3-9 straight up and 4-7-1 against the spread.
Week 6 :....................................Week 7:
skins +3 vs eags L ...................Titans -3 vs Texans L
rams +14 vs packers L............Broncos -1 @ Fish L
ravens -7 vs texans W.............Bolts -1 @ Jets L
Browns +6.5 @ Raiders L.......Seahawks +3 @ Browns Push
Boys +6.5 @ Pats W ................Chiefs +3.5 @ Raiders W
Fish +7 @ Jets L.......................Cards +4 vs Steelers L

as we head into week 8 there are 6 teams coming off byes (giants , bills ,bengals, nines, pats, eags)


The Hedgie thinks this week the rested team coming off a bye that will be most dangerous is the PATS -2.5 @ Pitt. Hines Ward is declared out for this game as well as LB James Farrior. Belechil and Brady coming off a bye is plain ole SCARY....


Pats -2.5 3 stars





Also, the Texans offense is clicking. We are getting good value after the Jags monday Night low scored at 12-7 vs the Ravens.

Take OVER 40.5 3 stars






Saturday, October 29, 2011

Hedgie Saturday

Arkansas -9 2 stars

UNC -6.5 2 stars

Penn St / Illinois UNDER 38.5 2 stars WEATHER ALERT


4th late addition: Clemson -3 8pm 2 stars

Sunday, October 23, 2011

Hedgie Sunday 10/23




Redskins/Panthers UNDER 43.5 4 stars

The Hedgie will continue to back the UNDER in skins games until vegas adjusts properly. In week 1 they went over 41 in a 28-14 win vs the NY Giants and ever since have gone UNDER. The defense is underrated and Shannahan will continue to commit to the run. This week the team will rally around John beck who makes his first NFL start . Hedgie expects a game plan to protect the ball on the road. The Panthers defense has been susceptible to the run. Expect a total around 38...







The Hedgie will back the better QB on a winning team after a bye week. The Jets have not looked good and have

had a shirt week to prepare for San Diego. Expect Phillip Rivers to exploit Cromartie in the passing game.

Chargers +1 2 stars

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Ncaaa Oct 22nd

Jacory Harris is playing the best football of his career and currently the 2nd rated passer in the ACC after 6 games. Although Miami's D- Line has been banged up they do get back suspended DE Olivier Vernon this game.


MIAMI -3 3 stars

Monday, October 17, 2011

MNF

Jets/Dolphins UNDER 41.5 1 star

Sunday, October 16, 2011

NFL WEEK 6

A lot to write here ....but just going to get the picks up....
Good Luck !

Redskins/Eagles UNDER 47 4 stars

Redskins +3 4 stars

Cowboys/Pats OVER 55.5 4 stars

Ravens/Texans OVER 45 2 stars

Friday, October 14, 2011

Hedgie Riding a 7-1 streak...

Pitt -6 2 stars

Mich St -3 2 stars

Miss St +3 3 stars

Monday, October 10, 2011

MNF. Coming off a 6-1 weekend

Bears first half +3.5. 1 star
Lions been slow starters ....

Sunday, October 9, 2011

3-1 Saturday.... Hedgie Sunday on deck !

Colts OVER 38. 2 stars

Raiders +4.5. 3 stars

Niners OVER 41.5 3 stars

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Saturday Hedgie

Georgia -2.5 2 stars

Miami +7.5 3 stars

Arkansas -10 3 stars

Fla St -10 3 stars

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Thursday Night

Cal +24 2 stars

OVER 65.5 2 stars

Sunday, October 2, 2011

NFL WEEK 4

Steelers +3.5 1 star

Bears -6.5 2 stars

Pats/Raiders UNDER 55 2 stars

Redskins/Rams UNDER 43.5 3 stars

Saturday, October 1, 2011

NCAA FOOTBALL 10/1

BC -1 1 star

South Carolina -10.5 3 stars

UNC -6.5 3 stars

Monday, September 26, 2011

MNF Hedgie looking to extend the 3-0 sunday streak..

Ed Werder here is showing the kevlar vest that Tony Romo wil be wearing tonight to protect his ribs and lungs. This is a big divisional rivalry and Dallas' playmakers are banged up. Felix Jones (shoulder) Dez Bryant (quad) are going to give it a go but Miles Austin is out. Both teams will have to rely on their defenses to win this game and the game plans should reflect it.

Skins/Boys UNDER 44.5 3 stars

Sunday, September 25, 2011

NFL WEEk 3

49ers +2.5 2 stars

Saints -4 2 stars

Ravens -4.5 3 stars

Saturday, September 24, 2011

1 Play Saturday

UNC +7 3 stars

Friday, September 23, 2011

Friday NIgth Lights



BYU -2 vs UCF 4 stars






UCF travels west to Provo , Utah to face teh BYU Cougars as both teams try to shake off tough losses from a week ago. Last week BYU had 7 turnovers and has been outscored by opponents 84-40 through three games. Those opponents came froom the SEC, BIG 12 and PAC 12 . Hedgie thinks this line is way too low and that BYU will get it's offense on track at home....



BYU by 14 pts

Sunday, September 18, 2011

NFL WEEK 2

Raiders/Bills UNDER 42.5 3 stars
Jags/Jets UNDER 39.5 2 stars
Cards/Skins UNDER 44 2 stars
Benglas/Broncos UNDER 40 2 stars

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Hedgie's first go at College Football this season...

Clemson -3.5 2 stars

Florida State +3 3 stars

Miami -2 3 stars

Saturday, September 10, 2011

NFL WEEK 1 ..2-2 SU : 5-4 Star weighted - hedge starting slower than usual but trying to get it right..

9-11 Always Remember

Not much Commentary today in observance

Chiefs -5 3 stars

Cowboys +5.5 3 stars

Skins +3 2 stars

Friday, September 9, 2011

the hedge knew his 1 star was in trouble early...

el hedge will be ready this weekend..

Thursday, September 8, 2011

NFL OPENING PLAY small..

no time to waste....PAckers/Saints UNDER 47.5 just 1 star

saints will recommit to the run this year and with the new kickoff rules and longer average drives this total is a tad too high.....

Good Luck this Season !!

First play of the season will be released this eve at 6pm

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

The Hedgie is coming....


The first pick will be released this Thursday for he open of the NFL SEASON....

Sunday, July 31, 2011

FREE AGENCY FRENZY


The biggest hero in Free Agency thus far comes from this guy :


HOWIE ROSEMAN

The Eags GM has signed Nnamdi Asomogha , Vince Young, Jason Babin, and now Cullen Jenkins all while fleecing the Cards in a deal to send K. Kolb out west for the good Cromartie (roedgers-cromartie) and a 2nd round pick !

The Eags have been listed at 14/1 to win the superbowl as recently as last week.. Some sportsbooks have dropped it to 6-1 already. If you can grab 14-1 it's a great future play on a team stocked to win THIS YEAR.
The Hedgie locked in 14-1 TODAY .....you can too....

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

The LOCKOUT is Finally OVER

The LOCKOUT is Finally Over and the Hedgie is ready for the next phase which is fast and furious free agent signings ....

CAN'T WAIT !

Friday, July 8, 2011

NFL LOCKOUT


The Hedgie is staying optimistic about the upcoming season and starting to do his homework...this is the kind of season the Hedgie Loves - UNCERTAINTY with all 32 teams

Monday, April 4, 2011

NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP


Butler / Uconn OVER 129 2 stars

Hedgie thinks there's a slight misperception about the current form of Butler. They are known for great defense (especially last year) but right now Mack and Howard are shooting 57% from FG's during the tourney and Mack 41% from 3pts. Combine this with great FT shooting and Uconn's ability to create their own shots and Hedgie thinks this game has been adjusted too low by the bookmakers.

Final: Butler 69 Uconn 67

Saturday, April 2, 2011

FINAL FOUR

Butler/VCU UNDER 134 3 stars


Kty/Uconn UNDER 141.5 2 stars

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

NIT



This is Klay Thompson. He cost Wash St an at large bid for the big dance when he got suspended for marijauna . He led the PAC 10 in points per game with 22.0 . Last game vs Northwestern he play 43 minutes, had 17 pts, 9 rebounds, and 4 assists. The last 2 games he didn't shoot particularly well either and tonight Hedgie thinks he'll bring his A game infront of a crowd at Madison Square Garden


Washington St +2.5 3 stars

Monday, March 28, 2011

Hedgie is currently on a 15-0 HOT Streak....


Everyone is focused about the FINAL FOUR Matchups today. But the Hedgie is playin in the NIT....TONIGHT...


By the way, this is JOEVAN CATRON. He's had a double double the last 3 games and the Oregon Ducks look like they are in good current form. They are getting +5 at Creighton in the best of 3 championship series.


Oregon Ducks +5 2 stars


Sunday, March 27, 2011

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Hedgie had a 3-0 Saturday and rolls that ALL in to tonight's late game


ARIZONA +3 5 stars

Derrick Williams is a beast.

The difference in this game will be rebounding. UCONN snuck away with a win behind the hot shooting of star Kemba Walker but they lost the rebounding battle to the San Diego St Aztecs 32-30 and when you look deeper Uconn is only 32nd in the nation in rebounding. That's gonna be the difference here tonight as Arizona moves on to the FINAL FOUR


Friday, March 25, 2011

Sweet 16


Kansas / Richmond UNDER 136 2 stars
Kentucky +6 2 stars
UNC -4 3 stars

Thursday, March 24, 2011

sweet 16


FLORIDA -3 3 stars

Hedgie loves Jimmer, but will continue to fade BYU. These teams met last year and Jimmer scored 37 in 2 OT's as BYU won. Florida is familair with their team and is underrated in Hedgie's opinion

San Diego St +1 3 stars

The betting public is in love with Kemba Walker . They've seen him a ton on TV this past 2 weeks while most guys can't name a player on San Diego St. They have some BIG athletic players that shoudl give Walker a tough time in the paint if he drives. People will remember Kawhi Leonard , Malcolm Thomas, DJ Gay Billy White, and Chase Tapley after tonight. San Diego St shoudl be favored as the #2 SEED playing out West with a home crowd

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Saturday the Hedgie was 'JIMMERED' but will bounce back SUNDAY

Jimmer laughs at The Hedgie Saturday , but today will be different:

Michigan +11.5 2 stars

UNC -4 3 stars

VCU +9.5 3 stars

George Mason +11.5 3 stars

Saturday, March 19, 2011

Frdiay HEDGIE was 11-2 star weighted !!!

That's Jimmer waiving goodbye to the Hedgie ..as in....See Ya Later....

Gonzaga is playing really well right now and Vegas has them favored for a reason....

Gonzaga -1.5 4 stars
Pitt - 7.5 3 stars
K state +3.5 1 star
San Diego St -5.5 1 star



Hedgie 8 Team Parlay: $100 gets ya $15,000
at sportsbook.com

Gonzaga -1.5
Pitt -7.5
K St +3.5
San D St -5.5
Uconn -3.5
Morehead St +5
West Va +4
Florida -6


Friday, March 18, 2011

The Hedgie hit 8-10 on the Parlay Card and ALMOST pulled off what Morehead St did !


The Hedgie had an 8-4 star weighted Thursday and will continue to take aim at the bookies on Madness Friday...


This shot by Delonte Harper was the dagger that slayed Louisville. But read what the coach said iin the Huddle before the shot and tell me if you don't get Chills....

“Coach said, ‘I dreamed about this last night. I know exactly where I'm going to. I'm going to put it right in your hands, Demonte. I don't want you to drive it to the hole. I want you to pull up and win the game off a 3-pointer. I want you to pull up and win the game.’”

BAM ! Well Hedgie had a dream last night that he's gonna hit a 10 team parlay ! let's just hope it's today ...

First Things First:

Oakland/Texas OVER 155 3 stars

Michigan +1.5 2 stars

Marquette +2.5 3 stars

Georgia +5.5 3 stars

and one from the little dance:

Air Force +4 2 stars

10 team dream parlay:

oakland /tex OVER 155

michigan +1

duke -23

LIU +17.5

Marquette +2.5

Georgia +5.5

Indiana St +12.5

Air Force +4

George Mason +1.5

Akron +14

Thursday, March 17, 2011

MARCH MADNESS = GUS JOHNSON


410pm Vandy -2.5 1 star
920pm UCLA +1.5 3 stars
945pm Gonzaga +1.5 2 stars
950pm Cinci -1 3 stars
955pm Utah St +2.5 3 stars
Hedgie Homerun Parlay: 10 teams
$100 gets ya $70,000 @ sportsbook.com
uconn -10
west va -2.5
gonzaga +1.5
ucla +1.5
cinci-1
morehead st +9.5
butler +2.5
princeton +13.5
vandy -3
utah st +2.5
GOOD LUCK ON ST PATTYS DAY !!!
(google the gus johnson sound board)

Sunday, February 6, 2011

SUPER BOWL XLV - "THE BIG LEGURSKY"

The Super Bowl is one of those games that is picked apart from every angle. TV shows , analysts, pundits all have their opinions and predictions. You can go to ESPN.com and find pages and pages of analysis and picks. The Hedgie always tries to dig for value and tries to find the intangibles that might make the difference or get overlooked.
This particular super bowl is a great matchup on paper. Two great QB's and two great defenses. The hot team with the public right now is the Green Bay Packers and for noticable reasons. Aaron Rogers has been playing lights out and got a great win in the Georgia Dome vs the Falcons. This team is built for turf and the general perception here is that the Packers will spread out the Steelers defense with 4 and 5 WR's sets and attack through the air on their way to victory.
Another big topic is Maurkice Pouncey. His high ankle sprain vs the Jets will most likely keep him out of the Super Bowl. This is a big concern as he started all 16 games. BUT the Hedgie has a different angle here . Maurkice Pouncey is good and will be missed . But not as much as the HEDGIE thinks. his backup , Doug Legursky, is good too. He's started 4 games at guard this season for the Steelers and has seen plenty of action He's played center at Marshall University where he hold 2 weight lifting records for the squat (705 lbs) and the hang clean (430lbs). With an extra week to prepare and get in sync the Hedgie thinks the Steelers line will be just fine and might actually be better off with their run offense.
The Steelers are well coached and have EXPERIENCE on these side as well. They know the Packers will most likely spread it out and their best way to counter that is with a strong running game keeping Rogers off the field. Look for a big role from Mendenhall in this game as well.
The Vegas line is of importance here too. Hedgie has always been a value player and there is no doubt that Vegas set this line early with the Packers favored by -2.5 knowing that the public would be on the Packers. The money has continuously come in on Green Bay pushing the line to -3 and the over/under to 45. The value here definitely lies with the Steelers and +3.
Looking back at the past 7 Super Bowls 3 have been decided by 3 points while 5 have gone Under the posted total.
2010 Saints 31 Colts 17 UNDER 57
2009 Steelers 27 Cards 23 OVER 46
2008 Giants 17 Pats 14 UNDER 55
2007 Colts 29 Bears 17 UNDER 47
2006 Steelers 21 Seahawk 10 UNDER 47
2005 Pats 24 Eags 21 UNDER 46.5
2004 Pats 32 Panthers 29 OVER 37.5

This year's theme for the Hedgie is THE BIG LEGURSKY :

STEELERS +3 3 stars

UNDER 45 3 stars


Also , a few PROPS:
Brandon JAckson UNDER 11.5 Yards

Greg Jennings OVER 5 Receptions

Greg Jennings OVER 80.5 Yards

First Player to score TD Hines Ward 10/1



Sunday, January 23, 2011

Nfl Game 2

Last time these 2 teams met Troy Palamalu was not on the field and the Jets won 22-17.
The Jets won an emotional game last week vs New England and will now be playing it's 5th road game in the past 6 weeks.
The Steelers are well rested and although Palamalu looked a bit rusty last week he practiced this Friday and will be ready to go. The Steelers at home with a balance attack will pull away and win by double digits in the end

Steelers -3.5 3 stars

NFL


Bears/Packers UNDER 42.5 3 stars

The Hedgie thinks the stars of this game will come on defense. Green Bay has won 4 straight games holding their opponents to and average of 14.2 ppg and is the #2 ranked defense. Chicago is the #4 ranked defense and allows 15.0 ppg. The line seems a bit inflated based on last week's final scores. Chicago let some late cupcake scores by Seattle while Aaron Rogers had a lights out performance in the comfort of a DOME. These teams played twice this year and both contests
stayed up the total (37 & 13 pts) .





The Packers arealso 5-0 UNDER in the last 5 games as road favorites:


Sept 12 -3 @ philly 27-20 total 48
Sept 27 -3 @ chicago 17-20 total 45
Oct 10 -3 @ wash 13-16 total 45
Nov 21 -3 @ minny 31-3 total 45
Dec 12 -7 @ detroit 3-7 total 46








Sunday, January 16, 2011

hedgie is TOTAL ly off...

TOTALS:

Bears/Seahawks OVER 42.5 3 stars


Pats/Jets UNDER 44 1 star

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Packers/Falcons

All the money is in on the Packers. The line is now Falcons -1 . Hedgie will side with the well rested home team and Matty Ice who is 20-2 at home in the Georgia Dome. Packers have struggled a bit vs good Tight Ends. Look for a big game from Tony Gonzalez.

Falcons -1 2 stars

Hey Pittsburgh

This pic sums it all up. Steelers and Ravens do not like each other. In week 4 Ravens won 17-14 then Pitt repaid the favor in a 13-10 win. Hedgie leans UNDER 37.5 here also but figures best value is Ravens +3.5 in a tight slugfest..

3 stars









stay tuned for more picks to come...packers/falcons by 7pm

Monday, January 10, 2011

NCAA Championship


After a 1-3 wildcard weekend the hedgie is going to pass on tonight .....originally leaning oregon +3 and OVER...the money is now coming in on Oregon and the UNDER....a few tidbits :
- auburn has covered 6 of it's last 7 games
- oregon is 1-2-1 it's last 4 games vs spread
- auburn is 8-5 OVER for the season
- Oregon is 8-4 OVER foir the season
- Oregon is in it's first Underdog spot of the year
good luck

Sunday, January 9, 2011

wildcard sunday

Chiefs +3.5 4 stars 90% of the betting public is on the Ravens. Hedgie loves Ray Ray but Chiefs have a great home field advantage and more young talent than people realize.

Packers/Eags OVER 46.5 3 stars

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Wildcard Saturday

Seattle +10 1 star

Colts/Jets OVER 44.5 1 star

Hedgie focusing on Sunday where he will have much stronger opinions...

Sunday, January 2, 2011

first NFL plays of 2011 .....

Hedgie sees better times in 2011....

Chiefs -3 3 stars

Lions -3 3 stars

Texans -3 2 stars

Bears FIRST HALF +6 3 stars

good luck

Saturday, January 1, 2011

HAPPY NEW YEAR

Penn State +7 3 stars

Urban Meyer is the one retiring here and the seniors at Florida are sure to play hard. But this game is about X's and O's and Joe Pa will have his team ready. Florida has a couple injuries on defense and this line looks a tad inflated based n the perception that Florida will be more motovated to send coach meyer off in style....