First of all , let's take a look at some prominent offseason changes. 6 rookie QB's will be getting their first start in week 1 of the NFL. Thomas Boswell (washington post) wrote a nice article on august 25th summing it up:
"Since the NFL Draft began in 1936, how many rookie quarterbacks were drafted #1 or # 2 overall - the spots in which the Colts 'Andrew Luck and the Redskins' Robert Griffin III were chosen - have led their teams to even a .500 record ?
Here's a tip: the list of great quarterbacks who have been taken in both those posts is as long as both your arms, from Sid Luckman through Terry Bradshaw to John Elway, Troy Aikman , Peyton Manning and , as recently as last year , Cam Newton.
The answer is Zero. None of them was even 8-8.
The best rookie sea on ever turned in by a player drafted in either the Luck or RGIII spots was 5-6-1 by George Shaw in '55. Many of those exhaled names blossomed in their second and third years. But if you think the arrival of Griffin, on and of itself, means a great deal in his rookie season, then you aren't listening to NFL History. All of it. "
Just take a look at RYAN TANNEHILL of HBO HARD KNOCKS. (if you are as stunned as the hedgee is you know where this is going...)
So the Texans in June were -7.....now they are -11.5 and still climbing.The Texans with last years #2 Defense and a Healthy Shaub and Andre Johnson should win this game by 17 or more. Get on this game while you can....New Miami HC Philbin is making his debut on the road. The Fish have no Jake Long this game, no Brandon MArshall, and Chad Johnson who was supposed to fill that WR void has been cut for head butting his wife in the offseason. Hedgie will be playing the TEXANS -11.5 2-3 stars and will most likely be locking them up with a 3 team teaser taking the HOME FAVORED BEARS -10, SAINTS -7 and TEXANS -11.5 who all go against rookie QB's this week. The play looks like this:
TEXANS -11.5 2 stars and:
3 teamer (10 point adjustment - must win all 3)
Texans -1.5 , Bears pickem , Saints +3 2 stars
We'll call this the HEDGIE OPENING DAY ROOKIE QB FADE DAY.....
see you at the bank......be back with more picks later