Sunday, November 11, 2012

NFL SUNDAY

This may be considered 'value sunday'  for the hedge (not used to posting from sin city at 9am)....due to the late post and picks  there are alot of lines that have moved and hedgie plans to take advantage of the 'DOGS' that the public are betting against today. Not surprising since last week the vegas books got torched with the Favorites going 10-4....

Bengals +4.5  (-120)     home dog   hedge thinks the begals are a better team than they've represented the past couple weeks

Titans +7.5 (-120)   Jake locker gets the start. should inject a lil life into this struggling team which owner bud adams said was the most embarrassing he's been associated with in 50 years last week vs the bears

Chargers +3.5  (-120)   Chargers coming off a needed win , have 10 days rest and tend to usually get their season going in the 2nd half of season.  Bucs been playing well lately but their 2 best Guards being out for the season should catch up with them vs a decent defense.  lean under as well as the bolts have been relying more on RB matthews lately rather than rivers arm.  good value here too

Oh yeah, the public is on the SAINTS today. not sure why...they exposed the horrible eagles O line last week but that's not reason to think they'll have same success vs a much stronger Falcons team.   Matt Ryan should have his way vs the Saints porous secondary  and Drew Brees will have his success too.   Hedgie really likes a TEASER:  Falcons +4.5  & OVER 47

don't be afraid to buy the half points over key numbers like 3,4,6,7   :  stay tuned for later picks in the day.......

good luck !