Sunday, January 15, 2017

Hedgie NFL SUNDAY



Last week Jordy Nelson took a shot in the game that broke two ribs.  He's been declared inactive today.  However, most of the money keeps flowing in on the Packers and the Over. At Sportsbook.ag  79% of the money is on the over.   
   When these teams met earlier in the season the Cowboys Oline dominated and the Hedgie sees more of the same.  The Packers have won 7 straight and are here because of Aaron Rogers but the cowboys have the recipe to run the ball and keep the packers offense off the field. This will also chew up alot of the clock.   Hedgie leans cowboys and under and prefers a teaser....

TEASER:  Cowboys +1.5  & UNDER 60   (6.5 points -120)       3 stars



  The Chiefs / Steelers game time was changed due to a pending ice storm.  This has affected the line a bit too.  Money is in on the home team and has flowed in on the under  b/c of the weather conditions.    However,  if you look at this closer  there is an opportunity to go against this trend.   First of all the Chiefs are without  Linebacker Derrick Johnson and that has hurt them especially vs teams that can run the ball like the Steelers.  The Steelers are coming in hot and confident.  They already beat the Chiefs earlier this year.  Andy Reid will have his team ready and   is  19-3  coming off a bye week in his coaching career.  But the chiefs don't blow teams out.   
   Also, although there may be some icy conditions keep in mind that Arrowhead field is HEATED.  This will not be an ice bowl.  If anything the field will be wet.   So the Hedgie sees another opportunity to use a teaser to take the Steelers up over a touchdown and the total for scoring abover  37.5  with the recent dip in the line...

TEASER:  STeelers +8.5  and OVER 37.5   2 stars