Sunday, October 28, 2018
The Hedgie is going to try and make it REIGN TODAY....
If you saw the Hedgie altert last night you'll know that 4 Jag players were partying here at the London Reign Club Friday night until 4am. They then disputed their approx $50k tab and were arrested and detained for 9 hours. This shows where the Jaguars head are as their season unravels. Hedgie played the Eagles -3 last night big The line has adjusted from Eagles -3 & 43.5 to Eagles -4.5 & 44.5.
It's still a play on the Eagles at these prices and although the total has crept up Hedgie leans towards the UNDER. So :
EAGLES -3 5 stars ( Eagles -4.5 2 stars)
EAGLES/JAGS UNDER 44.5 2 stars
TEASER : EAGLES & UNDER 1 star
Let's make it reign back in the states too :
REDSKINS -1 3 stars
PANTHERS +3 2 stars
JETS +10 1 star
TEASER: STEELERS -1 & BENGALS + 3.5
Stay tuned for the LATE GAMES...you can also follow 'thehedgie' on INSTAGRAM ...
Saturday, October 27, 2018
HEDGIE ALERT * 5 Stars
The Eagles & Jaguars play in London in less that 12 hours....Hedgie was leaning Eagles as the Jags are just a mess and even considered benching starting QB Bortles......but as news comes out of london the play now becomes stronger : EAGLES -3 (-120) 5 stars
Line will obviously move so get the Eags as soon as possible for best execution....
According to The Sun, four Jaguars players in their 20s were arrested at 4 a.m. local time Saturday morning after allegedly trying to leave the London Reign Showclub without paying their bill, which was said to be in the range of £50,000. The players were reportedly stopped by security after trying to leave and things apparently became physical. The players were released after nine hours in custody, and the club dropped their complaint after the bill was settled, according to the report.
CBS Sports NFL insider Jason La Canfora reports that the four players involved were all members of the secondary, including starting safety Barry Church.
Thursday, October 25, 2018
THURSDAY NIGHT
The Hokies are always tough at home on a weeknight . Yellow Jackets record not so much. Coach Paul Johnson is 3-9 ATS after a win on the road. Va Tech -3 3 Stars
NFL : lean Texans lean Under...TEASER Texans -1 & UNDER 52 1 star
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Hedgie went 3-1 in NCAA and moves on to Week 7 NFL...
The NFL has been difficult to handicap lately. It's a week to week job and there are a lot of moving parts. Once again this is not the week to waste good winnings or chase. Vegas is great at setting lines and many of Today's lines look like tricks or will land right on the number. Hedgie will give thoughts and info and explain why it will do some small teasers....
Let's get started :
Patriots / Bears : This line was Pats -3 Gronk's back seized up last night and he did not make the trip to Chicago. Money in on the Bears and it's now Pats -2 or -1.5. Does no gronk mean an auto play on the Bears !? Heck no. Brady has Edelman back , Gordon getting into a groove and Bear's MAck has a sore ankle.......PASS
Browns / Bucs : This line is bouncing between Bucs -3 and Bucs -3.5. The Bucs Jameis Winston's played well last week and hey return home for a game in hte heat. They theoretically should win. The Brown's best tackler is Out in defense . BUT the Buc's defense is horrendous and gives up many big plays. Browns have covered 4 out of 6 this season so the play is....IF YOU CAN GET +3.5 TEASE BROWNS WITH 7 to +10.5 and OVER 45.5 ....1 star
Bills/ Colts : This line is moving between Colts -7 and Colts -7.5. Bills have a solid Defense . Colts defense is bad. Bill's start Derek Anderson. How do you trust either team ? PASS
Lions/ Dolphins : Lions -3 road favorite coming off a bye. Dolphins go again with backup Osweiler as QB . Hard for hedgie to trust either. Last week Osweiler had good stats but they were padded with Yards after Catch and poor tackling from the Bears. The lean here is that the Osweiler will show his trues colors and not play as well especially after a week of game film for he Lion's to study. Lion's will be fresh Dolphins coming off an OT win. But will the Miami HEAT affect the Lions. too much uncertainty...PASS
Vikings/Jets : Jets have played well at home and are 6-1-1 ATS as a home dog the last 9. The Vikes started off shaky. They come in as a short favorite. SO the big question is are the Vikes for real ? Hedgie thinks so. Cousins is settling in with a 70% completion percentage. The defense is adjusting and coming into form. The Jets are banged up with injuries at WR and in the Secondary... Let's tease the Vike's from -3.5 to +3.5 with another small favorite...
Jags/Texans : The Jags have looked bas the past two weeks. The problem has been that they get behind on the road and have relied too much on Bortles. This week they get a Texan team at home that is 3-3. The texans 3 wins have been shaky at best. The betting perception is that these teams are equal. Hedgie still thinks the Jags are much better. They won't have Fornette at RB and this week traded for Carlos Hyde who will not be playing. The Jag's Defense will step up at home. This line has dropped from Jags -5 to Jags -3.5 . A great TEASER spot to take 7 points and move Jags from -3.5 to +3.5....
TEASER : VIKES +3.5 and JAGS +3.5 1 star
LATE GAMES:
Redskins/ Cowboys : this game is a classic NFC EAST RIVALRY . Should also be known today as JEKYL & HYDE vs JEKYL & HYDE....
Dallas is 3-0 at home and 0-3 on Road. A great tweet this week on the Redskins from Dan Steinberg : "The Redskins are 1-1 in their last 2 games ; 2-2 in their last 4 ; 3-3 in their last 6 ; 5-5 in their last 10 ; 6-6 in their last 12 ; 7-7 in their last 14 ; They 're 10-10 in their last 20 ; They're 16-16-1 in their last 33 ; They're 18-18-1 in their last 37"
Both these teams are hard to figure out ! The rivalry makes it's great. So how do you bet it ? The line opened Redskins -2 all the money poured in on Cowboys based on their last week home W vs Jags. SO now it's Cowboys -1.5. Dallas is starting to click more on offense and Vegas has this line set too low at 41. SO the play is TEASING the HOME DOG UP from +1.5 to +8.5 and Taking OVER 34 (from 41 ) ... REDSKINS +8.5 and OVER 34 1 star
Saints/ Ravens - best game on the board today. The oney is evenly split : do you believe on the home favorite with the better defense ? or the road team and Brees with the better offense. Brees has historically struggled on the road but are the Raven's worthy off laying a FG ? It will be windy in Baltimore so maybe a lean towards the home team & under.....PASS
Rams/ 49 ers : Rams once again big favorites. It's their 3rd game in a row on the road ! 49ers are clearly outmatched but can they put up a fight at home after doing so last night. Kyle Shanahan is a good coach with good gameplans.....line moving around from Rams -9 to Rams -10.....WAIT UNTIL 3:45pm and you might get 49ers +10 or even +10.5.....that's the lean..otherwise PASS
Chiefs/Bengals : both offenses top 10 and HOT...money in n the Chiefs from -6 to -6.5....maybe a late night grab of Bengals +7 ?? otherwise PASS
TO RECAP : THREE TEASERS:
BROWNS +10.5 and OVER 45.5
REDSKINS +8.5 and OVER 34
VIKINGS +3.5 and JAGS +3.5
GOOD LUCK !
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Sunday, October 14, 2018
THEHEDGIE was 6-1 YESTERDAY and today will enjoy rather than chase or press....
Today is a HEDGIE TEASER DAY . When no lines jump out or look attractive the hedgie likes to tease.....here are some thoughts :
- Tannelhill has been ruled OUT the line jumped from Bears -3.5 to Bears -7. The only angle the hedgie would play at this point is Dolphins plus the points but don't trust Brock Osweiler ..pass
Seattle/ Oakland is in London. ....leaning Seahawks ..at -2.5 maybe a play but this game is in london where it may rain and on grass elements make this a pass
Vikings -10 and 41.....Vikes will NOT lay another egg at home but 10 is alot...the play would be a 7 point teaser : VIKINGS -3 and UNDER 48 1 star
Jags -3 and 40 at Dallas....Dallas offense 1 dimetional. Jags defense will bounce back...and other teaser opportunity : JAGS +4 and UNDER 47 1 star
Rams -7 at Denver - snow in denver ....tricky line there are 6.5s and 7s last week hedgie lost on the Rams -7 on road ...won't play it again esp with weather conditions pass
Jets -2.5 vs COlts....leaning Colts +2.5 if it hits 3 by kickoff will take Luck +3 ...
Stay tuned for late post as lines and news unfolds......
Good Luck
Saturday, October 13, 2018
NCAA
Boston College -13 3 stars - Tough to play in Chesnut Hills and Louisville simply looks like they've given up.
Duke +3 3 stars - Coach Cutcliff is 7-1 ATS against option teams the past 5 years. Duke has QB Daniel Jones back for his 2nd game so the rust should be knocked off
Arkansas +7 2 stars
Kansas State +7.5 2 stars
Charlotte +7.5 1 star
MArshall -4.5 1 star
Vanderbilt +8 1 star
Sunday, October 7, 2018
The Hedgie is on a RIDICULOUS 34-2 STAR WEIGHTED STREAK and 11-1 STRAIGHT UP PICKS !
The RAMS are clearly the better team and rolling into Seattle HOT. Seattle was not expected to be a good team this year and now it's even worse as they are banged up on both sides of the ball. Last year the Rams beat Seattle 42-7 in Seattle and Hedgie sees more of the same. Hedgie often likes to grab value with a home dog and Seattle historically has had great home field advantage. NOT this time. Get on the Rams as soon as possible -7 because this line will only go higher....
RAMS -7 3 stars
Rams/Seahawks OVER 50 2 stars
Texans -3 2 stars - Texans D playing well and should be able to stop the run at home. Don't trust Dallas on the road
Arizona/San Fran UNDER 40.5 2 stars
6 1/2 Point TEASER : Steelers +3.5 and OVER 51 1 star
6 1/2 Point TEASER : Jets + 7.5 and UNDER 49.5 1 star
Note: you can also follow hedgie on INSTAGRAM @ THEHEDGIE
Saturday, October 6, 2018
NCAA SATURDAY....LATE ADD ON FLORIDA +3
Texas +7.5 3 stars
Ga Southern -12 3 stars
Air Force +3 2 stars
Notre Dame -6.5 1 star
late addition: FLORIDA +3 2 stars (if +2.5 1 star)
Ga Southern -12 3 stars
Air Force +3 2 stars
Notre Dame -6.5 1 star
late addition: FLORIDA +3 2 stars (if +2.5 1 star)
Friday, October 5, 2018
The Hedgie's finished his Cigar after a 6-0 weekend and ready to get back at it .....
Both Georgia Tech and Louisville are a bit desperate. The perception is that Ga Tech will run all over Louisville. However , this is a Friday Night game and the line has crept up from -3.5 to -5.5.
Bobby Petrino has never missed taking his Cards to a Bowl Game . QB Jawon Pass appears to be playing better lately. There's plenty at stake. Hedgie likes buying a 1/2 point and taking the Friday Night Home Dog ...
Louisville +6 (-120) 2 stars
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