Sunday, October 13, 2019

NFL SUNDAY ...early bird special



Bucs +2.5  2 stars - Bruce Arians has really been coaching up this team . Jameis Winston has been protecting the ball and playing the QB position much better under 'the QB whisperer' Arians.
Arians is pulling out all the stops with his London travel. He developed a sports science department and has the players using compression socks , taking  melatonin ,and wearing blue glasses when watching video equipment.  Hedgie thinks it helps but whether or not it does the Players believe in it.
 Panthers been playing well lately also.  But QB Kyle Allen has slowly been regressing and has fumble problems (6 fumbles past 2 games)  Hedgie expects  a costly fumble today from Allen as well. 

Seahawks . PICKEM  2 stars. -  Simply a play on the more rested team with the better QB.  Seahawks coming off a Thursday night game with extra rest and prep time while Browns return home on a short week after an abysmal performance.  Russel Wilson playing MVP caliber right now while Baker Mayfield is really struggling to see the field.

Bengals +110.5 1 star - hard to get on the Bengals BUT the trends suggest otherwise.  Ravens are a terrible home favorite as of late going 1-6-1 ATS . past 8.  Division game make double digits a play

Saints +3 .3 stars -  not sure why this line has moved up so much from -1.    Kamara is supposed to play and  Hedgie thinks saints should be favored by 1-2 points.   Great value getting a FG with saints

Rams -3 . 4 stars -  Rams NEED this game.  They have had extra rest and are back at home.  Similiar to the Browns the 49ers  are on a short week and must travel.  They are also down their starting FB Juszczyk who is integral in their offense .   


Cowboys -6.5 (-115) 1 stars - originally Hedgie  was leaning Jets +7.5 . when this line opened.  Sam Darnold returns as starting QB...BUT he'll be rusty and just last week his splean was swollen from Mono and hedgie doesn't think he'll be mentally ready.  Just last week when asked if he'd play he said . "I want to make sure i'm safe out there and not going to die" .   Ummm..... The Cowboys are down starting O linement but have the weapons to win here and will be ready after a bad home loss last week.



Vikings . -3.5 . PASS .   if this line hits -3 again . Hedgie will take Vikes . They play well at home and eagles secondary is still weak.