Wednesday, October 27, 2021

HEDGIE HAS A 4 STAR TEASER !

 



Sunday evening Joe Barry and Davante Adams tested positive for Covid.  Then a day later WR Allen Lazard tested positive.   The problem here is that the Packers have a short week and must travel to play the undefeated Arizona cardinals Thursday Night . Barry is the D Coordinator and will miss the game.  Adams has a very slight chance to play unless he tests negative  twice in 2 consecutive days.   And Lazard is OUT. 

That leaves  QB Rogers with limited offensive weapons . WR  Marquez Valdez-Scantling has been on the IR and may return from his hamstring injury . However,  rushing back from a hamstring injury does not inspire confidence in the DEEP BALL.  

So how in the world will the Packers compete ?   It seems fairly common sense that the proper game plan  would be to lean on the best offensive weapons like RBs Jones and Dillon and mix in some short passes to TE Tonyan and slot receiver Cobb.   

The only way the Packers stay close Thursday night is to sustain some longer drives and keep the Cards offense off the field as much as possible. 

 That would equate to a slightly lower scoring game than normal.  This line last week was Cardinals  -2 and 51 Total.  It has since shot up to  Cards -6.5 and 51 Total.  Hedgie's  a tad surprised the Total hasn't moved down much yet  and  thinks it will.   Right now Hedgie sees some great value on teasing the total up to 57 and going UNDER  while teasing the Cards down from -6.5 to -0.5.     Even if the Cards blow out the Packers the Total is likely to stay Under as well.  Most teams  when ahead by a lot run the clock out in the 4th Q and don't want to risk injury .  A good example of that was last week  BUCS  38 Bears 3 .   

So the play is :


TEASER    CARDS  -0.5 and UNDER 57     4 STARS