Two Turkeys start in the early game at 12:30. Hedgie actually thinks Dalton is ok and the Bears Oline will create some holes form RB Montgomery. The Lions get Goff as starter and it's all around a bad team. Bears HC Nagy may be coaching his last game for the Bears if they lose. The Bears may still have a little hope for their season as well.
BEARS -.2.5 1 Star
TEASER : Cowboys -1 & Bears +3.5 - 1 Star Raiders have lost 3 straight games a nd their offense is really struggling with Gruden . Cowboys bounce back after loss to Chiefs
Saints +6.5 1 star - Thanksgiving night on Bourbon street will be rocking. Saints have lost 3 in a row and need this game to salvage any part of their season
Miss State -2. 1 star
Saints +3 (-115) 2 stars - Kamara is out as well as the left tackle. Much like last week the Saints come in hobbled. But with all the money flowing in on the Eagles the line is now attractive at +3. The Saints have lost 2 in a row. Sean Peyton is a better coach and will have a good gameplan.
Texans +10.5 1 star - The Titans are on a roll but starting to wear down a bit. They should not be laying double digits to a divisional foe even if it's the lowly Texans. Tyrod Taylor is back for his 2nd game from injury. The Texans are coming off a bye and should have some fight in them.
Colts +7.5 2 stars - Colts have covered past 9 of 10 on the road. They have a good Oline and run Game with Johnathan Taylor who has 4 straight 100+ games rushing. Good Olines travel well.
Steelers/Chargers UNDER 48 1 star - Big Ben cleared to play after Covid . Chargers run defense is poor and the Steelers only path to a win should be through their run game and N Harris. Steelers defense is their strength so. 48 feels too high
Teaser: Cowboys +8.5 & Over 49.5 2 stars - Dalls WR Cooper is out with Covid but WR Gallup is IN. This should not be much of a dropoff as Dak has been playing at an elite level. Hedgie thinks the Cowboys are the better teama dn shodl win outright. Mahommes playing better and should score. So Cowboys and Over feels good in all scenarios.
There are no more questions if Alvin Kamara will play this week...HE IS OUT !
Last week's game vs the Falcons was a costly game for the Saints. Not only did Kamara suffer a mild knee sprain and is ruled out BUT their starting Left Tackle Armstead is also out as well as Safety Gardner-Johnson . Let's not forget the Saints lost QB Winston and will be starting Trevor Simien . They are 28th in total offense WITH Kamara and Winston. Now they must travel to play a hot Tennessee Titan team who is 7-2 ATS this year . Head Coach Vrable has this team focused even without RB Henry as witnessed last weekend on the road vs the LA Rams.
Not sure why this line has not climbed dramatically (YET). Monday it was Titans -2.5. Now the news has hit and it's still only Titans -3 in most spots. This line will close at Kickoff Titans -4.5 or higher.
LAY the Points NOW:
Tennesse Titans -3 5 STARS
* update - no Julio Jones it’s ok. Still a play
LA CHARGERS -3
4 stars - the Vikings are beat up. Their offense has a rookie coordinator in young kubiak and cannot sustain drives. The defense has been stretched thin , is worn out & has multiple injuries. Terrible spot for the Vikes on the road vs a good chargers team
Patriots -2.5 2 stars
Pats are quietly improving under Belechik. Browns coming off a great division win vs the bengals and RBs Chubb & Hunt are out
Bengals / Browns UNDER 47.5 1 star
It's November and this time of year the weather is colder and these divisional foes know each other well. The Browns have Chubb back and need to establish the run to win this game in what should be a slower paced game.
Chargers -1 @ Eags 2 stars
This line opened Chargers -3 and bettors took Eags money immediately. The only explanation here would be recency bias as fans recently watched the Eags dominate the pathetic Lions while the Pats stumped QB Herbert . Herbert also has a bruise thumb but has said is fine. There's also a handicapping angle to fade West coast teams that travel east and play early . The Chargers are banged up in the secondary but can Hurts exploit that ? The Hedgie believes the Chargers are just the superior team and needs a win . Great value on the Bolts to basically just win .
Broncos +10 @ Cowboys 2 stars
The Cowboys are the only undefeated team vs the spread this year at 7-0. The Catch here is that there is now a premium on the spread. The early lookahead line had the boys -6 a few weeks ago. Dak is back and the bettors will be on the Cowboys . The Broncos also traded star DE Von Miller to the Rams for future draft picks so the perception is that the Broncos are mailing it in . However , these are professionals and the Broncos will be fighting for their jobs still. QB Teddy Bridgewater's knickname is 'Teddy Covers'. He's a covering machine and with WR Jerry Jeudy back thinks the Broncos will keep this game close.
Teaser : Texans +11.5 & OVER 40.5 1 star
The Dolphins are only 2-5 ATS and should not be laying anywhere near a TD in this game. Their home field advantage is non existent . The main reason for this play is that Tyrod Taylor is back at QB for the Texans and he's a major upgrade at the most important position. Both defenses are poor so over 40.5 points should be easy.
Ravens (-270) / Saints (-265) MONEYLINE Parlay 1 star
This is essentially the same as a 2 team 6 point teaser ( ravens -6 & saints -6) . But the payoff is better on the moneyline. A teaser is -120 to win 100. The ML Parlay here is -120 to win 106 . Every bit counts when you're betting the NFL.
The plays here are based on Ravens coming off a bye week Harbaugh is a great coach off a bye and the Vikings will be missing star DE D. Hunter.
The Saints will start Trevor Simien and also get back Taysom Hill. The Falcons are just not a very good team and the Saints defense is playing well and are at home.
Air Force MONEYLINE (-127) 2 stars ... ( or -2 1 star )
Colorado +11.5 2 stars
Cincinatti -22 3 stars