Sunday, September 7, 2025

HEDGIE's NFL WEEK 1 SLATE !

 But first a quick clip on the bad beat from yesterday.  Hedgie had a 4-2 Star weighted Saturday but it should have been 5-1 .  With Ole Miss up 30-20 ( laying 8 points ) and just 13 seconds left , Kentucky  kicked a FG to cut it to 7 .

 Sean McDonough was well aware of the Vegas line in his announcing ....

"And those who occasionally invest on such things , were just impacted by that field goal which brings it to a 7 point game" 




On to the NFL !


1 PM  TEASER ( 2 teams/6 Points )  -  JETS +9 & BUCS +7 -  2 STARS 

            First, The Hedgie wouldn't blame anyone for taking the JETS +3 at home.   Aaron Glenn makes coaching debut and his defense will get after QB Rodgers .  The total for this game is very low set at 38 and has been dipping to  37.5.  Points will be a premium and Hedgie likes the home team getting a full 9 in a teaser.
           The Bucs at Atlanta opened as a 2.5 point favorite . At lanta has become a popular home dog pick the past few days and has driven the line all the way to a pickem and even Atlanta favored in a few spots.  OC Liam Coehn departed to take the Jacksonville HC job , but Baker Mayfield has a grasp on this offense and even without LT Wirfs and WR Godwin they have plenty of talent to win this game.  Atlanta will be starting a new RT on offense. Their starting LT is hurt and out, their backup RT is also hurt.  That leaves fill in Wilkinson to start . The Bucs signed free agent Hassan Reddick in the offseason and he should be very disruptive today.  

1PM : CAROLINA PANTHERS +4.5  1 STAR  
 This line opened as Jags -2.5 . They have a new head coach and there's alot of hype surrounding draft pick Hunter who will be playing 'as an every down wr' .
 But the Hedgie thinks the Jags will have some growing pains out of the gate . The Panthers are perceived to be a poor team but things clicked for them at the end of last season . QB Young started playing well and finished the season with a 7 TD vs 0 Int ratio his last 3 games.   Fade the public money and grab the 4.5 points .   


1PM :  Patriots /Raiders OVER 44  -    1 STAR 
The Patriots brought in  Diggs as a WR and QB Maye has a year under his belt . The Pats will be without their best CB Gonzales.   The Raiders also are revamped . new HC Pete Carroll brought over QB Geno Smith, drafted a stud RB in Jeanty and hired O Coordinator  Chip Kelly.    Hedgie sees more offense in this opener than the public perception and will go over the fairly low total .  


stay tuned for more picks.....