There are a lot of UGLY DOGS this week , the Hedgie has a couple teasers and has sifted thru the dumpster to try and find some value..
SAINTS +14.5 1 STAR - Saints have lost 3 straight and turn to new starting QB Shough . The Saints defense has improved as the season as gone but noone is noticing. The Rams come off a bye . The public loves betting teams off a bye even though the stats vs the spread don't necessarily favor it. This line too high. You can shop and get 14.5
CHARGERS / TITANS OVER - 2 STARS This is another inflated line as the Chargers are on the road and favored by 13. If this line gets to 14 Hedgie would consider a star. But the better play is going OVER the low set total. Cam Ward continues to learn and continues to turn the ball over which always results in more points .
FALCONS +5 2 STARS - buying low on the Falcons as QB Penix and WR Drake look to return . Also some of their defense also getting healthy . Feels like Pats are getting alot of hype and perhaps overvalued here in this spot. (if penix or drake scratch then pass)
TEASER: BRONCOS +8.5 & LIONS -3 2 STARS
TEASER : Chiefs +4 & OVER 46.5 2 STARS (Chiefs Monelyline -130 a consideration as well)
PROPS :
WR Bourne (49ers )OVER 40.5 Receiving yards
WR Chris Moore (Wash) OVER 18.5 receiving yards