Saturday, December 27, 2025

HEDGIE NFL SATURDAY PLAY



The Hedgie is going back to the TEASER WELL Today.

The Ravens and Packers are both dealing with injuries and will be starting their backups QB's in Malik Willis and Tyler Huntley.  The weather in Green Bay is 35 degrees and with Huntley at the helm , The Hedgie suspects Derek Henry will get a heavy workload .  Vegas' expectation for this  game is a low scoring affair with the total set at 38.5.   So this game feels like it sets up for a one score game whoever may win.  Right now the Ravens are getting +3.5 at most books so Hedgie will be shopping lines and looking for the 2 team teaser that offers 6.5 points at -120 . A good prop play here would be Derek Henry OVER 16.5 carries . However , it is a popular pick and that line has been steamed up to 17 and even 18.  Stay disciplined and don't chase the prop plays .

  The other leg of the teaser should have a playoff feel to it. With the Chargers and Texans both playing well and chasing the Jags and Broncos for better playoff seeds , this game will be intense.  The total here is also set low at 39.5 and rightfully so.  The Texans defense is elite and has a big advantage over the Chargers banged up Oline.  While the Chargers have quietly been playing great defense as well the second half of the season.  The Value here is teasing the home dog to over a touchdown.  Right now the Chargers are favored by -2 so teasing the Texans to +8.5 feels like a no brainer.  


TEASER 6.5 points (-120) : RAVENS +10 and TEXANS +8.5  2 STARS