hedgie is PASSING tonight...and thursday night 12/16

still shaking head (SMH) at that TD at the end of the half yesterday...4 seconds left , Belichick calls in a kneel down , brady gives Branch a little 'wink' and lets one go down the sidleine to score with no time in the half.....tough to go UNDER 37.5 when it's 33-0 at the half ...

btw, look at branch's cleats. the pats werew runninfg around yesterday like it was 60 and sunny. belichick strikes again. he called it a 'double hoodie day' like a rope a dope to the bears...

nfl sunday

Chicago Bears +3 2 stars weather will play a major role in this game. with WINDS gusting from 35-50 mph both teams will be forced to run the ball more. the pats are coming off a short week and a drubbing of their division foe 45-3. the bears defense is giving up only 16 ppg. home dog +3 is the right side here.

Bears/Pats UNDER 37.5 4 stars as mentioned above the WEATHER is a MAJOR factor in this game. recall last year in Orchard Park when the Pats Bills struggled to a 6-3 game in 50 mph winds. This line opened at 41 and has come down to 37.5 which is NOT NEARLY ENOUGH of an adjustment by the bookmakers.

Saints/Rams OVER 47 2 stars saints offense is clicking averaging 30 ppg the past 4 games. Rams are on their third straight road game so the hedgie was tempted to lay the points with the saints but the better play is the OVER

Falcons -7 3 stars Falcons are a well balanced focused team. They are playing for home field advantage throughout the playoffs and will not let down in this spot. The panthers are a banged up team and also lost their starting weakside LB (Jason Williams) this Friday as well.

HEDGIE IS BREAKING A RULE TONIGHT...

Recognize this dude? He's the QB of the Colts who has thrown 11 Picks in the last 3 games . The Colts have lost 3 in a row and are in desperation mode. They get to play the Titans who have lost 5 straight games themselves and have not score a TD in it's last 11 quarters. The Colts have lost to good teams and have still been able to score. All the money is coming in on the Colts at -3 but there's one problem. The books are adjusting the juice. The line now sits at -3 -130 juice. TOO MUCH ! The smart money is also coming in on UNDER 45 and has moved the line down a smidge to 44.5. Rather that take the Colts and lay some much juice the Hedgie sees best value in doing a 2 team 6.5 point TEASER! Taking the Colts at +3.5 and movingthe total from 44.5 to 51 and going UNDER makes alot more sense at the -120 juice price. So :

FIRST TEASER OF THE YEAR: COLTS +3.5 & UNDER 51 2 STARS

The Hedgie .....from Vegas..releasing first 5 star of the year

The Hedgie took a trip to Vegas to right the ship.....coming off a 3-0 Saturday Hedgie releases first 5 star of the season

Bucs/Falcons UNDER 43.5 5 stars

The Big east championship was played at Raymond James field last night. The turf on the field is a mess and there is not time for the staff to address new turf. Footing will be horrible in this divisional rivalry. Teams will need to adjust the cleats and expect a tight game with an emphasis on the running games. There is also expected to be 15 mph gusts of wind which will not help the kicking and passing games.

Jags +3.5 2 stars

Bears -4.5 2 stars

saturday ncaa

uconn +3 (-120) 3 stars

utah state +40 2 stars

oklahoma/nebraska UNDER 53 2 stars

Thursday Night NFL

Houston +8 1 Star