Sunday, December 15, 2019

Hedgie NFL Sunday Week 15


Farewell to the Black Hole - Last Raider's Game EVER in the Coliseum today

Redskins +7 1 star   (you can also buy this up to +7  -120 in some spots) - The Eagles almost lost to the 2-10 Giants on Monday night and now must travel on a short week to a divisional rival.  They are banged up at multiple positions. WRs Algolor and Jeffery are out and stud Olineman Lane Johnson is doubtful.  The Redskins are banged up themselves but fighting under the leadership of  HC Callahan and have covered 5 of last 7.  AP is 282 yards away from  1000 yards rushing.  The skins will be motivated.

Titans -3 1 star - Tennessee is  currently HOT . Once they switched to Ryan Tannehill at QB  they are  6-1 straight up and have gone OVER the total 7 straight games.   RB Henry was dealing witha sore hammy but is supposed to play today.  Texans WR Fuller is questionable but looks like a GO as well . The Titans DBs  are banged up as well . So hedgie will play    OVER 51  1 star as well


Giants/Dolphins OVER 45  1 star  - The Giants will go with Eli at QB again which may be his last game in the meadowlands.  The Giants are getting healthier  offense but their defense has been terrible and they released starting DB  Jenkins this week due to controversial twitter remarks.   The Dolphins  have covered 7 of their last 9 and are still playing hard but have the 32nd ranked defense. Dolphins give up 31 points per game and the Giants aren't far behind.  There might be some wind today so monitor that.  If good conditions play an extra star

Cards/Browns  OVER 49 1 star -  the cards currently give up the most yards per pass in the nfl and have really struggled on defense.   Baker Mayfield and the Browns have weapons and balance and should have success vs Cards here.   The Browns are without DE Vernon and Garrett which should allow for the Cards to move the ball as well.   A little bad blood here between Baker and  Cards HC  Kingsbury .  Baker transferred from Texas Tech to Oklahoma in his college days when Kingsbury was the coach so Hedgie expects no letup when the opportunity to score presents itself.

Falcons /49ers OVER 48 1 star -  49ers are really banged up on defense. Matt Ryan and co shold have some sucess.   HC Shanahan knows he'll need to score on the vulnerable Falcons defense and the 49ers will

Packers -3.5  2 stars  - Packers are at home in December and fighting for playoff positioning.  Hedgie doesn't trust Tribusky at all.

Raiders -6.5  3 stars -  LAST GAME EVER AT THE COLISEUM. Perfect timing for Raiders who will be fired up and get the pathetic Jaguars who have LOST their last 5 games by an  average of 23 points !  

RAMS -1      4 stars  -  the Rams are HOT.  They are finally using Gurley and have a balanced attack. Their WRs are healthy  and Goff is playing well behind an improved Oline.  The cowboys have bange d up linebackers which will be exploited.  This is NOT a must win for the cowboys as they play the eagles next week . The cowboys have talent but are clearly dysfunction. They are 0-6 vs winning teams this year.  

Vikings  -1  4 stars  -  The Vikes are a legit playoff team and thats mostly now because  Cousins is playing good ball and the past 9 weeks has throw 19 Tds and just 2 ints. They get no respect for playing on the road but this week get WR Thielen back and go vs a Chargers team who have a terrible home field advantage in a small stadium with very little fan support.  Vikings roll...


Saturday, December 14, 2019

ARMY NAVY .



The Army Navy game has gone UNDER 17 of the past 22 games.  These teams both run option offenses and are familiar with how to defend each other.  This is it for Army  They had a down season and finished 5-7.  So no bowl game for them.    Vegas set a very low  total at 40.5 knowing the past history.   Hedgie leans Army +11  and leans over.....   so prefer a 

TEASER :   ARMY +17.5  and OVER 35   1 star 

Thursday, December 12, 2019

THURSDAY NFL


The Ravens are rolling and understandably heavy favorites at home tonight.  But the JETS have been playing better lately and will get Leveon Bell back after he missed last game with the flu.  This line opened at Ravens -14.5 and Lamar Jackson was listed as questionable with a quad strain.  Lamar will start and says he's fine and the line has gone all the way up to -17 .   It's a short week and by week 15 the players are all banged up. Hedgie thinks the Jets will hang around BUT  If the Ravens get a big lead Hedgie also thinks the Ravens will sit Jackson which allows for a backdoor cover as well.

JETS +17  1 star

Sunday, December 8, 2019

SUNDAY HEDGIE

RAMS . PICKEM  2 stars - Hedgie will back the Rams again this week as Seattle must travel on a short week after playing the Vikings Monday Night.  Goff is not as good a Wilson but he has all his WRs healthy and is coming off a good game last week.where he threw for . 424 yards

Titans -2.5  4 stars -  The Titans are 5-1 since Tannehill replaced Mariota.  Their offense should have a field day vs a poor Raiders defense.  The past 2 games the Raiders have been outscored 74-12 . 

Jaguars/Chargers . UNDER 43 1 star - The Jaguars are a mess. Theh are goiving rookie QB . Minshew the start again.  The Chargers are gettimg healthier on defense but the play here is that BOTH teams are very slow.  Rivers takes all his time on clock .  The Chargers rank 30th and Jaguars rank 31st in a stat called 'situation neutral'. This basically means each team takes there sweet time implementing their game plan and play calling.

Panthers +4 1 star - Ron Rivera was fired this past week and he was a player's coach. But the Panthers have lost 4 straight to the Falcons and Hedgie thinks they'll play hard and make this a close game if not win .  


Colts +3.5 1 star -  better team in the trenches.  Getting good value here since J Winston has played well lately . BUT Colts are well coached and play zone defense which Winston typically struggles vs.  Mack is supposed to play for Colts and kicker Vinatieri is replaced by kicker Chase McLaughlin which is a net positive for the Colts.

Redskins/Packers OVER 42 1 star -  this line is just too low 

Sunday, December 1, 2019

Hedgie SUNDAY

RAMS -2.5  4 stars -  great 'situation' for Rams.   Cards QB Murray is dealing with a hamstring and the Rams are 3-1 on the road and coming off an embarrassing loss.  

Teaser  :  Bucs +3 and OVER 40.5  2 stars - Bucs have gone 'over' 9 straight. This line has gone from Jags -3  to Jags +3.  ALL the money on Bucs .  prefer teaser here 

Packers /Giants OVER 44  2 stars  - there's some wind in the meadlowlands but Rogers plays well in the wind and should not affect him much.  Packers bounce back 

Colts  pickem  1 star . - all the money is in on the hot Titans team . BUT hedgie prefers the Colts with extra rest at home