Sunday, January 28, 2024

Hedgie Sunday

 Lets keep it simple todaty.    8 of the last 10 home favorites have won in this spot.  


MONEYLINE PARLAY. :  RAVENS & 49ers to WIN   3 STARS


100 bananas gets you 825 bananas 


Also,  Ravens defense very good.  Lean under...UNDER 45.  sure 1 STAR


3 team teaser:  Chiefs +14.5 / UNDER 54.55 / Niners OVER 42   2 STARS


Good luck !



Sunday, January 21, 2024

NFL SUNDAY PLAYOFFS ...Hedgie's Streak extends to 18-3-1.....

 3PM    BUCS +6.5   1 STAR

     Bucs should be able to exploit the Lions soft secondary with Evans , Godwin and Pass catching RB White.  Bowles a great defensive coordinator and will have a good gameplan vs a team they faced and lost to earlier this year.


6:30pm -   TEASER : CHEIFS +8.5 and OVER 39  2 STARS


    Initial thoughts are on Bills at home -2.5  BUT the Bills have some injuries on defense and The Chiefs come in with 2 extra days rest . 

Saturday, January 20, 2024

NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND. - update

 430 pm Ravens -9.5 and 43.5 ......Hedgie leaning Texans if can catch +10..but TE Mark Andrews practiced all week and with 30 mph wind gusts Hedgie is going to wait to post until 330pm


updating -  NO MARK ANDREWS this game.  Although the Ravens will be prepared and rested and'should ' win at home HEDGIE sees alot of value on TEXANS  FIRST HALF !  CJ Stroud is playing Elite ball right now and the Texans will come in hot and confident.   You can catch Texans +7 in the first half.    3 STARS 


Texans +10.5. 1 star


Prop : Lamar JAckson OVER 52 rush yards...  just like Josh Allen in these big stakes games Lamar will take matters into his own hands and run more than usual.   

   



8:15pm. - Packers +10.5 2 Stars -  more details coming later today 


Potential Teasers , Totals  and Props Plays ...stay tuned

Monday, January 15, 2024

Don't look now but Hedgie is on a15-3-1 HOT STREAK .......

 4:30 PM.     STEELERS +10.5 1 STAR

    There are mostly +10s out there but if you wait you can probably catch +10.5.  When this game was scheduled for Sunday  +10 was a popular pick because of the bad weather and it started trending towards +9. But today the weather is beter and the Bills will be able to play their regular gameplan.  Althogh no Gabe Davis for the Bills hurts a little.  

    Even bigger news is that TJ Watt is out for the Steelers.  Once Mike Tomlin switched to QB Mason Rudolph the Steelers showed some life.  Najee Harris is playing well again.   With this total still low around 38.5 getting +10.5 points is just too much 


8:15pm.     BUCS +3  3 Stars

                  TEASER : BUCS +9 and UNDER 49  2 STARS


The Eagles come in banged up and will be without their best wideout AJ Brown.  Also, Jalen Hurts has sore finger on his throwing hand and the Eagles secondary is dinged up as well.  Baker Mayfield has some sore ribs but will gut it out.   Big advantage to the Bucs wideouts  Evans and Godwin in this matchup . The Bucs are 6-2 under at home the Eags are 7-2 Under on the road.   This game feels like a  21-20 kinda game .

Sunday, January 14, 2024

SUNDAY WILDCARD WEEKEND - Hedgie goes 2-1 and extends NFL streak to 11-3-1...

 




4:30pm   

Packers +7.5  (-120)  3 STARS


The Cowboys have been outstandinbg at home averagngf 35 points per game. However,  they are laying more than a full TD and the syrging Packers are coming to town. The Packers have won 3 sraight . Jordon Love has played very well lately posting a 9 TD - 0 int ratio the past 4 games. This is no coincidence as Aaron Jones is now fully healthy.  Hedgie believe Jones is the key to this game. Jones has rushed for 358 yards the last 3 games which leads all RBs.   Jones rushed for 127 yards against Carolina, 120 against Minnesota , and 111 against Chicago.  He's clearly fully recovered from his knee injury and his opens up the play action pass for Love.  

  The Cowboys have great offensive weapons but also give up chunk yards.  Hedgie sees HC Lafleur outcoaching Mccarthy in this one as well.   The Packers can win this game outright so if you believe that you can also grab almost 3/1 on the moneyline.  



Also,  OVER 50.5  1 STAR


  Prediction:  Cowboys 30 Packers 27 






8:15pm 

RAMS +3.5 (-120)  2 STARS


The Rams were able to rest last week while the Lions played their starters and lost a key player in TE LaPorta.   Coach McVay has the the playoff experience and knows QB Goff as well as anyone.  The Rams will have a good gameplan and should win this game.  


UNDER 52 1  STAR

    With Lions LaPorta out and the Rams having a good scheme against Goff The Hedgie sees the Lions leaning on the run more than usual.  The total is creeping higher from 50 to 52 and Hedgie sees this differently than most .




Friday, January 12, 2024

NFL WILDCARD WEEKEND - HEDGIE is currently on a 9-2-1 NFL Heater.....




 SATURDAY 4:30PM   


BROWNS -2   3 STARS - Browns recently beat the Texans 36-22 who were without CJ Stroud. But in that game the Browns defense smothered the Texans Oline . They were up 36-7 at one point.    Hedgie likes the veteran Flacco vs  a rookie QB making his first playoff start 

BROWNS/TEXANS OVER 44 - 1 STAR





SATURDAY 8:10PM 


UNDER 44.5 -  2 STARS 

This game in Kansas City will be COLD.  Not just under 40 degrees cold where the Dolphins are 8-19 Straight up the past 20 years under 40 degrees . This game is at night and supposed to be -1 degrees. with wind gusts of 15 mph.   Tua is from Hawaii and has not fared well on the road or in cold weather in the past.  So it makes sense that this line has gone in Kansas City's favor from -3.5 to -4.5 .  The total has dipped from 45 to 44.5 and will head lower.   These teams met earlier this year in Germany and scored 35 points.