Sunday, December 4, 2016

HEDGIE SUNDAY .....8 plays....

After posting another successful 4-2  Saturday the Hedgie has a FULL SLATE today with a handful of teasers....  Teasers can be a dangerous play and the moto for many gamblers is that the books love it when gamblers tease......HOWEVER , in the nFL the Hedgie likes to pinpoint value and try and cross key numbers which today sets up for nicely.....



Falcons/Chiefs  OVER 49.5  2 stars    - Falcs are 9-2  OVER this season and have averaged 39 points per game at home in the Wins.    The Chiefs are an under team (8-2)  but coming off an OT win and back on the road this favors an Over play.  Maybe you'll see the speedster Tyreek Hill make a big play in the dome on the turf on Special Teams as well



Saints/Lions  OVER 52.5   4 stars   -  Saints are 10-2  OVER in their last 12 at the superdome.  The Saints porous Secondary is exactly what Jim Bob Cooter and Matthew Stafford need to get their offense humming again....

Lions +7   3 stars  -   Lions are not getting much credit as they are on a 5-1-1 spread run recently.

Bills/Raiders  OVER 48.5   2 stars  - Raiders are 9-2  OVER this year. Carr is playing well and has alot of weapons  .  The Bills get Samy Watkins back and should have a few explosive plays of their own

TEASERS:

Jags +10.5  & UNDER 46  - Trevor Simien will be out.  Paxton gets the start.  This game is on the 4th ranked denver defense.  Bortles has struggled all season but the jags have also lost 6 of their 7 games by 7 points or less.    1 star

Pats -6.5  & UNDER 50.5  -  Rams rookie  QB  on the road vs a Belechik scheme. Enough said.  No Tavon Austin today either.   Feels like a LeBlount kinda day....   2 stars

Eags +8.5 & UNDER  48.5    Both teams have offensive injuries and have struggled recently on offense.  Bengals without  Green and Bernard really hurts their ability for big plays. This team  misses old O Coordinator Hue Jackson more than aything.  Eags still an outside shot at a wildcard and after last week's stinker there's great value teasing thru the #s  6,7,8........1 star

Redskins +8.5  & OVER  42   -  Skins are on a spread covering run and also 9-2 OVER  this yr.    Cards have been OVER  3 of ast 4 as well. Lean on both Skins and Over  but prefer great value with the Teaser...  2 stars