Hedgie thinks vegas has the wrong team favored here. As mentioned last week the Falcons are still not as good as last year. They caught a break when the Rams had two costly fumbles early. Now they must travel back east on a short week and play on the road in the cold on grass vs a very good Eagles team. This line would have you think that the Eagles is all about QB Foles. For the first time in NFL betting history the #1 seed host is an underdog. The eagles feel slighted and will make a statement.
Eagles +3 4 stars
For the Hedgie this game is about strengths vs weaknesses and the spread. New England is well rested and at home and has typically dominated. Which is also why there's s premium on the spread if you best the Pats. But the Titans should be able to exploit the Pats run defense which ranked 30th in the league vs he run. Derrick Henry should have success and as you saw last week Mariota is healthy and can scramble and should be able to move the chains. To beat the Pats its important to have a solid run game that can keep Brady off field. Two touchdowns is too much.
Titans +14 3 stars