Saturday, December 21, 2019

HEDGIE is focusing on NFL this weekend . and will have FIRST BOWL SELECTION MONDAY



1pm : Texans  @ Bucs  - The Texans opened -1.5 and 53 Total.  The Bucs will be without starting WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and the line has been bet up to Texans -3 .  There is also 15 Mph winds in Tampa today  so the total has dropped to 50.5 .  J Winston has thrown for over 450 yards in two straight games which is historic.  new HC Bruce Arians is known as the QB whisperer and has done a good job with this roster.  The Bucs are also  on a 12-3 OVER run and allow  31 point per game at home.  Texans have Will Fuller back. There is rain and wind on the way to Florida but today Tampa should only have 13 Mph winds which will be ok for the passing game. 
       OVER 50.5    1  star


4:30pm : Bills @ Pats - This is a must win for the Pats. It's also a revenge game for the Bills who lost 10-16 at home in September.  That game the Pats blocked a punt and had only 11 first downs. The Bills defense has improved since then. Vegas has the Total set low at 37 and the Pats are -6.5 with more money coming in on the Pats.   We saw what the Bills did in Dallas. They did not have RB Singletary last game either.   The Pats are a tad banged up as well. Brady has a sore arm,  Edelman has been limited and are also now without slot DB Jon Jones.  Hedgie thinks this may allow Bills WR Beasley to make a few big plays. The Bills are 7-3 ATS the last 10 games as an underdog.   If you wait or buy the 1/2 point on the Bills now you can get +7 and thats the play

     TEASER 6.5 points :  Bills +13  & UNDER 44 1 star

     BILLS +7  (-120)   4 stars 


8:15pm : Rams @ 49ers -  These teams met early in LA and the 49ers won 20-7.  Since then the Rams have made adjustments and have been more balanced with Gurley running the ball well and setting up play action for Goff (which he desperately needs to succeed). The 49ers are a better team WHEN HEALTHY .   BUT the 49ers are banged up.  They have 3 defensive starters that are out :  Dee Ford ,  Tart (S) ; and Taylor (DT) .    This will allow the Rams to establish the run and get in their groove.  Because they laid an egg last week in Dalls we are getting nice line value.  49ers are -6.5 (-115). Most money is in on the 49ers simly based on how bad the Rams looked last week on National TV.      Much like the Bills the Rams are a DIVISIONAL DOG. ..buy the 1/2 point !

   RAMS +7 (-120) 3 stars 



Hedgie been studying Bowls and has leans on :

C Mich +3.5
Ga Southern -4
Wash -3

but first play will be MONDAY